Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-06 04:26:14

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
22.1 oversold
20d Trend
-18.5%
5d Trend
-17.4%
EMA20 Dist
-14.4%
ATR%
4.1%
Range Pos
2%
Bounce Ratio
0.2×
Green/Red 10d
3/7
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 5, 2026

39
Lifetime
Confidence: 56%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
26.6/35
Total Return
13.2/25
Win Rate
13.1/15
Profit Factor
8.7/15
Consistency
7.8/10
Raw Quality 69.5/100
× Confidence 0.56 = 38.9

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (56%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
85,621
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-05-06 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
535 days
Data Gaps
None (21 market holidays)

Market Closed (21 days)

2024-05-27 — Memorial Day, 2024-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2024-07-04 — Independence Day, 2024-09-02 — Labor Day, 2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day ... and 1 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary

Starting Capital
$10,000.00
Current Value
$13,803.68
Total P&L
$3,803.68
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.54

Trade Statistics

Total Trades
12
Winners / Losers
9 / 3
Best Trade
+10.33%
Worst Trade
-5.59%
Avg Trade Return
+2.83%
Avg Hold Time
3.3d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$288,110.30
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$3,803.68
Net P&L (after fees)
$3,803.68
Gross Return
+38.04%
Net Return (after fees)
+38.04%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 AMZN Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 535 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Complete Trade History

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Macro Monday had $10,000.00 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Aug 5, 2024 9:30am ET $155.77 64 $10,000.00
🔴 SELL Aug 8, 2024 3:55pm ET $165.92 64 $10,651.60 $10,651.60 +$651.60
(+6.5%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Oct 7, 2024 9:40am ET $181.19 59 $10,651.60
🔴 SELL Oct 10, 2024 3:55pm ET $186.65 59 $10,972.58 $10,972.58 +$320.98
(+3.0%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Feb 3, 2025 10:15am ET $232.92 47 $10,972.58
🔴 SELL Feb 6, 2025 3:55pm ET $238.74 47 $11,247.11 $11,247.11 +$274.53
(+2.5%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Mar 10, 2025 9:50am ET $194.70 58 $11,247.11
🔴 SELL Mar 13, 2025 3:55pm ET $193.91 58 $11,201.54 $11,201.54 $-45.57
(-0.4%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Mar 31, 2025 9:30am ET $185.81 60 $11,201.54
🔴 SELL Apr 3, 2025 3:55pm ET $178.36 60 $10,752.71 $10,752.71 $-448.83
(-4.0%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2025 9:30am ET $165.50 65 $10,752.71
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2025 3:55pm ET $181.04 65 $11,762.36 $11,762.36 +$1,009.65
(+9.4%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 21, 2025 9:30am ET $169.02 70 $11,762.36
🔴 SELL Apr 24, 2025 3:55pm ET $186.48 70 $12,977.43 $12,977.43 +$1,215.07
(+10.3%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
8 🟢 BUY May 5, 2025 9:45am ET $186.19 70 $12,977.43
🔴 SELL May 8, 2025 3:55pm ET $192.14 70 $13,391.65 $13,391.65 +$414.22
(+3.2%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
9 🟢 BUY Nov 17, 2025 10:00am ET $230.02 58 $13,391.65
🔴 SELL Nov 20, 2025 3:55pm ET $217.15 58 $12,642.64 $12,642.64 $-749.01
(-5.6%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
10 🟢 BUY Feb 23, 2026 10:00am ET $205.15 62 $12,642.64
🔴 SELL Feb 26, 2026 3:55pm ET $207.89 62 $12,811.50 $12,811.50 +$168.86
(+1.3%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
11 🟢 BUY Mar 2, 2026 9:30am ET $204.31 63 $12,811.50
🔴 SELL Mar 5, 2026 3:55pm ET $219.15 63 $13,742.19 $13,742.19 +$930.69
(+7.3%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
12 🟢 BUY Mar 9, 2026 9:45am ET $208.95 66 $13,742.19
🔴 SELL Mar 12, 2026 3:55pm ET $209.88 66 $13,803.68 $13,803.68 +$61.49
(+0.4%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $13,803.68
Net Profit/Loss: +$3,803.68
Total Return: +38.04%
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