Compendium › Macro Monday › AVGO
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
AVGO
Alpaca Tradeable

Macro Monday's Analysis

to 2026-05-05 19:55:00+00 • 20 trades executed

+72.73%
2 Years Return
$17,273.28
Current Value
60%
Win Rate
$10,000.00
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-06 08:39:23

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
32.7 neutral
20d Trend
-13.0%
5d Trend
-6.9%
EMA20 Dist
-6.4%
ATR%
4.0%
Range Pos
10%
Bounce Ratio
0.5×
Green/Red 10d
7/3
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

53
Lifetime
Confidence: 75%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
35.0/35
Total Return
15.5/25
Win Rate
7.5/15
Profit Factor
6.1/15
Consistency
6.7/10
Raw Quality 70.8/100
× Confidence 0.75 = 53.2

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (75%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
79,066
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-05-06 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
535 days
Data Gaps
None (21 market holidays)

Market Closed (21 days)

2024-05-27 — Memorial Day, 2024-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2024-07-04 — Independence Day, 2024-09-02 — Labor Day, 2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day ... and 1 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary

Starting Capital
$10,000.00
Current Value
$17,273.28
Total P&L
$7,273.28
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.37

Trade Statistics

Total Trades
20
Winners / Losers
12 / 8
Best Trade
+21.71%
Worst Trade
-8.23%
Avg Trade Return
+3.08%
Avg Hold Time
3.2d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$587,878.43
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$7,273.28
Net P&L (after fees)
$7,273.28
Gross Return
+72.73%
Net Return (after fees)
+72.73%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 AVGO Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 535 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Complete Trade History

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Macro Monday had $10,000.00 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Aug 5, 2024 9:30am ET $133.55 75 $10,000.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 8, 2024 3:55pm ET $145.74 75 $10,912.77 $10,912.77 +$912.77
(+9.1%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Aug 12, 2024 9:40am ET $147.19 74 $10,912.77 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 15, 2024 3:55pm ET $166.28 74 $12,328.12 $12,328.12 +$1,415.35
(+13.0%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Sep 9, 2024 10:35am ET $136.18 91 $12,328.12 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 12, 2024 3:55pm ET $164.65 91 $14,905.46 $14,905.46 +$2,577.34
(+20.9%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Oct 14, 2024 10:45am ET $182.11 82 $14,905.46 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 17, 2024 3:55pm ET $181.52 82 $14,857.58 $14,857.58 $-47.88
(-0.3%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Jan 13, 2025 10:50am ET $225.03 66 $14,857.58 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 16, 2025 3:55pm ET $229.35 66 $15,142.81 $15,142.81 +$285.23
(+1.9%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
6 🟢 BUY Feb 3, 2025 9:30am ET $215.74 70 $15,142.81 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 6, 2025 3:55pm ET $231.24 70 $16,230.76 $16,230.76 +$1,087.95
(+7.2%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
7 🟢 BUY Feb 24, 2025 9:50am ET $215.35 75 $16,230.76 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 27, 2025 3:55pm ET $197.64 75 $14,895.74 $14,895.74 $-1,335.02
(-8.2%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
8 🟢 BUY Mar 3, 2025 9:35am ET $195.41 76 $14,895.74 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 6, 2025 3:55pm ET $179.33 76 $13,669.88 $13,669.88 $-1,225.86
(-8.2%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
9 🟢 BUY Mar 10, 2025 9:30am ET $189.92 72 $13,669.88 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 13, 2025 3:55pm ET $191.32 72 $13,770.65 $13,770.65 +$100.77
(+0.7%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
10 🟢 BUY Mar 17, 2025 10:25am ET $192.39 72 $13,770.65 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 20, 2025 3:55pm ET $190.42 72 $13,630.00 $13,630.00 $-140.65
(-1.0%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
11 🟢 BUY Mar 31, 2025 9:30am ET $161.31 84 $13,630.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 3, 2025 3:55pm ET $154.07 84 $13,018.25 $13,018.25 $-611.75
(-4.5%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
12 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2025 9:30am ET $141.38 92 $13,018.25 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2025 3:55pm ET $172.07 92 $15,844.74 $15,844.74 +$2,826.49
(+21.7%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
13 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2025 9:40am ET $179.21 88 $15,844.74 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2025 3:55pm ET $170.88 88 $15,108.50 $15,108.50 $-736.24
(-4.6%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
14 🟢 BUY May 5, 2025 9:30am ET $201.67 75 $15,108.50 — — —
🔴 SELL May 8, 2025 3:55pm ET $207.77 75 $15,565.49 $15,565.49 +$456.99
(+3.0%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
15 🟢 BUY Nov 17, 2025 10:50am ET $346.55 45 $15,565.49 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 20, 2025 3:55pm ET $347.07 45 $15,589.07 $15,589.07 +$23.58
(+0.2%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
16 🟢 BUY Feb 23, 2026 10:35am ET $334.60 47 $15,589.07 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 26, 2026 3:55pm ET $321.34 47 $14,971.28 $14,971.28 $-617.79
(-4.0%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
17 🟢 BUY Mar 2, 2026 9:30am ET $309.36 48 $14,971.28 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 5, 2026 3:55pm ET $331.52 48 $16,043.94 $16,043.94 +$1,072.66
(+7.2%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
18 🟢 BUY Mar 9, 2026 9:30am ET $327.32 49 $16,043.94 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 12, 2026 3:55pm ET $336.15 49 $16,477.25 $16,477.25 +$433.31
(+2.7%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
19 🟢 BUY Mar 30, 2026 9:50am ET $298.41 55 $16,477.25 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 2, 2026 3:55pm ET $314.04 55 $17,340.29 $17,340.29 +$863.04
(+5.2%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
20 🟢 BUY Apr 27, 2026 9:50am ET $418.25 41 $17,340.29 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 30, 2026 3:55pm ET $416.63 41 $17,273.28 $17,273.28 $-67.01
(-0.4%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $17,273.28
Net Profit/Loss: +$7,273.28
Total Return: +72.73%
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