Compendium › Macro Monday › MA
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
MA
Alpaca Tradeable

Macro Monday's Analysis

to 2026-05-05 19:55:00+00 • 10 trades executed

-4.17%
2 Years Return
$9,583.04
Current Value
40%
Win Rate
$10,000.00
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-06 04:26:13

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
49.4 neutral
20d Trend
-5.1%
5d Trend
+1.5%
EMA20 Dist
+0.1%
ATR%
2.3%
Range Pos
39%
Bounce Ratio
2.4×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 5, 2026

2
Lifetime
Confidence: 55%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
2.9/10
Raw Quality 2.9/100
× Confidence 0.55 = 1.6

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (55%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
42,582
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-05-06 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
511 days
Data Gaps
None (21 market holidays)

Market Closed (21 days)

2024-05-27 — Memorial Day, 2024-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2024-07-04 — Independence Day, 2024-09-02 — Labor Day, 2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day ... and 1 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary

Starting Capital
$10,000.00
Current Value
$9,583.04
Total P&L
$-416.96
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.15

Trade Statistics

Total Trades
10
Winners / Losers
4 / 6
Best Trade
+4.90%
Worst Trade
-3.18%
Avg Trade Return
-0.40%
Avg Hold Time
3.2d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$197,086.33
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-416.96
Net P&L (after fees)
$-416.96
Gross Return
-4.17%
Net Return (after fees)
-4.17%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 MA Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 511 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Complete Trade History

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Macro Monday had $10,000.00 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Aug 5, 2024 9:30am ET $455.70 22 $10,000.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 8, 2024 3:55pm ET $455.78 22 $10,001.76 $10,001.76 +$1.76
(+0.0%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Mar 10, 2025 9:30am ET $535.82 19 $10,001.76 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 13, 2025 3:55pm ET $519.88 19 $9,704.22 $9,704.22 $-297.54
(-3.0%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Mar 31, 2025 9:35am ET $536.62 18 $9,704.22 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 3, 2025 3:55pm ET $530.55 18 $9,594.45 $9,594.45 $-109.77
(-1.1%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2025 9:30am ET $475.66 20 $9,594.45 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2025 3:55pm ET $498.99 20 $10,065.04 $10,065.04 +$470.59
(+4.9%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2025 10:55am ET $515.35 20 $10,065.04 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2025 3:55pm ET $517.64 20 $10,109.76 $10,109.76 +$44.72
(+0.4%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
6 🟢 BUY Oct 13, 2025 10:30am ET $555.32 18 $10,109.76 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 16, 2025 3:55pm ET $549.68 18 $10,007.17 $10,007.17 $-102.59
(-1.0%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
7 🟢 BUY Nov 17, 2025 10:30am ET $542.56 18 $10,007.17 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 20, 2025 3:55pm ET $527.56 18 $9,730.50 $9,730.50 $-276.67
(-2.8%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
8 🟢 BUY Feb 23, 2026 9:35am ET $518.76 19 $9,730.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 26, 2026 3:55pm ET $513.97 19 $9,640.75 $9,640.75 $-89.75
(-0.9%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
9 🟢 BUY Mar 2, 2026 9:30am ET $509.87 19 $9,640.75 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 5, 2026 3:55pm ET $523.47 19 $9,898.00 $9,898.00 +$257.25
(+2.7%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
10 🟢 BUY Mar 9, 2026 10:15am ET $514.45 19 $9,898.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 12, 2026 3:55pm ET $498.08 19 $9,583.04 $9,583.04 $-314.96
(-3.2%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $9,583.04
Net Profit/Loss: $-416.96
Total Return: -4.17%
Back to Macro Monday