Compendium › Macro Monday › META
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
META
Alpaca Tradeable

Macro Monday's Analysis

to 2026-05-06 19:55:00+00 • 20 trades executed

+46.61%
2 Years Return
$14,166.29
Current Value
68%
Win Rate
$9,662.44
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-05-07 04:14:59

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
47
Neutral
VIX
17.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
45.7 neutral
20d Trend
+4.0%
5d Trend
-8.3%
EMA20 Dist
-2.4%
ATR%
4.3%
Range Pos
42%
Bounce Ratio
2.4×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

45
Lifetime
Confidence: 68%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
29.2/35
Total Return
13.5/25
Win Rate
9.4/15
Profit Factor
7.0/15
Consistency
6.7/10
Raw Quality 65.7/100
× Confidence 0.68 = 44.9

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (68%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
76,715
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-05-07 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
535 days
Data Gaps
None (21 market holidays)

Market Closed (21 days)

2024-05-27 — Memorial Day, 2024-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2024-07-04 — Independence Day, 2024-09-02 — Labor Day, 2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day ... and 1 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary

Starting Capital
$9,662.44
Current Value
$14,166.29
Total P&L
$4,503.85
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.34

Trade Statistics

Total Trades
19
Winners / Losers
13 / 6
Best Trade
+19.81%
Worst Trade
-7.99%
Avg Trade Return
+2.17%
Avg Hold Time
2.2d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$442,852.57
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$4,503.85
Net P&L (after fees)
$4,503.85
Gross Return
+46.61%
Net Return (after fees)
+46.61%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 META Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 535 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Complete Trade History

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Macro Monday had $9,662.44 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Aug 5, 2024 9:30am ET $459.39 21 $9,662.44 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 7, 2024 3:55pm ET $488.93 21 $10,283.85 $10,283.85 +$621.41
(+6.4%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Sep 9, 2024 10:45am ET $504.48 20 $10,283.85 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 11, 2024 3:55pm ET $511.98 20 $10,436.74 $10,436.74 +$152.89
(+1.5%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Oct 7, 2024 10:30am ET $596.38 18 $10,436.74 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 9, 2024 3:55pm ET $590.34 18 $10,331.04 $10,331.04 $-105.70
(-1.0%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Nov 4, 2024 9:30am ET $558.71 18 $10,331.04 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 6, 2024 3:55pm ET $572.04 18 $10,577.48 $10,577.48 +$246.44
(+2.4%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Jan 13, 2025 9:30am ET $602.63 18 $10,577.48 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 15, 2025 3:55pm ET $616.72 18 $10,824.79 $10,824.79 +$247.31
(+2.3%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
6 🟢 BUY Feb 24, 2025 9:50am ET $674.41 16 $10,824.79 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 26, 2025 3:55pm ET $673.92 16 $10,817.01 $10,817.01 $-7.78
(-0.1%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
7 🟢 BUY Mar 3, 2025 10:30am ET $670.86 16 $10,817.01 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 5, 2025 3:55pm ET $656.30 16 $10,582.24 $10,582.24 $-234.77
(-2.2%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
8 🟢 BUY Mar 10, 2025 9:30am ET $605.54 17 $10,582.24 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 12, 2025 3:55pm ET $619.34 17 $10,823.40 $10,823.40 +$241.16
(+2.3%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
9 🟢 BUY Mar 17, 2025 10:35am ET $602.50 18 $10,823.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 19, 2025 3:55pm ET $583.95 18 $10,490.17 $10,490.17 $-333.23
(-3.1%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
10 🟢 BUY Mar 31, 2025 9:30am ET $555.60 19 $10,490.17 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 2, 2025 3:55pm ET $583.91 19 $11,024.69 $11,024.69 +$534.52
(+5.1%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
11 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2025 9:30am ET $488.05 23 $11,024.69 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2025 3:55pm ET $584.71 23 $13,208.17 $13,208.17 +$2,183.48
(+19.8%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
12 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2025 10:30am ET $545.93 24 $13,208.17 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 16, 2025 3:55pm ET $502.31 24 $12,152.83 $12,152.83 $-1,055.34
(-8.0%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
13 🟢 BUY Apr 21, 2025 9:30am ET $492.56 25 $12,152.83 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2025 3:55pm ET $520.01 25 $12,830.23 $12,830.23 +$677.40
(+5.6%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
14 🟢 BUY May 5, 2025 9:30am ET $591.10 22 $12,830.23 — — —
🔴 SELL May 7, 2025 3:55pm ET $597.15 22 $12,961.55 $12,961.55 +$131.32
(+1.0%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
15 🟢 BUY Oct 13, 2025 10:55am ET $708.79 18 $12,961.55 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 15, 2025 3:55pm ET $717.78 18 $13,125.95 $13,125.95 +$164.40
(+1.3%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
16 🟢 BUY Nov 17, 2025 9:30am ET $604.15 22 $13,125.95 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 19, 2025 3:55pm ET $590.34 22 $12,825.91 $12,825.91 $-300.04
(-2.3%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
17 🟢 BUY Feb 23, 2026 9:40am ET $648.47 20 $12,825.91 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 25, 2026 3:55pm ET $652.38 20 $12,903.34 $12,903.34 +$77.43
(+0.6%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
18 🟢 BUY Mar 9, 2026 9:30am ET $635.26 20 $12,903.34 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 11, 2026 3:55pm ET $655.40 20 $13,312.53 $13,312.53 +$409.19
(+3.2%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
19 🟢 BUY Apr 6, 2026 10:45am ET $574.83 23 $13,312.53 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 3:55pm ET $611.70 23 $14,166.29 $14,166.29 +$853.76
(+6.4%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $14,166.29
Net Profit/Loss: +$4,166.29
Total Return: +41.66%
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