Compendium › Macro Monday › QQQ
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
QQQ
Alpaca Tradeable

Macro Monday's Analysis

to 2026-05-06 13:50:00+00 • 9 trades executed

+31.42%
2 Years Return
$13,141.74
Current Value
78%
Win Rate
$10,000.00
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-06 09:52:01

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
31.7 neutral
20d Trend
-3.6%
5d Trend
-4.6%
EMA20 Dist
-3.6%
ATR%
1.8%
Range Pos
21%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored Mar 6, 2026

0
Lifetime
Confidence: 0%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
84.0/35
Total Return
45.6/25
Win Rate
90.5/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
88.2/10
Raw Quality 0.0/100
× Confidence 0.00 = 0.0

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (0%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
88,078
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-05-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
536 days
Data Gaps
None (21 market holidays)

Market Closed (21 days)

2024-05-27 — Memorial Day, 2024-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2024-07-04 — Independence Day, 2024-09-02 — Labor Day, 2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day ... and 1 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary

Starting Capital
$10,000.00
Current Value
$13,141.74
Total P&L
$3,141.74
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.74

Trade Statistics

Total Trades
9
Winners / Losers
7 / 2
Best Trade
+14.00%
Worst Trade
-1.40%
Avg Trade Return
+3.16%
Avg Hold Time
2.3d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$200,437.09
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$3,141.74
Net P&L (after fees)
$3,141.74
Gross Return
+31.42%
Net Return (after fees)
+31.42%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 QQQ Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 536 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Complete Trade History

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Macro Monday had $10,000.00 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Aug 5, 2024 9:30am ET $427.61 23 $10,000.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 7, 2024 3:55pm ET $434.83 23 $10,168.85 $10,168.85 +$168.85
(+1.7%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Jan 13, 2025 9:30am ET $501.20 20 $10,168.85 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 15, 2025 3:55pm ET $516.53 20 $10,479.88 $10,479.88 +$311.03
(+3.1%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Feb 3, 2025 9:30am ET $513.69 20 $10,479.88 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2025 3:55pm ET $526.85 20 $10,748.46 $10,748.46 +$268.58
(+2.6%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Feb 24, 2025 10:30am ET $521.80 21 $10,748.46 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 26, 2025 3:55pm ET $514.49 21 $10,597.88 $10,597.88 $-150.58
(-1.4%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Mar 10, 2025 9:30am ET $481.96 22 $10,597.88 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 12, 2025 3:55pm ET $477.08 22 $10,490.57 $10,490.57 $-107.31
(-1.0%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
6 🟢 BUY Mar 31, 2025 9:30am ET $458.68 23 $10,490.57 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 2, 2025 3:55pm ET $476.15 23 $10,890.13 $10,890.13 +$399.56
(+3.8%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2025 9:30am ET $408.02 27 $10,890.13 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2025 3:55pm ET $465.14 27 $12,414.67 $12,414.67 +$1,524.54
(+14.0%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
8 🟢 BUY Apr 21, 2025 9:30am ET $438.73 28 $12,414.67 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2025 3:55pm ET $454.37 28 $12,857.23 $12,857.23 +$442.56
(+3.6%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
9 🟢 BUY Mar 9, 2026 9:30am ET $594.71 22 $12,857.23 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 11, 2026 3:55pm ET $607.87 22 $13,141.74 $13,141.74 +$284.51
(+2.2%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $13,141.74
Net Profit/Loss: +$3,141.74
Total Return: +31.42%
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