Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-05-07 07:37:10

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
47
Neutral
VIX
17.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
49.1 neutral
20d Trend
+0.3%
5d Trend
-0.7%
EMA20 Dist
-0.1%
ATR%
3.0%
Range Pos
48%
Bounce Ratio
0.5×
Green/Red 10d
7/3

Strategy Score Scored Apr 7, 2026

26
Lifetime
Confidence: 47%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
23.2/35
Total Return
12.7/25
Win Rate
7.5/15
Profit Factor
6.1/15
Consistency
6.7/10
Raw Quality 56.2/100
× Confidence 0.47 = 26.2

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (47%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Year)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
21,972
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-05-07 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
258 days
Data Gaps
None (10 market holidays)

Market Closed (10 days)

2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Year)

Period Start Capital
$11,901.69
Current Value
$13,313.37
Period P&L
$1,411.67
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
9.26

Trade Statistics (Last Year)

Trades in Period
2
Winners / Losers
2 / 0
Best Trade
+6.43%
Worst Trade
+5.18%
Avg Trade Return
+5.81%
Avg Hold Time
18.1d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$50,197.29
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,411.67
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,411.67
Gross Return
+11.86%
Net Return (after fees)
+11.86%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 ABBV Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 258 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Year - 2 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Marcus Calm Sea had $11,901.69 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Aug 22, 2025 10:40am ET $207.53 57 $11,829.21
🔴 SELL Sep 11, 2025 9:30am ET $220.88 57 $12,590.16 $12,662.65 +$760.95
(+6.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Dec 22, 2025 9:50am ET $224.35 56 $12,563.60
🔴 SELL Jan 7, 2026 2:55pm ET $235.97 56 $13,214.32 $13,313.37 +$650.72
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $13,313.37
Net Profit/Loss: +$3,313.37
Total Return: +33.13%
Back to Marcus Calm Sea