Compendium › Marcus Calm Sea › IBM
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
IBM
Alpaca Tradeable

Marcus Calm Sea's Analysis

to 2026-05-06 19:55:00+00 • 17 trades executed

+26.48%
2 Years Return
$13,754.22
Current Value
70%
Win Rate
$10,874.76
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-07 06:30:26

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
47
Neutral
VIX
17.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
41.6 neutral
20d Trend
-5.4%
5d Trend
-6.3%
EMA20 Dist
-3.9%
ATR%
3.9%
Range Pos
40%
Bounce Ratio
1.2×
Green/Red 10d
2/8

Strategy Score Scored Apr 2, 2026

28
Lifetime
Confidence: 48%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
26.3/35
Total Return
13.2/25
Win Rate
7.1/15
Profit Factor
5.2/15
Consistency
7.3/10
Raw Quality 59.0/100
× Confidence 0.48 = 28.0

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (48%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
50,029
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-05-07 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
528 days
Data Gaps
None (21 market holidays)

Market Closed (21 days)

2024-05-27 — Memorial Day, 2024-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2024-07-04 — Independence Day, 2024-09-02 — Labor Day, 2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day ... and 1 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary

Starting Capital
$10,874.76
Current Value
$13,754.22
Total P&L
$2,879.45
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.70

Trade Statistics

Total Trades
10
Winners / Losers
7 / 3
Best Trade
+5.51%
Worst Trade
-3.34%
Avg Trade Return
+2.69%
Avg Hold Time
13.1d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$249,191.01
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$2,879.45
Net P&L (after fees)
$2,879.45
Gross Return
+26.48%
Net Return (after fees)
+26.48%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 IBM Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 528 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Complete Trade History

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Marcus Calm Sea had $10,874.76 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY May 3, 2024 10:55am ET $165.30 64 $10,579.20 — — —
🔴 SELL May 21, 2024 9:50am ET $174.41 64 $11,161.92 $11,221.33 +$582.72
(+5.5%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
2 🟢 BUY May 22, 2024 1:35pm ET $174.00 64 $11,136.00 — — —
🔴 SELL May 28, 2024 2:35pm ET $168.68 64 $10,795.52 $10,880.85 $-340.48
(-3.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
3 🟢 BUY May 31, 2024 9:50am ET $164.55 66 $10,859.97 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 20, 2024 9:35am ET $172.87 66 $11,409.42 $11,430.30 +$549.45
(+5.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Jun 21, 2024 12:00pm ET $172.30 66 $11,371.58 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 12, 2024 10:25am ET $181.03 66 $11,947.98 $12,006.70 +$576.40
(+5.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Jul 15, 2024 12:50pm ET $183.53 65 $11,929.13 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 25, 2024 11:30am ET $193.43 65 $12,572.94 $12,650.52 +$643.82
(+5.4%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
6 🟢 BUY Nov 13, 2024 9:30am ET $209.82 60 $12,588.90 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 21, 2024 11:20am ET $220.75 60 $13,245.00 $13,306.62 +$656.10
(+5.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
7 🟢 BUY Nov 27, 2024 9:50am ET $227.47 58 $13,192.97 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 9, 2024 9:30am ET $238.91 58 $13,857.01 $13,970.66 +$664.04
(+5.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
8 🟢 BUY Dec 10, 2024 9:30am ET $228.45 61 $13,935.45 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 18, 2024 3:40pm ET $220.81 61 $13,469.41 $13,504.62 $-466.04
(-3.3%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
9 🟢 BUY Aug 22, 2025 2:00pm ET $242.26 55 $13,324.30 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 8, 2025 2:30pm ET $254.66 55 $14,006.30 $14,186.62 +$682.00
(+5.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
10 🟢 BUY Dec 22, 2025 9:30am ET $300.43 47 $14,120.21 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 2, 2026 11:40am ET $291.23 47 $13,687.81 $13,754.22 $-432.40
(-3.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $13,754.22
Net Profit/Loss: +$3,754.22
Total Return: +37.54%
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