Compendium › Marcus Calm Sea › USO
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
USO
Alpaca Tradeable

Marcus Calm Sea's Analysis

to 2026-05-06 19:55:00+00 • 17 trades executed

+5.71%
2 Years Return
$13,446.30
Current Value
44%
Win Rate
$12,720.03
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-05-07 05:20:28

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
47
Neutral
VIX
17.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
55.8 neutral
20d Trend
+3.7%
5d Trend
-4.0%
EMA20 Dist
+1.4%
ATR%
3.2%
Range Pos
71%
Bounce Ratio
1.6×
Green/Red 10d
9/1

Strategy Score Scored Apr 7, 2026

27
Lifetime
Confidence: 48%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
24.1/35
Total Return
12.9/25
Win Rate
7.1/15
Profit Factor
4.7/15
Consistency
7.0/10
Raw Quality 55.7/100
× Confidence 0.48 = 26.5

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (48%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
67,559
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-05-07 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
530 days
Data Gaps
None (21 market holidays)

Market Closed (21 days)

2024-05-27 — Memorial Day, 2024-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2024-07-04 — Independence Day, 2024-09-02 — Labor Day, 2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day ... and 1 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary

Starting Capital
$12,720.03
Current Value
$13,446.30
Total P&L
$726.26
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.18

Trade Statistics

Total Trades
9
Winners / Losers
4 / 5
Best Trade
+5.12%
Worst Trade
-3.06%
Avg Trade Return
+0.71%
Avg Hold Time
15.5d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$242,233.69
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$726.26
Net P&L (after fees)
$726.26
Gross Return
+5.71%
Net Return (after fees)
+5.71%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 USO Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 530 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Complete Trade History

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Marcus Calm Sea had $12,720.03 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY May 3, 2024 9:30am ET $75.47 168 $12,678.96 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 3, 2024 9:30am ET $73.77 168 $12,393.36 $12,419.31 $-285.60
(-2.3%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Jun 4, 2024 9:30am ET $70.73 175 $12,377.75 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 10, 2024 10:40am ET $74.32 175 $13,006.00 $13,047.56 +$628.25
(+5.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Jun 11, 2024 2:30pm ET $75.52 172 $12,989.44 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 20, 2024 9:40am ET $79.33 172 $13,644.76 $13,702.88 +$655.32
(+5.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Jun 21, 2024 9:50am ET $79.20 173 $13,701.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 22, 2024 9:30am ET $77.22 173 $13,358.20 $13,359.47 $-343.41
(-2.5%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Nov 13, 2024 9:30am ET $69.97 190 $13,294.30 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 22, 2024 9:45am ET $73.55 190 $13,974.50 $14,039.67 +$680.20
(+5.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
6 🟢 BUY Nov 26, 2024 11:50am ET $72.36 194 $14,037.84 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 6, 2024 10:05am ET $70.15 194 $13,609.10 $13,610.93 $-428.74
(-3.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
7 🟢 BUY Dec 9, 2024 2:35pm ET $71.45 190 $13,575.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 30, 2024 10:35am ET $75.08 190 $14,265.20 $14,300.63 +$689.70
(+5.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
8 🟢 BUY Aug 28, 2025 9:30am ET $74.64 191 $14,255.29 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 5, 2025 10:45am ET $72.35 191 $13,818.85 $13,864.20 $-436.44
(-3.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
9 🟢 BUY Dec 23, 2025 9:40am ET $69.53 199 $13,835.48 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 7, 2026 12:45pm ET $67.43 199 $13,417.58 $13,446.30 $-417.90
(-3.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $13,446.30
Net Profit/Loss: +$3,446.30
Total Return: +34.46%
Back to Marcus Calm Sea