Compendium › Marcus Credit Crisis › META
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
META
Alpaca Tradeable

Marcus Credit Crisis's Analysis

Last 3 Months: 2026-02-07 to present • 4 trades in period

-4.53%
Last 3 Months Return
$12,272.79
Current Value
25%
Win Rate
$12,855.39
Period Start
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PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-05-07 07:48:19

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
47
Neutral
VIX
17.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
45.7 neutral
20d Trend
+4.0%
5d Trend
-8.3%
EMA20 Dist
-2.4%
ATR%
4.3%
Range Pos
42%
Bounce Ratio
2.4×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored May 7, 2026

27
Lifetime
Confidence: 75%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
15.9/35
Total Return
11.4/25
Win Rate
1.8/15
Profit Factor
1.2/15
Consistency
5.4/10
Raw Quality 35.7/100
× Confidence 0.75 = 26.8

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (75%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,758
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-02-09 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
61 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$12,855.39
Current Value
$12,272.79
Period P&L
$-582.60
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.30

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
4
Winners / Losers
1 / 3
Best Trade
+5.38%
Worst Trade
-3.42%
Avg Trade Return
-1.14%
Avg Hold Time
1.9d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$95,067.20
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-582.60
Net P&L (after fees)
$-582.60
Gross Return
-4.53%
Net Return (after fees)
-4.53%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 META Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 61 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 4 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Marcus Credit Crisis had $12,855.39 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Mar 17, 2026 10:40am ET $629.13 20 $12,582.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 19, 2026 10:05am ET $609.33 20 $12,186.60 $12,459.39 $-396.00
(-3.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Mar 23, 2026 12:30pm ET $601.38 20 $12,027.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 26, 2026 9:30am ET $581.09 20 $11,621.80 $12,053.59 $-405.80
(-3.4%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 1, 2026 2:05pm ET $585.70 20 $11,714.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 2, 2026 9:30am ET $565.70 20 $11,313.90 $11,653.49 $-400.10
(-3.4%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 6, 2026 10:40am ET $575.03 20 $11,500.70 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $606.00 20 $12,120.00 $12,272.79 +$619.30
(+5.4%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $12,272.79
Net Profit/Loss: +$2,272.79
Total Return: +22.73%
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