CRWD Marcus Credit Crisis's Analysis
to 2026-05-06 19:55:00+00 • 44 trades executed
+40.22%
2 Years Return
$17,598.35
Current Value
54%
Win Rate
$12,550.44
Period Start
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.
Fear & Greed
47
Neutral
VIX
17.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
19.8 oversold
20d Trend
-20.5%
5d Trend
-15.4%
EMA20 Dist
-14.5%
ATR%
4.6%
Range Pos
0%
Bounce Ratio
0.2×
Green/Red 10d
3/7
Strategy Score Scored May 7, 2026
52
Lifetime
Confidence: 77%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
35.0/35
Total Return
15.7/25
Win Rate
5.5/15
Profit Factor
4.4/15
Consistency
7.7/10
Raw Quality
68.2/100
× Confidence 0.77
= 52.4
30-Day Momentum
Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (77%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
58,019
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-05-07 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
533 days
Data Gaps
None (21 market holidays)
Market Closed (21 days)
2024-05-27 — Memorial Day, 2024-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2024-07-04 — Independence Day, 2024-09-02 — Labor Day, 2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day ... and 1 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary
Starting Capital
$12,550.44
Current Value
$17,598.35
Total P&L
$5,047.91
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.29
Trade Statistics
Total Trades
28
Winners / Losers
15 /
13
Best Trade
+8.10%
Worst Trade
-5.43%
Avg Trade Return
+1.32%
Avg Hold Time
3.6d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$855,467.64
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$5,047.91
Net P&L (after fees)
$5,047.91
Gross Return
+40.22%
Net Return (after fees)
+40.22%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 CRWD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 533 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Complete Trade History
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Marcus Credit Crisis had $12,550.44 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 17, 2024 9:30am ET | $378.30 | 33 | $12,483.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 10, 2024 12:10pm ET | $366.46 | 33 | $12,093.18 | $12,159.72 |
$-390.72 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 31, 2024 12:15pm ET | $233.05 | 52 | $12,118.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 1, 2024 10:25am ET | $225.52 | 52 | $11,727.04 | $11,768.16 |
$-391.56 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 2, 2024 10:25am ET | $213.49 | 55 | $11,741.95 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 6, 2024 9:35am ET | $224.74 | 55 | $12,360.43 | $12,386.64 |
+$618.48 (+5.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 7, 2024 11:30am ET | $236.21 | 52 | $12,282.92 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 13, 2024 12:45pm ET | $248.12 | 52 | $12,902.20 | $13,005.91 |
+$619.28 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 15, 2024 11:20am ET | $259.87 | 50 | $12,993.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 21, 2024 10:00am ET | $274.17 | 50 | $13,708.25 | $13,720.66 |
+$714.75 (+5.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 3, 2024 10:55am ET | $271.00 | 50 | $13,550.21 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 4, 2024 9:30am ET | $262.69 | 50 | $13,134.25 | $13,304.71 |
$-415.96 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 5, 2024 9:30am ET | $255.19 | 52 | $13,269.62 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 6, 2024 10:40am ET | $247.32 | 52 | $12,860.38 | $12,895.47 |
$-409.24 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 9, 2024 10:40am ET | $244.76 | 52 | $12,727.26 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 12, 2024 10:30am ET | $257.20 | 52 | $13,374.40 | $13,542.61 |
+$647.14 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 13, 2024 2:50pm ET | $259.61 | 52 | $13,499.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 19, 2024 9:30am ET | $274.71 | 52 | $14,284.92 | $14,327.81 |
+$785.20 (+5.8%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 13, 2025 9:35am ET | $339.25 | 42 | $14,248.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 17, 2025 9:30am ET | $356.48 | 42 | $14,972.16 | $15,051.47 |
+$723.66 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 18, 2025 9:30am ET | $365.36 | 41 | $14,979.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 25, 2025 9:30am ET | $390.53 | 41 | $16,011.73 | $16,083.44 |
+$1,031.97 (+6.9%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 27, 2025 9:30am ET | $366.11 | 43 | $15,742.73 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 28, 2025 11:00am ET | $355.10 | 43 | $15,269.30 | $15,610.01 |
$-473.43 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 1, 2025 2:00pm ET | $357.90 | 43 | $15,389.49 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 2, 2025 1:15pm ET | $376.23 | 43 | $16,177.68 | $16,398.20 |
+$788.19 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 3, 2025 3:50pm ET | $348.32 | 47 | $16,371.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 4, 2025 9:30am ET | $329.40 | 47 | $15,481.80 | $15,508.96 |
$-889.24 (-5.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 7, 2025 9:30am ET | $309.78 | 50 | $15,489.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 7, 2025 10:10am ET | $334.86 | 50 | $16,743.00 | $16,762.96 |
+$1,254.00 (+8.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 8, 2025 11:25am ET | $341.96 | 49 | $16,756.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 8, 2025 1:05pm ET | $331.33 | 49 | $16,235.17 | $16,242.09 |
$-520.87 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 10, 2025 9:50am ET | $367.42 | 44 | $16,166.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 14, 2025 10:00am ET | $387.55 | 44 | $17,052.20 | $17,127.81 |
+$885.72 (+5.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 15, 2025 1:35pm ET | $395.65 | 43 | $17,012.95 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 16, 2025 1:45pm ET | $383.47 | 43 | $16,489.21 | $16,604.07 |
$-523.74 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 21, 2025 9:30am ET | $370.53 | 44 | $16,303.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 21, 2025 12:50pm ET | $359.08 | 44 | $15,799.52 | $16,100.27 |
$-503.80 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 22, 2025 1:20pm ET | $367.54 | 43 | $15,804.22 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 23, 2025 9:30am ET | $387.00 | 43 | $16,641.00 | $16,937.05 |
+$836.78 (+5.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 28, 2025 11:30am ET | $418.20 | 40 | $16,728.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 1, 2025 11:05am ET | $439.19 | 40 | $17,567.60 | $17,776.65 |
+$839.60 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | May 2, 2025 1:45pm ET | $441.21 | 40 | $17,648.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 7, 2025 9:30am ET | $421.28 | 40 | $16,851.20 | $16,979.45 |
$-797.20 (-4.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | May 8, 2025 3:55pm ET | $428.62 | 39 | $16,716.18 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 9, 2025 9:50am ET | $415.64 | 39 | $16,210.01 | $16,473.28 |
$-506.17 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | May 21, 2025 1:20pm ET | $441.75 | 37 | $16,344.57 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 27, 2025 9:40am ET | $464.32 | 37 | $17,179.66 | $17,308.37 |
+$835.09 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | May 28, 2025 10:05am ET | $467.28 | 37 | $17,289.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 3, 2025 3:20pm ET | $490.87 | 37 | $18,162.19 | $18,181.20 |
+$872.83 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 17, 2026 11:35am ET | $434.19 | 41 | $17,801.79 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 20, 2026 9:35am ET | $416.44 | 41 | $17,074.04 | $17,453.45 |
$-727.75 (-4.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 23, 2026 12:25pm ET | $411.16 | 42 | $17,268.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 24, 2026 9:40am ET | $394.80 | 42 | $16,581.60 | $16,766.33 |
$-687.12 (-4.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 1, 2026 2:10pm ET | $392.42 | 42 | $16,481.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 7, 2026 3:10pm ET | $412.23 | 42 | $17,313.66 | $17,598.35 |
+$832.02 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$17,598.35
Net Profit/Loss:
+$7,598.35
Total Return:
+75.98%