Compendium › Marcus Credit Crisis › META
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
META
Alpaca Tradeable

Marcus Credit Crisis's Analysis

to 2026-05-06 19:55:00+00 • 38 trades executed

+3.10%
2 Years Return
$12,272.79
Current Value
38%
Win Rate
$11,903.45
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-05-07 07:48:18

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
47
Neutral
VIX
17.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
45.7 neutral
20d Trend
+4.0%
5d Trend
-8.3%
EMA20 Dist
-2.4%
ATR%
4.3%
Range Pos
42%
Bounce Ratio
2.4×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored May 7, 2026

27
Lifetime
Confidence: 75%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
15.9/35
Total Return
11.4/25
Win Rate
1.8/15
Profit Factor
1.2/15
Consistency
5.4/10
Raw Quality 35.7/100
× Confidence 0.75 = 26.8

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (75%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
76,715
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-05-07 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
535 days
Data Gaps
None (21 market holidays)

Market Closed (21 days)

2024-05-27 — Memorial Day, 2024-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2024-07-04 — Independence Day, 2024-09-02 — Labor Day, 2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day ... and 1 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary

Starting Capital
$11,903.45
Current Value
$12,272.79
Total P&L
$369.34
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.04

Trade Statistics

Total Trades
26
Winners / Losers
10 / 16
Best Trade
+10.25%
Worst Trade
-6.03%
Avg Trade Return
+0.21%
Avg Hold Time
4.2d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$618,928.31
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$369.34
Net P&L (after fees)
$369.34
Gross Return
+3.10%
Net Return (after fees)
+3.10%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 META Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 535 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Complete Trade History

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Marcus Credit Crisis had $11,903.45 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jun 14, 2024 9:30am ET $502.90 23 $11,566.70 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 5, 2024 11:05am ET $528.82 23 $12,162.86 $12,499.61 +$596.16
(+5.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Jul 31, 2024 1:40pm ET $470.46 26 $12,231.96 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 1, 2024 9:30am ET $518.70 26 $13,486.20 $13,753.85 +$1,254.24
(+10.3%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Aug 2, 2024 10:35am ET $478.00 28 $13,384.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 5, 2024 9:30am ET $459.39 28 $12,862.81 $13,232.66 $-521.19
(-3.9%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Aug 6, 2024 3:45pm ET $495.52 26 $12,883.52 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 13, 2024 9:30am ET $525.53 26 $13,663.78 $14,012.92 +$780.26
(+6.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Aug 14, 2024 12:40pm ET $526.36 26 $13,685.41 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 3, 2024 10:50am ET $510.08 26 $13,262.08 $13,589.59 $-423.33
(-3.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
6 🟢 BUY Sep 5, 2024 11:30am ET $514.65 26 $13,380.90 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 6, 2024 2:05pm ET $498.79 26 $12,968.54 $13,177.23 $-412.36
(-3.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
7 🟢 BUY Sep 9, 2024 2:25pm ET $504.61 26 $13,119.86 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 16, 2024 2:00pm ET $530.00 26 $13,779.87 $13,837.24 +$660.01
(+5.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
8 🟢 BUY Mar 13, 2025 9:35am ET $611.25 22 $13,447.39 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 13, 2025 12:10pm ET $592.69 22 $13,039.18 $13,429.03 $-408.21
(-3.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
9 🟢 BUY Mar 18, 2025 9:30am ET $595.26 22 $13,095.72 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 18, 2025 10:45am ET $576.87 22 $12,691.13 $13,024.44 $-404.59
(-3.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
10 🟢 BUY Mar 27, 2025 9:40am ET $601.56 21 $12,632.76 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 28, 2025 12:15pm ET $583.02 21 $12,243.49 $12,635.17 $-389.27
(-3.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
11 🟢 BUY Apr 1, 2025 2:00pm ET $581.40 21 $12,209.30 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 3, 2025 9:30am ET $546.33 21 $11,472.97 $11,898.85 $-736.32
(-6.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
12 🟢 BUY Apr 4, 2025 9:30am ET $510.20 23 $11,734.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2025 9:30am ET $488.05 23 $11,225.15 $11,389.40 $-509.45
(-4.3%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
13 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2025 10:50am ET $534.31 21 $11,220.51 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2025 1:05pm ET $517.41 21 $10,865.61 $11,034.50 $-354.90
(-3.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
14 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2025 9:55am ET $562.46 19 $10,686.74 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2025 11:55am ET $545.52 19 $10,364.88 $10,712.64 $-321.86
(-3.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
15 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2025 11:10am ET $537.79 19 $10,218.01 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 15, 2025 1:15pm ET $521.41 19 $9,906.79 $10,401.42 $-311.22
(-3.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
16 🟢 BUY Apr 16, 2025 1:30pm ET $505.28 20 $10,105.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 21, 2025 9:40am ET $489.55 20 $9,791.00 $10,086.82 $-314.60
(-3.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
17 🟢 BUY Apr 22, 2025 1:20pm ET $495.05 20 $9,901.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2025 9:30am ET $531.28 20 $10,625.52 $10,811.34 +$724.52
(+7.3%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
18 🟢 BUY Apr 24, 2025 11:45am ET $527.60 20 $10,552.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 28, 2025 9:40am ET $555.36 20 $11,107.20 $11,366.54 +$555.20
(+5.3%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
19 🟢 BUY Apr 29, 2025 11:15am ET $548.72 20 $10,974.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 30, 2025 9:40am ET $532.21 20 $10,644.20 $11,036.34 $-330.20
(-3.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
20 🟢 BUY May 1, 2025 11:55am ET $575.08 19 $10,926.52 — — —
🔴 SELL May 8, 2025 9:30am ET $607.14 19 $11,535.66 $11,645.48 +$609.14
(+5.6%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
21 🟢 BUY May 9, 2025 10:40am ET $594.64 19 $11,298.17 — — —
🔴 SELL May 12, 2025 9:40am ET $624.91 19 $11,873.29 $12,220.60 +$575.12
(+5.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
22 🟢 BUY May 21, 2025 12:15pm ET $642.08 19 $12,199.52 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 4, 2025 9:30am ET $675.49 19 $12,834.31 $12,855.39 +$634.79
(+5.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
23 🟢 BUY Mar 17, 2026 10:40am ET $629.13 20 $12,582.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 19, 2026 10:05am ET $609.33 20 $12,186.60 $12,459.39 $-396.00
(-3.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
24 🟢 BUY Mar 23, 2026 12:30pm ET $601.38 20 $12,027.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 26, 2026 9:30am ET $581.09 20 $11,621.80 $12,053.59 $-405.80
(-3.4%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
25 🟢 BUY Apr 1, 2026 2:05pm ET $585.70 20 $11,714.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 2, 2026 9:30am ET $565.70 20 $11,313.90 $11,653.49 $-400.10
(-3.4%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
26 🟢 BUY Apr 6, 2026 10:40am ET $575.03 20 $11,500.70 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $606.00 20 $12,120.00 $12,272.79 +$619.30
(+5.4%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $12,272.79
Net Profit/Loss: +$2,272.79
Total Return: +22.73%
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