Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-05-06 10:59:32

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
88.4 overbought
20d Trend
+12.6%
5d Trend
+5.8%
EMA20 Dist
+6.5%
ATR%
1.5%
Range Pos
98%
Bounce Ratio
40.5×
Green/Red 10d
8/2
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

38
Lifetime
Confidence: 70%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
21.8/35
Total Return
12.5/25
Win Rate
8.4/15
Profit Factor
4.4/15
Consistency
7.5/10
Raw Quality 54.7/100
× Confidence 0.70 = 38.5

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (70%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,733
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-04-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
23 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$13,872.74
Current Value
$13,117.77
Period P&L
$-754.96
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
-10.36

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
2
Winners / Losers
0 / 2
Best Trade
-3.04%
Worst Trade
-3.68%
Avg Trade Return
-3.36%
Avg Hold Time
9d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$53,923.99
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-754.96
Net P&L (after fees)
$-754.96
Gross Return
-5.44%
Net Return (after fees)
-5.44%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 JNJ Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 23 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 2 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Marcus Fed Whisperer had $13,872.74 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Apr 2, 2026 11:45am ET $245.24 57 $13,978.96
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 9:35am ET $237.80 57 $13,554.60 $13,613.10 $-424.36
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 9:35am ET $235.84 57 $13,442.88
🔴 SELL Apr 21, 2026 9:35am ET $227.15 57 $12,947.55 $13,117.77 $-495.33
(-3.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $13,117.77
Net Profit/Loss: +$3,117.77
Total Return: +31.18%
Back to Marcus Fed Whisperer