Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-05-06 10:05:26

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
67.3 neutral
20d Trend
+15.2%
5d Trend
+22.2%
EMA20 Dist
+12.2%
ATR%
4.2%
Range Pos
70%
Bounce Ratio
3.0×
Green/Red 10d
3/7
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

39
Lifetime
Confidence: 87%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
21.7/35
Total Return
12.5/25
Win Rate
3.1/15
Profit Factor
1.4/15
Consistency
5.6/10
Raw Quality 44.2/100
× Confidence 0.87 = 38.6

30-Day Momentum

6
-30.5%
30d Return
0%
Win Rate
8
Trades
0.4×
Profit Factor
Quality: 7.1 Conf: 0.81×
Declining (-33 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (87%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,723
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-04-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
23 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$18,464.82
Current Value
$13,102.69
Period P&L
$-5,362.14
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
-1.44

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
8
Winners / Losers
0 / 8
Best Trade
-3.01%
Worst Trade
-12.42%
Avg Trade Return
-4.41%
Avg Hold Time
2.6d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$240,297.30
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-5,362.14
Net P&L (after fees)
$-5,362.14
Gross Return
-29.04%
Net Return (after fees)
-29.04%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 SQQQ Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 23 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 8 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Marcus Fed Whisperer had $18,464.82 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Apr 2, 2026 10:40am ET $77.63 242 $18,786.46
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $67.99 242 $16,453.58 $16,522.78 $-2,332.88
(-12.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2026 11:25am ET $69.29 238 $16,491.02
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2026 9:30am ET $67.17 238 $15,987.08 $16,018.84 $-503.94
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 13, 2026 10:45am ET $67.40 237 $15,973.82
🔴 SELL Apr 14, 2026 9:30am ET $64.35 237 $15,250.95 $15,295.97 $-722.87
(-4.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 15, 2026 9:30am ET $61.79 247 $15,262.13
🔴 SELL Apr 15, 2026 3:00pm ET $59.88 247 $14,790.34 $14,824.18 $-471.79
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 16, 2026 3:30pm ET $58.90 251 $14,783.93
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2026 9:45am ET $57.11 251 $14,334.59 $14,374.84 $-449.34
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 21, 2026 9:30am ET $56.44 254 $14,334.49
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 9:50am ET $54.74 254 $13,902.69 $13,943.04 $-431.80
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 24, 2026 9:50am ET $53.70 259 $13,909.47
🔴 SELL Apr 30, 2026 1:45pm ET $52.08 259 $13,488.75 $13,522.32 $-420.72
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
8 🟢 BUY May 1, 2026 1:50pm ET $49.94 270 $13,483.83
🔴 SELL May 5, 2026 2:05pm ET $48.39 270 $13,064.19 $13,102.69 $-419.63
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $13,102.69
Net Profit/Loss: +$3,102.69
Total Return: +31.03%
Back to Marcus Fed Whisperer