Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-05-06 10:59:21

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
88.4 overbought
20d Trend
+12.6%
5d Trend
+5.8%
EMA20 Dist
+6.5%
ATR%
1.5%
Range Pos
98%
Bounce Ratio
40.5×
Green/Red 10d
8/2
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

38
Lifetime
Confidence: 70%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
21.8/35
Total Return
12.5/25
Win Rate
8.4/15
Profit Factor
4.4/15
Consistency
7.5/10
Raw Quality 54.7/100
× Confidence 0.70 = 38.5

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (70%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,819
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-02-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
62 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$13,921.44
Current Value
$13,117.77
Period P&L
$-803.66
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.28

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
6
Winners / Losers
2 / 4
Best Trade
+5.28%
Worst Trade
-3.68%
Avg Trade Return
-0.95%
Avg Hold Time
10.2d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$163,600.76
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-803.66
Net P&L (after fees)
$-803.66
Gross Return
-5.77%
Net Return (after fees)
-5.77%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 JNJ Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 62 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 6 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Marcus Fed Whisperer had $13,921.44 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Feb 6, 2026 11:25am ET $238.39 58 $13,826.62
🔴 SELL Feb 13, 2026 3:55pm ET $242.71 58 $14,077.18 $14,171.99 +$250.56
(+1.8%)
📅 Sim Ended
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Feb 17, 2026 3:55pm ET $243.14 58 $14,102.12
🔴 SELL Mar 6, 2026 10:45am ET $235.79 58 $13,676.11 $13,745.98 $-426.01
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Mar 9, 2026 1:50pm ET $241.90 56 $13,546.12
🔴 SELL Mar 20, 2026 3:50pm ET $234.57 56 $13,135.64 $13,335.50 $-410.48
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Mar 24, 2026 9:30am ET $233.43 57 $13,305.51
🔴 SELL Apr 1, 2026 9:30am ET $245.74 57 $14,007.46 $14,037.46 +$701.96
(+5.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 2, 2026 11:45am ET $245.24 57 $13,978.96
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 9:35am ET $237.80 57 $13,554.60 $13,613.10 $-424.36
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 9:35am ET $235.84 57 $13,442.88
🔴 SELL Apr 21, 2026 9:35am ET $227.15 57 $12,947.55 $13,117.77 $-495.33
(-3.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $13,117.77
Net Profit/Loss: +$3,117.77
Total Return: +31.18%
Back to Marcus Fed Whisperer