Compendium › Marcus Fed Whisperer › CVX
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
CVX
Alpaca Tradeable

Marcus Fed Whisperer's Analysis

to 2026-05-06 14:00:00+00 • 18 trades executed

+27.95%
2 Years Return
$12,794.62
Current Value
56%
Win Rate
$10,000.00
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-05-06 10:04:39

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
71.5 overbought
20d Trend
+9.1%
5d Trend
+1.1%
EMA20 Dist
+4.3%
ATR%
2.0%
Range Pos
90%
Bounce Ratio
3.3×
Green/Red 10d
7/3
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

35
Lifetime
Confidence: 74%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
19.6/35
Total Return
12.1/25
Win Rate
5.8/15
Profit Factor
3.7/15
Consistency
6.3/10
Raw Quality 47.5/100
× Confidence 0.74 = 35.2

30-Day Momentum

1
-6.1%
30d Return
25%
Win Rate
4
Trades
0.7×
Profit Factor
Quality: 1.4 Conf: 0.66×
Declining (-34 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (74%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
54,219
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-05-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
530 days
Data Gaps
None (21 market holidays)

Market Closed (21 days)

2024-05-27 — Memorial Day, 2024-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2024-07-04 — Independence Day, 2024-09-02 — Labor Day, 2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day ... and 1 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary

Starting Capital
$10,000.00
Current Value
$12,794.62
Total P&L
$2,794.64
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.35

Trade Statistics

Total Trades
18
Winners / Losers
10 / 8
Best Trade
+9.26%
Worst Trade
-4.18%
Avg Trade Return
+1.48%
Avg Hold Time
10.3d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$417,536.22
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$2,794.64
Net P&L (after fees)
$2,794.64
Gross Return
+27.95%
Net Return (after fees)
+27.95%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 CVX Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 530 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Complete Trade History

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Marcus Fed Whisperer had $10,000.00 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Sep 18, 2025 10:50am ET $159.22 62 $9,871.64 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 30, 2025 10:10am ET $154.37 62 $9,570.94 $9,699.30 $-300.70
(-3.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Oct 1, 2025 10:10am ET $153.47 63 $9,668.61 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 31, 2025 10:10am ET $157.81 63 $9,941.72 $9,972.41 +$273.11
(+2.8%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Nov 3, 2025 10:10am ET $154.41 64 $9,882.24 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 21, 2025 9:40am ET $149.66 64 $9,578.24 $9,668.41 $-304.00
(-3.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Nov 24, 2025 9:40am ET $148.35 65 $9,642.69 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 24, 2025 9:40am ET $150.72 65 $9,796.80 $9,822.52 +$154.12
(+1.6%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Dec 26, 2025 2:25pm ET $149.67 65 $9,728.55 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 5, 2026 9:30am ET $163.53 65 $10,629.44 $10,723.41 +$900.89
(+9.3%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
6 🟢 BUY Jan 6, 2026 9:30am ET $163.46 65 $10,624.90 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 6, 2026 11:40am ET $158.49 65 $10,301.85 $10,400.36 $-323.05
(-3.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
7 🟢 BUY Jan 7, 2026 12:15pm ET $155.83 66 $10,284.78 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 13, 2026 9:30am ET $163.70 66 $10,804.20 $10,919.78 +$519.42
(+5.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
8 🟢 BUY Jan 14, 2026 3:45pm ET $167.07 65 $10,859.23 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 30, 2026 2:15pm ET $175.76 65 $11,424.40 $11,484.96 +$565.18
(+5.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
9 🟢 BUY Feb 2, 2026 3:40pm ET $174.42 65 $11,337.30 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 11, 2026 9:30am ET $184.85 65 $12,015.25 $12,162.91 +$677.95
(+6.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
10 🟢 BUY Feb 12, 2026 9:35am ET $184.35 65 $11,983.07 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 13, 2026 3:55pm ET $183.49 65 $11,926.85 $12,106.68 $-56.22
(-0.5%) 		📅 Sim Ended
0m held
11 🟢 BUY Feb 18, 2026 2:20pm ET $182.72 66 $12,059.52 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 6, 2026 9:35am ET $191.96 66 $12,669.36 $12,716.52 +$609.84
(+5.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
12 🟢 BUY Mar 9, 2026 2:15pm ET $189.70 67 $12,709.90 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 17, 2026 10:05am ET $199.71 67 $13,380.57 $13,387.19 +$670.67
(+5.3%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
13 🟢 BUY Mar 19, 2026 11:40am ET $200.55 66 $13,236.63 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 27, 2026 9:55am ET $210.93 66 $13,921.38 $14,071.94 +$684.75
(+5.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
14 🟢 BUY Mar 30, 2026 12:45pm ET $212.61 66 $14,032.26 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 31, 2026 1:10pm ET $205.86 66 $13,586.76 $13,626.44 $-445.50
(-3.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
15 🟢 BUY Apr 1, 2026 1:20pm ET $195.50 69 $13,489.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 9:35am ET $188.88 69 $13,032.72 $13,169.66 $-456.78
(-3.4%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
16 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2026 11:05am ET $195.08 67 $13,070.35 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2026 9:55am ET $188.32 67 $12,617.44 $12,716.75 $-452.91
(-3.5%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
17 🟢 BUY Apr 13, 2026 10:45am ET $189.79 67 $12,715.93 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2026 9:30am ET $181.86 67 $12,184.62 $12,185.44 $-531.31
(-4.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
18 🟢 BUY Apr 20, 2026 11:35am ET $184.45 66 $12,173.70 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 30, 2026 12:20pm ET $193.68 66 $12,782.88 $12,794.62 +$609.18
(+5.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $12,794.62
Net Profit/Loss: +$2,794.62
Total Return: +27.95%
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