SQQQ Marcus Fed Whisperer's Analysis
to 2026-05-06 14:00:00+00 • 54 trades executed
+31.03%
2 Years Return
$13,102.69
Current Value
48%
Win Rate
$10,000.00
Period Start
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.
Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
67.3 neutral
20d Trend
+15.2%
5d Trend
+22.2%
EMA20 Dist
+12.2%
ATR%
4.2%
Range Pos
70%
Bounce Ratio
3.0×
Green/Red 10d
3/7
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.
Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026
39
Lifetime
Confidence: 87%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
21.7/35
Total Return
12.5/25
Win Rate
3.1/15
Profit Factor
1.4/15
Consistency
5.6/10
Raw Quality
44.2/100
× Confidence 0.87
= 38.6
30-Day Momentum
6
-30.5%
30d Return
0%
Win Rate
8
Trades
0.4×
Profit Factor
Quality: 7.1
Conf: 0.81×
Declining (-33 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (87%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
88,421
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-05-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
536 days
Data Gaps
None (21 market holidays)
Market Closed (21 days)
2024-05-27 — Memorial Day, 2024-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2024-07-04 — Independence Day, 2024-09-02 — Labor Day, 2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day ... and 1 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary
Starting Capital
$10,000.00
Current Value
$13,102.69
Total P&L
$3,102.68
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.13
Trade Statistics
Total Trades
54
Winners / Losers
26 /
28
Best Trade
+6.96%
Worst Trade
-12.42%
Avg Trade Return
+0.61%
Avg Hold Time
2.5d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,459,118.08
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$3,102.68
Net P&L (after fees)
$3,102.68
Gross Return
+31.03%
Net Return (after fees)
+31.03%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 SQQQ Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 536 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Complete Trade History
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Marcus Fed Whisperer had $10,000.00 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 18, 2025 9:30am ET | $79.30 | 126 | $9,991.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 22, 2025 12:10pm ET | $76.85 | 126 | $9,683.10 | $9,691.30 |
$-308.70 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 24, 2025 9:30am ET | $76.74 | 126 | $9,669.81 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 25, 2025 9:40am ET | $80.60 | 126 | $10,155.60 | $10,177.09 |
+$485.79 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 26, 2025 9:55am ET | $78.00 | 130 | $10,139.87 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 29, 2025 10:05am ET | $75.55 | 130 | $9,821.50 | $9,858.72 |
$-318.37 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 30, 2025 11:00am ET | $76.63 | 128 | $9,809.15 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 2, 2025 9:30am ET | $74.15 | 128 | $9,491.14 | $9,540.71 |
$-318.02 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 3, 2025 11:15am ET | $74.05 | 128 | $9,478.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 10, 2025 12:50pm ET | $77.83 | 128 | $9,961.60 | $10,023.91 |
+$483.20 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 13, 2025 12:50pm ET | $75.01 | 133 | $9,976.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 14, 2025 9:35am ET | $78.77 | 133 | $10,475.94 | $10,523.85 |
+$499.95 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 15, 2025 10:15am ET | $73.58 | 143 | $10,521.23 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 16, 2025 2:15pm ET | $77.30 | 143 | $11,053.90 | $11,056.53 |
+$532.67 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 17, 2025 2:25pm ET | $74.23 | 148 | $10,985.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 20, 2025 10:25am ET | $71.88 | 148 | $10,637.72 | $10,708.95 |
$-347.58 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 21, 2025 12:25pm ET | $71.43 | 149 | $10,642.33 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 22, 2025 1:20pm ET | $75.20 | 149 | $11,204.73 | $11,271.35 |
+$562.40 (+5.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 24, 2025 9:30am ET | $70.00 | 161 | $11,270.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 27, 2025 9:30am ET | $67.30 | 161 | $10,835.30 | $10,836.65 |
$-434.70 (-3.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 28, 2025 9:30am ET | $65.28 | 166 | $10,835.65 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 4, 2025 1:15pm ET | $68.55 | 166 | $11,378.47 | $11,379.47 |
+$542.82 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 5, 2025 1:15pm ET | $66.95 | 169 | $11,314.47 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 6, 2025 10:35am ET | $70.57 | 169 | $11,926.84 | $11,991.84 |
+$612.37 (+5.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 7, 2025 1:10pm ET | $74.65 | 160 | $11,943.92 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 7, 2025 3:55pm ET | $72.15 | 160 | $11,544.00 | $11,591.92 |
$-399.92 (-3.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 11, 2025 12:45pm ET | $68.35 | 169 | $11,551.15 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 13, 2025 12:10pm ET | $71.77 | 169 | $12,129.81 | $12,170.58 |
+$578.66 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 14, 2025 12:10pm ET | $70.80 | 171 | $12,106.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 17, 2025 2:15pm ET | $74.36 | 171 | $12,715.47 | $12,779.25 |
+$608.67 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 19, 2025 10:00am ET | $73.71 | 173 | $12,751.74 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 19, 2025 12:35pm ET | $77.50 | 173 | $13,407.50 | $13,435.01 |
+$655.76 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 21, 2025 11:45am ET | $80.06 | 167 | $13,370.02 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 21, 2025 1:45pm ET | $77.23 | 167 | $12,897.41 | $12,962.40 |
$-472.61 (-3.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 24, 2025 3:50pm ET | $72.68 | 178 | $12,937.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 26, 2025 9:30am ET | $70.47 | 178 | $12,543.66 | $12,569.02 |
$-393.38 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 28, 2025 11:05am ET | $68.84 | 182 | $12,528.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 5, 2025 9:30am ET | $66.26 | 182 | $12,059.32 | $12,099.46 |
$-469.56 (-3.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 8, 2025 9:30am ET | $65.71 | 184 | $12,090.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 12, 2025 10:20am ET | $69.16 | 184 | $12,725.44 | $12,734.26 |
+$634.80 (+5.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 16, 2025 3:20pm ET | $71.15 | 178 | $12,664.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 17, 2025 2:30pm ET | $74.81 | 178 | $13,315.29 | $13,384.85 |
+$650.59 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 19, 2025 9:30am ET | $70.22 | 190 | $13,341.33 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 22, 2025 9:30am ET | $68.08 | 190 | $12,935.20 | $12,978.73 |
$-406.13 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 23, 2025 9:40am ET | $67.90 | 191 | $12,968.21 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 24, 2025 9:30am ET | $65.67 | 191 | $12,542.97 | $12,553.48 |
$-425.24 (-3.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 26, 2025 2:00pm ET | $65.11 | 192 | $12,501.12 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 31, 2025 3:55pm ET | $68.51 | 192 | $13,153.92 | $13,206.28 |
+$652.80 (+5.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 5, 2026 9:30am ET | $67.37 | 196 | $13,204.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 7, 2026 9:40am ET | $65.27 | 196 | $12,792.90 | $12,794.66 |
$-411.62 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 8, 2026 3:25pm ET | $66.65 | 191 | $12,730.15 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 9, 2026 1:35pm ET | $64.55 | 191 | $12,329.05 | $12,393.56 |
$-401.10 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 12, 2026 1:45pm ET | $64.28 | 192 | $12,341.57 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 14, 2026 10:45am ET | $68.03 | 192 | $13,061.76 | $13,113.76 |
+$720.19 (+5.8%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 15, 2026 11:55am ET | $64.67 | 202 | $13,063.34 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $69.17 | 202 | $13,972.58 | $14,023.00 |
+$909.24 (+7.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 21, 2026 9:45am ET | $69.95 | 200 | $13,990.14 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 21, 2026 2:35pm ET | $67.68 | 200 | $13,536.00 | $13,568.86 |
$-454.14 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 23, 2026 10:40am ET | $65.57 | 206 | $13,506.39 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 27, 2026 9:55am ET | $63.54 | 206 | $13,089.24 | $13,151.71 |
$-417.15 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 29, 2026 12:00pm ET | $65.71 | 200 | $13,141.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 3, 2026 1:40pm ET | $69.11 | 200 | $13,821.90 | $13,831.89 |
+$680.18 (+5.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 4, 2026 2:40pm ET | $71.33 | 193 | $13,766.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 5, 2026 10:10am ET | $75.32 | 193 | $14,536.18 | $14,601.74 |
+$769.86 (+5.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 6, 2026 11:10am ET | $71.38 | 204 | $14,561.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 9, 2026 10:15am ET | $69.20 | 204 | $14,116.80 | $14,157.02 |
$-444.72 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 11, 2026 2:20pm ET | $68.33 | 207 | $14,145.34 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 12, 2026 11:15am ET | $71.89 | 207 | $14,882.26 | $14,893.94 |
+$736.92 (+5.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 13, 2026 11:55am ET | $71.94 | 207 | $14,892.61 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 13, 2026 3:55pm ET | $72.98 | 207 | $15,106.88 | $15,108.21 |
+$214.27 (+1.4%) |
📅 Sim Ended
0m held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 18, 2026 10:00am ET | $71.46 | 211 | $15,078.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 25, 2026 9:35am ET | $68.92 | 211 | $14,542.12 | $14,572.29 |
$-535.92 (-3.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 26, 2026 11:30am ET | $70.24 | 207 | $14,538.65 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $73.78 | 207 | $15,272.46 | $15,306.10 |
+$733.81 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 3, 2026 11:25am ET | $73.91 | 207 | $15,299.37 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 4, 2026 9:35am ET | $71.30 | 207 | $14,759.10 | $14,765.83 |
$-540.27 (-3.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 5, 2026 3:25pm ET | $70.74 | 208 | $14,713.92 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 9, 2026 9:30am ET | $75.35 | 208 | $15,672.80 | $15,724.71 |
+$958.88 (+6.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 10, 2026 9:30am ET | $70.32 | 223 | $15,681.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 12, 2026 11:05am ET | $73.84 | 223 | $16,466.32 | $16,509.67 |
+$784.96 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 41 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 13, 2026 2:55pm ET | $75.18 | 219 | $16,465.51 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 16, 2026 9:35am ET | $72.79 | 219 | $15,941.01 | $15,985.17 |
$-524.50 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 42 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 17, 2026 9:50am ET | $71.28 | 224 | $15,965.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 18, 2026 3:45pm ET | $75.00 | 224 | $16,798.99 | $16,818.56 |
+$833.39 (+5.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 43 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 19, 2026 3:55pm ET | $75.93 | 221 | $16,780.53 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 20, 2026 2:25pm ET | $80.04 | 221 | $17,687.74 | $17,725.77 |
+$907.21 (+5.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 44 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 23, 2026 2:30pm ET | $76.82 | 230 | $17,669.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 26, 2026 12:50pm ET | $80.68 | 230 | $18,557.55 | $18,613.57 |
+$887.80 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 45 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 30, 2026 9:30am ET | $85.44 | 217 | $18,540.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 30, 2026 3:05pm ET | $89.80 | 217 | $19,486.60 | $19,559.69 |
+$946.12 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 46 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 31, 2026 3:05pm ET | $80.98 | 241 | $19,516.18 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 1, 2026 9:35am ET | $78.06 | 241 | $18,812.15 | $18,855.66 |
$-704.03 (-3.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 47 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 2, 2026 10:40am ET | $77.63 | 242 | $18,786.46 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $67.99 | 242 | $16,453.58 | $16,522.78 |
$-2,332.88 (-12.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 48 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 9, 2026 11:25am ET | $69.29 | 238 | $16,491.02 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 10, 2026 9:30am ET | $67.17 | 238 | $15,987.08 | $16,018.84 |
$-503.94 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 49 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 13, 2026 10:45am ET | $67.40 | 237 | $15,973.82 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 14, 2026 9:30am ET | $64.35 | 237 | $15,250.95 | $15,295.97 |
$-722.87 (-4.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 50 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 15, 2026 9:30am ET | $61.79 | 247 | $15,262.13 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 15, 2026 3:00pm ET | $59.88 | 247 | $14,790.34 | $14,824.18 |
$-471.79 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 51 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 16, 2026 3:30pm ET | $58.90 | 251 | $14,783.93 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 17, 2026 9:45am ET | $57.11 | 251 | $14,334.59 | $14,374.84 |
$-449.34 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 52 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 21, 2026 9:30am ET | $56.44 | 254 | $14,334.49 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 23, 2026 9:50am ET | $54.74 | 254 | $13,902.69 | $13,943.04 |
$-431.80 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 53 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 24, 2026 9:50am ET | $53.70 | 259 | $13,909.47 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 30, 2026 1:45pm ET | $52.08 | 259 | $13,488.75 | $13,522.32 |
$-420.72 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 54 | 🟢 BUY | May 1, 2026 1:50pm ET | $49.94 | 270 | $13,483.83 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 5, 2026 2:05pm ET | $48.39 | 270 | $13,064.19 | $13,102.69 |
$-419.63 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$13,102.69
Net Profit/Loss:
+$3,102.69
Total Return:
+31.03%