Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-05-06 10:05:24

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
88.4 overbought
20d Trend
+12.6%
5d Trend
+5.8%
EMA20 Dist
+6.5%
ATR%
1.5%
Range Pos
98%
Bounce Ratio
40.5×
Green/Red 10d
8/2
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

38
Lifetime
Confidence: 70%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
21.8/35
Total Return
12.5/25
Win Rate
8.4/15
Profit Factor
4.4/15
Consistency
7.5/10
Raw Quality 54.7/100
× Confidence 0.70 = 38.5

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (70%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Year to Date)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
7,161
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-02 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
90 days
Data Gaps
None (4 market holidays)

Market Closed (4 days)

2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Year to Date)

Period Start Capital
$12,224.41
Current Value
$13,117.77
Period P&L
$893.37
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.16

Trade Statistics (Year to Date)

Trades in Period
10
Winners / Losers
5 / 5
Best Trade
+5.28%
Worst Trade
-3.68%
Avg Trade Return
+0.64%
Avg Hold Time
10.7d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$265,201.58
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$893.37
Net P&L (after fees)
$893.37
Gross Return
+7.31%
Net Return (after fees)
+7.31%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 JNJ Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 90 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Year to Date - 10 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Marcus Fed Whisperer had $12,224.41 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Dec 18, 2025 9:30am ET $210.01 59 $12,390.59
🔴 SELL Jan 5, 2026 9:45am ET $203.44 59 $12,002.67 $12,015.25 $-387.92
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Jan 6, 2026 11:55am ET $205.29 58 $11,906.81
🔴 SELL Jan 14, 2026 9:50am ET $215.65 58 $12,507.70 $12,616.14 +$600.89
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Jan 15, 2026 10:20am ET $216.17 58 $12,537.86
🔴 SELL Jan 28, 2026 9:30am ET $227.24 58 $13,179.63 $13,257.91 +$641.77
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Jan 29, 2026 10:40am ET $227.69 58 $13,206.02
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 10:55am ET $239.13 58 $13,869.54 $13,921.43 +$663.52
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Feb 6, 2026 11:25am ET $238.39 58 $13,826.62
🔴 SELL Feb 13, 2026 3:55pm ET $242.71 58 $14,077.18 $14,171.99 +$250.56
(+1.8%)
📅 Sim Ended
0m held
6 🟢 BUY Feb 17, 2026 3:55pm ET $243.14 58 $14,102.12
🔴 SELL Mar 6, 2026 10:45am ET $235.79 58 $13,676.11 $13,745.98 $-426.01
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
7 🟢 BUY Mar 9, 2026 1:50pm ET $241.90 56 $13,546.12
🔴 SELL Mar 20, 2026 3:50pm ET $234.57 56 $13,135.64 $13,335.50 $-410.48
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
8 🟢 BUY Mar 24, 2026 9:30am ET $233.43 57 $13,305.51
🔴 SELL Apr 1, 2026 9:30am ET $245.74 57 $14,007.46 $14,037.46 +$701.96
(+5.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
9 🟢 BUY Apr 2, 2026 11:45am ET $245.24 57 $13,978.96
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 9:35am ET $237.80 57 $13,554.60 $13,613.10 $-424.36
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
10 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 9:35am ET $235.84 57 $13,442.88
🔴 SELL Apr 21, 2026 9:35am ET $227.15 57 $12,947.55 $13,117.77 $-495.33
(-3.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $13,117.77
Net Profit/Loss: +$3,117.77
Total Return: +31.18%
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