Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-05-06 05:15:52

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
59.7 neutral
20d Trend
+6.8%
5d Trend
+1.4%
EMA20 Dist
+2.2%
ATR%
3.5%
Range Pos
87%
Bounce Ratio
0.9×
Green/Red 10d
5/5
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 5, 2026

50
Lifetime
Confidence: 76%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
34.4/35
Total Return
14.1/25
Win Rate
5.8/15
Profit Factor
4.7/15
Consistency
7.1/10
Raw Quality 66.2/100
× Confidence 0.76 = 50.3

30-Day Momentum

29
+6.8%
30d Return
67%
Win Rate
3
Trades
1.7×
Profit Factor
Quality: 46.7 Conf: 0.61×
Declining (-22 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (76%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Year to Date)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
8,085
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
91 days
Data Gaps
None (4 market holidays)

Market Closed (4 days)

2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Year to Date)

Period Start Capital
$11,181.99
Current Value
$14,920.27
Period P&L
$3,738.29
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.33

Trade Statistics (Year to Date)

Trades in Period
20
Winners / Losers
11 / 9
Best Trade
+12.85%
Worst Trade
-3.48%
Avg Trade Return
+1.56%
Avg Hold Time
4.4d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$545,901.18
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$3,738.29
Net P&L (after fees)
$3,738.29
Gross Return
+33.43%
Net Return (after fees)
+33.43%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 SLB Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 91 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Year to Date - 20 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Marcus Fed Whisperer had $11,181.99 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Dec 16, 2025 9:45am ET $38.49 290 $11,162.10
🔴 SELL Jan 5, 2026 9:30am ET $43.44 290 $12,596.15 $12,613.13 +$1,434.05
(+12.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Jan 6, 2026 12:15pm ET $43.72 288 $12,591.36
🔴 SELL Jan 7, 2026 12:45pm ET $42.37 288 $12,202.85 $12,224.62 $-388.51
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Jan 9, 2026 2:50pm ET $44.80 272 $12,185.60
🔴 SELL Jan 14, 2026 9:40am ET $47.08 272 $12,805.76 $12,844.78 +$620.16
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Jan 15, 2026 9:40am ET $46.32 277 $12,830.64
🔴 SELL Jan 22, 2026 9:30am ET $48.83 277 $13,525.88 $13,540.02 +$695.24
(+5.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Jan 23, 2026 10:40am ET $49.83 271 $13,502.58
🔴 SELL Jan 30, 2026 9:30am ET $48.12 271 $13,040.52 $13,077.97 $-462.06
(-3.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
6 🟢 BUY Feb 2, 2026 9:45am ET $47.65 274 $13,056.10
🔴 SELL Feb 4, 2026 9:30am ET $50.24 274 $13,764.39 $13,786.26 +$708.29
(+5.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
7 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 9:30am ET $49.69 277 $13,765.51
🔴 SELL Feb 12, 2026 10:00am ET $52.24 277 $14,469.10 $14,489.84 +$703.58
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
8 🟢 BUY Feb 13, 2026 10:00am ET $50.28 288 $14,482.08
🔴 SELL Feb 13, 2026 3:55pm ET $50.42 288 $14,520.99 $14,528.74 +$38.91
(+0.3%)
📅 Sim Ended
0m held
9 🟢 BUY Feb 19, 2026 1:25pm ET $51.54 281 $14,484.00
🔴 SELL Mar 2, 2026 9:35am ET $49.75 281 $13,979.75 $14,024.49 $-504.25
(-3.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
10 🟢 BUY Mar 3, 2026 9:35am ET $50.37 278 $14,001.47
🔴 SELL Mar 3, 2026 10:25am ET $48.85 278 $13,580.30 $13,603.32 $-421.17
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
11 🟢 BUY Mar 4, 2026 12:00pm ET $48.09 282 $13,561.38
🔴 SELL Mar 5, 2026 12:50pm ET $46.65 282 $13,153.89 $13,195.83 $-407.49
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
12 🟢 BUY Mar 6, 2026 3:40pm ET $46.69 282 $13,166.58
🔴 SELL Mar 12, 2026 12:20pm ET $45.27 282 $12,766.14 $12,795.39 $-400.44
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
13 🟢 BUY Mar 16, 2026 12:00pm ET $44.57 287 $12,791.59
🔴 SELL Mar 19, 2026 10:45am ET $46.87 287 $13,451.69 $13,455.49 +$660.10
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
14 🟢 BUY Mar 20, 2026 1:10pm ET $47.41 283 $13,417.03
🔴 SELL Mar 23, 2026 10:40am ET $49.81 283 $14,096.23 $14,134.69 +$679.20
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
15 🟢 BUY Mar 24, 2026 12:25pm ET $50.68 278 $14,089.04
🔴 SELL Mar 27, 2026 11:50am ET $53.34 278 $14,828.49 $14,874.14 +$739.45
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
16 🟢 BUY Mar 30, 2026 12:05pm ET $53.01 280 $14,841.40
🔴 SELL Mar 30, 2026 3:25pm ET $51.40 280 $14,390.60 $14,423.34 $-450.80
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
17 🟢 BUY Apr 1, 2026 9:30am ET $50.80 283 $14,377.25
🔴 SELL Apr 2, 2026 11:55am ET $49.19 283 $13,920.77 $13,966.86 $-456.48
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
18 🟢 BUY Apr 6, 2026 2:05pm ET $49.58 281 $13,933.38
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 3:30pm ET $52.17 281 $14,658.37 $14,691.84 +$724.98
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
19 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2026 10:50am ET $52.52 279 $14,653.08
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2026 9:30am ET $50.78 279 $14,167.62 $14,206.38 $-485.46
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
20 🟢 BUY Apr 20, 2026 9:30am ET $51.97 273 $14,187.81
🔴 SELL Apr 22, 2026 10:10am ET $54.58 273 $14,901.70 $14,920.27 +$713.89
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $14,920.27
Net Profit/Loss: +$4,920.27
Total Return: +49.20%
Back to Marcus Fed Whisperer