Compendium › Marcus Fed Whisperer › AMGN
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
AMGN
Alpaca Tradeable

Marcus Fed Whisperer's Analysis

to 2026-05-06 15:15:00+00 • 18 trades executed

+5.91%
2 Years Return
$10,591.46
Current Value
44%
Win Rate
$10,000.00
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-05-06 11:19:51

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
74.9 overbought
20d Trend
+13.8%
5d Trend
+8.9%
EMA20 Dist
+7.0%
ATR%
3.0%
Range Pos
95%
Bounce Ratio
3.1×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

14
Lifetime
Confidence: 74%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
4.1/35
Total Return
7.0/25
Win Rate
1.7/15
Profit Factor
0.6/15
Consistency
5.0/10
Raw Quality 18.4/100
× Confidence 0.74 = 13.7

30-Day Momentum

0
-13.0%
30d Return
0%
Win Rate
3
Trades
0.6×
Profit Factor
Quality: 0.0 Conf: 0.61×
Declining (-14 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (74%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
43,533
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-05-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
511 days
Data Gaps
None (21 market holidays)

Market Closed (21 days)

2024-05-27 — Memorial Day, 2024-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2024-07-04 — Independence Day, 2024-09-02 — Labor Day, 2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day ... and 1 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary

Starting Capital
$10,000.00
Current Value
$10,591.46
Total P&L
$591.47
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.10

Trade Statistics

Total Trades
18
Winners / Losers
8 / 10
Best Trade
+5.41%
Worst Trade
-6.03%
Avg Trade Return
+0.41%
Avg Hold Time
10.9d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$414,097.33
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$591.47
Net P&L (after fees)
$591.47
Gross Return
+5.91%
Net Return (after fees)
+5.91%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 AMGN Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 511 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Complete Trade History

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Marcus Fed Whisperer had $10,000.00 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Sep 18, 2025 11:40am ET $275.16 36 $9,905.58 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 1, 2025 9:35am ET $289.88 36 $10,435.68 $10,530.10 +$530.10
(+5.4%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Oct 2, 2025 11:05am ET $297.52 35 $10,413.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 27, 2025 9:45am ET $288.26 35 $10,089.10 $10,206.00 $-324.10
(-3.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Oct 28, 2025 2:00pm ET $289.89 35 $10,146.15 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 5, 2025 9:35am ET $305.59 35 $10,695.48 $10,755.33 +$549.33
(+5.4%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Nov 6, 2025 9:40am ET $316.71 33 $10,451.43 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 11, 2025 12:05pm ET $332.62 33 $10,976.46 $11,280.36 +$525.03
(+5.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Nov 12, 2025 12:35pm ET $337.75 33 $11,145.75 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 8, 2025 9:30am ET $327.03 33 $10,791.83 $10,926.43 $-353.93
(-3.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
6 🟢 BUY Dec 9, 2025 9:55am ET $319.00 34 $10,846.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 7, 2026 9:30am ET $335.10 34 $11,393.40 $11,473.83 +$547.40
(+5.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
7 🟢 BUY Jan 8, 2026 9:45am ET $338.13 33 $11,158.29 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 9, 2026 12:40pm ET $327.45 33 $10,805.85 $11,121.39 $-352.44
(-3.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
8 🟢 BUY Jan 12, 2026 12:55pm ET $323.53 34 $10,999.85 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 21, 2026 1:55pm ET $339.71 34 $11,550.14 $11,671.68 +$550.29
(+5.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
9 🟢 BUY Jan 22, 2026 3:20pm ET $346.90 33 $11,447.70 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 4, 2026 12:00pm ET $364.48 33 $12,027.68 $12,251.66 +$579.98
(+5.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
10 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 3:30pm ET $365.79 33 $12,071.07 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 6, 2026 3:55pm ET $384.13 33 $12,676.29 $12,856.88 +$605.22
(+5.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
11 🟢 BUY Feb 10, 2026 9:30am ET $372.92 34 $12,679.28 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 13, 2026 3:55pm ET $369.82 34 $12,573.88 $12,751.47 $-105.40
(-0.8%) 		📅 Sim Ended
0m held
12 🟢 BUY Feb 18, 2026 9:35am ET $371.23 34 $12,621.99 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 27, 2026 11:30am ET $389.82 34 $13,253.71 $13,383.19 +$631.72
(+5.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
13 🟢 BUY Mar 2, 2026 12:10pm ET $384.80 34 $13,083.03 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 3, 2026 10:50am ET $373.22 34 $12,689.48 $12,989.64 $-393.55
(-3.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
14 🟢 BUY Mar 5, 2026 9:30am ET $375.22 34 $12,757.48 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 5, 2026 1:20pm ET $363.14 34 $12,346.76 $12,578.92 $-410.72
(-3.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
15 🟢 BUY Mar 6, 2026 2:55pm ET $367.05 34 $12,479.53 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 18, 2026 9:40am ET $355.11 34 $12,073.74 $12,173.13 $-405.79
(-3.3%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
16 🟢 BUY Mar 19, 2026 12:20pm ET $350.75 34 $11,925.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 9:30am ET $336.25 34 $11,432.50 $11,680.13 $-493.00
(-4.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
17 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 3:10pm ET $348.46 33 $11,499.18 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 9:30am ET $335.79 33 $11,081.07 $11,262.02 $-418.11
(-3.6%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
18 🟢 BUY Apr 30, 2026 1:35pm ET $347.56 32 $11,121.92 — — —
🔴 SELL May 1, 2026 9:30am ET $326.61 32 $10,451.36 $10,591.46 $-670.56
(-6.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $10,591.46
Net Profit/Loss: +$591.46
Total Return: +5.91%
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