Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-06 09:46:31

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
33.4 neutral
20d Trend
-9.7%
5d Trend
-7.1%
EMA20 Dist
-5.9%
ATR%
3.2%
Range Pos
3%
Bounce Ratio
0.7×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored Apr 27, 2026

40
Lifetime
Confidence: 54%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
35.0/35
Total Return
16.0/25
Win Rate
8.0/15
Profit Factor
9.1/15
Consistency
6.3/10
Raw Quality 74.3/100
× Confidence 0.54 = 39.9

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (54%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Year)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
40,948
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-05-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
266 days
Data Gaps
None (10 market holidays)

Market Closed (10 days)

2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Year)

Period Start Capital
$13,905.58
Current Value
$18,220.54
Period P&L
$4,314.97
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
8.31

Trade Statistics (Last Year)

Trades in Period
5
Winners / Losers
5 / 0
Best Trade
+6.65%
Worst Trade
+5.02%
Avg Trade Return
+5.57%
Avg Hold Time
6.4d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$158,998.61
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$4,314.97
Net P&L (after fees)
$4,314.97
Gross Return
+31.03%
Net Return (after fees)
+31.03%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 NVDA Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 266 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Year - 5 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Marcus Grave Dancer had $13,905.58 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jul 22, 2025 9:50am ET $164.85 84 $13,847.40
🔴 SELL Jul 24, 2025 9:35am ET $173.16 84 $14,545.44 $14,603.61 +$698.04
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Oct 14, 2025 9:30am ET $181.34 80 $14,506.80
🔴 SELL Oct 27, 2025 9:35am ET $190.53 80 $15,242.40 $15,339.21 +$735.60
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Nov 7, 2025 9:35am ET $182.22 84 $15,306.48
🔴 SELL Nov 10, 2025 9:30am ET $194.33 84 $16,323.99 $16,356.72 +$1,017.51
(+6.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Nov 25, 2025 9:30am ET $173.99 94 $16,355.06
🔴 SELL Dec 2, 2025 9:30am ET $184.56 94 $17,348.64 $17,350.30 +$993.58
(+6.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Jan 20, 2026 9:35am ET $180.48 96 $17,326.08
🔴 SELL Jan 27, 2026 10:40am ET $189.55 96 $18,196.32 $18,220.54 +$870.24
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $18,220.54
Net Profit/Loss: +$8,220.54
Total Return: +82.21%
Back to Marcus Grave Dancer