Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-07 06:32:43

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
47
Neutral
VIX
17.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
15.8 oversold
20d Trend
-34.3%
5d Trend
-19.1%
EMA20 Dist
-19.9%
ATR%
6.9%
Range Pos
0%
Bounce Ratio
0.2×
Green/Red 10d
1/9

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

25
Lifetime
Confidence: 79%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
13.0/35
Total Return
10.7/25
Win Rate
1.8/15
Profit Factor
1.6/15
Consistency
4.7/10
Raw Quality 31.8/100
× Confidence 0.79 = 25.2

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (79%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Year)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
35,997
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-05-07 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
265 days
Data Gaps
None (10 market holidays)

Market Closed (10 days)

2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Year)

Period Start Capital
$9,662.57
Current Value
$11,852.26
Period P&L
$2,189.69
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.24

Trade Statistics (Last Year)

Trades in Period
20
Winners / Losers
10 / 10
Best Trade
+8.62%
Worst Trade
-5.48%
Avg Trade Return
+1.15%
Avg Hold Time
2.6d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$415,240.24
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$2,189.69
Net P&L (after fees)
$2,189.69
Gross Return
+22.66%
Net Return (after fees)
+22.66%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 ORCL Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 265 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Year - 20 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Marcus Grave Dancer had $9,662.57 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Aug 1, 2025 9:30am ET $246.43 39 $9,610.58
🔴 SELL Aug 19, 2025 12:40pm ET $238.82 39 $9,313.98 $9,365.97 $-296.60
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Aug 29, 2025 10:00am ET $229.33 40 $9,173.20
🔴 SELL Sep 2, 2025 9:30am ET $220.33 40 $8,813.20 $9,005.97 $-360.00
(-3.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Sep 11, 2025 9:40am ET $315.19 28 $8,825.32
🔴 SELL Sep 11, 2025 2:20pm ET $305.28 28 $8,547.84 $8,728.49 $-277.48
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Sep 23, 2025 9:45am ET $313.51 27 $8,464.77
🔴 SELL Sep 24, 2025 11:40am ET $303.38 27 $8,191.13 $8,454.85 $-273.65
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Oct 7, 2025 11:05am ET $271.93 31 $8,429.83
🔴 SELL Oct 8, 2025 9:30am ET $287.71 31 $8,919.01 $8,944.03 +$489.18
(+5.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
6 🟢 BUY Oct 14, 2025 9:30am ET $298.50 29 $8,656.50
🔴 SELL Oct 16, 2025 1:05pm ET $318.80 29 $9,245.06 $9,532.58 +$588.56
(+6.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
7 🟢 BUY Nov 7, 2025 9:35am ET $235.04 40 $9,401.60
🔴 SELL Nov 10, 2025 9:35am ET $246.97 40 $9,878.80 $10,009.78 +$477.20
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
8 🟢 BUY Nov 21, 2025 9:30am ET $205.55 48 $9,866.40
🔴 SELL Nov 21, 2025 10:00am ET $199.22 48 $9,562.56 $9,705.94 $-303.84
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
9 🟢 BUY Nov 25, 2025 9:30am ET $190.46 50 $9,523.00
🔴 SELL Nov 26, 2025 9:30am ET $206.88 50 $10,344.00 $10,526.94 +$821.00
(+8.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
10 🟢 BUY Nov 28, 2025 9:35am ET $198.36 53 $10,513.08
🔴 SELL Dec 2, 2025 9:35am ET $208.56 53 $11,053.68 $11,067.54 +$540.60
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
11 🟢 BUY Dec 11, 2025 9:30am ET $189.08 58 $10,966.64
🔴 SELL Dec 11, 2025 2:00pm ET $198.63 58 $11,520.54 $11,621.44 +$553.90
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
12 🟢 BUY Dec 17, 2025 9:45am ET $180.97 64 $11,582.08
🔴 SELL Dec 19, 2025 9:35am ET $191.65 64 $12,265.60 $12,304.96 +$683.52
(+5.9%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
13 🟢 BUY Jan 27, 2026 9:30am ET $177.16 69 $12,224.04
🔴 SELL Jan 29, 2026 9:30am ET $167.46 69 $11,554.40 $11,635.32 $-669.64
(-5.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
14 🟢 BUY Feb 3, 2026 9:55am ET $155.09 75 $11,631.75
🔴 SELL Feb 4, 2026 9:30am ET $148.88 75 $11,166.00 $11,169.57 $-465.75
(-4.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
15 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 10:00am ET $140.97 79 $11,136.63
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 3:20pm ET $136.60 79 $10,791.57 $10,824.51 $-345.06
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
16 🟢 BUY Feb 23, 2026 9:35am ET $142.68 75 $10,701.00
🔴 SELL Feb 25, 2026 9:50am ET $149.96 75 $11,247.00 $11,370.51 +$546.00
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
17 🟢 BUY Feb 27, 2026 9:30am ET $144.22 78 $11,249.16
🔴 SELL Mar 4, 2026 9:35am ET $151.96 78 $11,852.49 $11,973.84 +$603.33
(+5.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
18 🟢 BUY Mar 6, 2026 3:30pm ET $151.99 78 $11,854.83
🔴 SELL Mar 9, 2026 9:40am ET $147.17 78 $11,479.26 $11,598.27 $-375.57
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
19 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2026 9:30am ET $179.80 64 $11,507.20
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 1:50pm ET $174.30 64 $11,155.20 $11,246.27 $-352.00
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
20 🟢 BUY Apr 28, 2026 9:30am ET $162.43 69 $11,207.67
🔴 SELL May 1, 2026 11:20am ET $171.21 69 $11,813.66 $11,852.26 +$605.99
(+5.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $11,852.26
Net Profit/Loss: +$1,852.26
Total Return: +18.52%
Back to Marcus Grave Dancer