ORCL Marcus Grave Dancer's Analysis
to 2026-05-06 19:55:00+00 • 29 trades executed
+18.52%
2 Years Return
$11,852.26
Current Value
45%
Win Rate
$10,000.00
Period Start
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.
Fear & Greed
47
Neutral
VIX
17.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
15.8 oversold
20d Trend
-34.3%
5d Trend
-19.1%
EMA20 Dist
-19.9%
ATR%
6.9%
Range Pos
0%
Bounce Ratio
0.2×
Green/Red 10d
1/9
Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026
25
Lifetime
Confidence: 79%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
13.0/35
Total Return
10.7/25
Win Rate
1.8/15
Profit Factor
1.6/15
Consistency
4.7/10
Raw Quality
31.8/100
× Confidence 0.79
= 25.2
30-Day Momentum
Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (79%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
66,591
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-05-07 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
535 days
Data Gaps
None (21 market holidays)
Market Closed (21 days)
2024-05-27 — Memorial Day, 2024-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2024-07-04 — Independence Day, 2024-09-02 — Labor Day, 2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day ... and 1 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary
Starting Capital
$10,000.00
Current Value
$11,852.26
Total P&L
$1,852.26
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.15
Trade Statistics
Total Trades
29
Winners / Losers
13 /
16
Best Trade
+8.62%
Worst Trade
-5.48%
Avg Trade Return
+0.71%
Avg Hold Time
2.8d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$583,266.36
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,852.26
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,852.26
Gross Return
+18.52%
Net Return (after fees)
+18.52%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 ORCL Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 535 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Complete Trade History
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Marcus Grave Dancer had $10,000.00 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 2, 2024 9:30am ET | $132.30 | 75 | $9,922.13 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 5, 2024 9:30am ET | $127.23 | 75 | $9,542.27 | $9,620.14 |
$-379.86 (-3.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 10, 2024 9:30am ET | $173.25 | 55 | $9,528.89 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 18, 2024 3:25pm ET | $167.98 | 55 | $9,238.90 | $9,330.15 |
$-289.99 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 10, 2025 9:40am ET | $156.63 | 59 | $9,240.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 21, 2025 9:35am ET | $165.14 | 59 | $9,743.26 | $9,832.53 |
+$502.38 (+5.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 27, 2025 9:30am ET | $169.93 | 57 | $9,686.01 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 27, 2025 11:20am ET | $164.78 | 57 | $9,392.46 | $9,538.98 |
$-293.55 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 28, 2025 9:30am ET | $161.19 | 59 | $9,510.21 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 4, 2025 10:00am ET | $155.88 | 59 | $9,196.92 | $9,225.69 |
$-313.29 (-3.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 6, 2025 9:30am ET | $156.32 | 59 | $9,222.59 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 6, 2025 1:05pm ET | $151.55 | 59 | $8,941.45 | $8,944.56 |
$-281.13 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 11, 2025 9:30am ET | $140.02 | 63 | $8,821.26 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 12, 2025 9:35am ET | $147.49 | 63 | $9,291.56 | $9,414.85 |
+$470.30 (+5.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 3, 2025 9:45am ET | $139.46 | 67 | $9,343.82 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 4, 2025 9:30am ET | $132.55 | 67 | $8,880.52 | $8,951.55 |
$-463.31 (-5.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 7, 2025 9:30am ET | $122.00 | 73 | $8,906.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 7, 2025 10:10am ET | $131.74 | 73 | $9,617.02 | $9,662.57 |
+$711.02 (+8.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 1, 2025 9:30am ET | $246.43 | 39 | $9,610.58 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 19, 2025 12:40pm ET | $238.82 | 39 | $9,313.98 | $9,365.97 |
$-296.60 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 29, 2025 10:00am ET | $229.33 | 40 | $9,173.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 2, 2025 9:30am ET | $220.33 | 40 | $8,813.20 | $9,005.97 |
$-360.00 (-3.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 11, 2025 9:40am ET | $315.19 | 28 | $8,825.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 11, 2025 2:20pm ET | $305.28 | 28 | $8,547.84 | $8,728.49 |
$-277.48 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 23, 2025 9:45am ET | $313.51 | 27 | $8,464.77 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 24, 2025 11:40am ET | $303.38 | 27 | $8,191.13 | $8,454.85 |
$-273.65 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 7, 2025 11:05am ET | $271.93 | 31 | $8,429.83 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 8, 2025 9:30am ET | $287.71 | 31 | $8,919.01 | $8,944.03 |
+$489.18 (+5.8%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 14, 2025 9:30am ET | $298.50 | 29 | $8,656.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 16, 2025 1:05pm ET | $318.80 | 29 | $9,245.06 | $9,532.58 |
+$588.56 (+6.8%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 7, 2025 9:35am ET | $235.04 | 40 | $9,401.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 10, 2025 9:35am ET | $246.97 | 40 | $9,878.80 | $10,009.78 |
+$477.20 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 21, 2025 9:30am ET | $205.55 | 48 | $9,866.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 21, 2025 10:00am ET | $199.22 | 48 | $9,562.56 | $9,705.94 |
$-303.84 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 25, 2025 9:30am ET | $190.46 | 50 | $9,523.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 26, 2025 9:30am ET | $206.88 | 50 | $10,344.00 | $10,526.94 |
+$821.00 (+8.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 28, 2025 9:35am ET | $198.36 | 53 | $10,513.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 2, 2025 9:35am ET | $208.56 | 53 | $11,053.68 | $11,067.54 |
+$540.60 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 11, 2025 9:30am ET | $189.08 | 58 | $10,966.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 11, 2025 2:00pm ET | $198.63 | 58 | $11,520.54 | $11,621.44 |
+$553.90 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 17, 2025 9:45am ET | $180.97 | 64 | $11,582.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 19, 2025 9:35am ET | $191.65 | 64 | $12,265.60 | $12,304.96 |
+$683.52 (+5.9%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $177.16 | 69 | $12,224.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 29, 2026 9:30am ET | $167.46 | 69 | $11,554.40 | $11,635.32 |
$-669.64 (-5.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 3, 2026 9:55am ET | $155.09 | 75 | $11,631.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 4, 2026 9:30am ET | $148.88 | 75 | $11,166.00 | $11,169.57 |
$-465.75 (-4.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 5, 2026 10:00am ET | $140.97 | 79 | $11,136.63 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 5, 2026 3:20pm ET | $136.60 | 79 | $10,791.57 | $10,824.51 |
$-345.06 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 23, 2026 9:35am ET | $142.68 | 75 | $10,701.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 25, 2026 9:50am ET | $149.96 | 75 | $11,247.00 | $11,370.51 |
+$546.00 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $144.22 | 78 | $11,249.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 4, 2026 9:35am ET | $151.96 | 78 | $11,852.49 | $11,973.84 |
+$603.33 (+5.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 6, 2026 3:30pm ET | $151.99 | 78 | $11,854.83 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 9, 2026 9:40am ET | $147.17 | 78 | $11,479.26 | $11,598.27 |
$-375.57 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $179.80 | 64 | $11,507.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 23, 2026 1:50pm ET | $174.30 | 64 | $11,155.20 | $11,246.27 |
$-352.00 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 28, 2026 9:30am ET | $162.43 | 69 | $11,207.67 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 1, 2026 11:20am ET | $171.21 | 69 | $11,813.66 | $11,852.26 |
+$605.99 (+5.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$11,852.26
Net Profit/Loss:
+$1,852.26
Total Return:
+18.52%