Compendium › Marcus Grave Dancer › MARA
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
MARA
Alpaca Tradeable

Marcus Grave Dancer's Analysis

Year to Date: 2026-01-01 to present • 17 trades in period

+2.48%
Year to Date Return
$9,817.34
Current Value
41%
Win Rate
$9,579.69
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-06 08:30:27

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
20.9 oversold
20d Trend
-40.9%
5d Trend
-30.4%
EMA20 Dist
-28.9%
ATR%
10.8%
Range Pos
1%
Bounce Ratio
0.2×
Green/Red 10d
2/8
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

3
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
3.2/10
Raw Quality 3.2/100
× Confidence 0.98 = 3.2

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Year to Date)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
9,371
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
91 days
Data Gaps
None (4 market holidays)

Market Closed (4 days)

2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Year to Date)

Period Start Capital
$9,579.69
Current Value
$9,817.34
Period P&L
$237.68
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.05

Trade Statistics (Year to Date)

Trades in Period
17
Winners / Losers
7 / 10
Best Trade
+6.01%
Worst Trade
-4.75%
Avg Trade Return
+0.24%
Avg Hold Time
8.6h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$337,705.21
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$237.68
Net P&L (after fees)
$237.68
Gross Return
+2.48%
Net Return (after fees)
+2.48%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 MARA Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 91 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Year to Date - 17 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Marcus Grave Dancer had $9,579.69 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jan 20, 2026 9:30am ET $10.40 921 $9,573.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 20, 2026 12:15pm ET $10.95 921 $10,084.12 $10,089.99 +$510.33
(+5.3%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Jan 26, 2026 9:30am ET $10.22 987 $10,087.24 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 26, 2026 11:15am ET $9.91 987 $9,776.24 $9,778.98 $-311.00
(-3.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Jan 29, 2026 10:05am ET $9.85 993 $9,778.57 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 30, 2026 9:55am ET $9.55 993 $9,478.19 $9,478.60 $-300.38
(-3.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Feb 3, 2026 1:20pm ET $8.78 1,079 $9,469.84 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 4, 2026 9:55am ET $8.49 1,079 $9,155.85 $9,164.61 $-313.99
(-3.3%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 9:55am ET $7.66 1,195 $9,159.67 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 10:10am ET $7.30 1,195 $8,724.70 $8,729.63 $-434.98
(-4.7%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
6 🟢 BUY Feb 9, 2026 9:30am ET $7.82 1,115 $8,724.87 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 10:00am ET $8.30 1,115 $9,248.93 $9,253.68 +$524.05
(+6.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
7 🟢 BUY Feb 11, 2026 9:30am ET $7.46 1,240 $9,250.28 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 11, 2026 11:05am ET $7.87 1,240 $9,758.80 $9,762.21 +$508.52
(+5.5%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
8 🟢 BUY Feb 17, 2026 9:45am ET $7.54 1,294 $9,756.76 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 19, 2026 2:55pm ET $7.92 1,294 $10,248.61 $10,254.06 +$491.85
(+5.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
9 🟢 BUY Mar 2, 2026 9:30am ET $8.60 1,191 $10,248.55 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 2, 2026 9:50am ET $9.06 1,191 $10,790.46 $10,795.97 +$541.91
(+5.3%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
10 🟢 BUY Mar 3, 2026 9:50am ET $8.94 1,207 $10,790.58 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 3, 2026 10:25am ET $8.66 1,207 $10,452.62 $10,458.01 $-337.96
(-3.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
11 🟢 BUY Mar 6, 2026 9:55am ET $8.29 1,261 $10,453.82 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 6, 2026 3:15pm ET $7.99 1,261 $10,069.09 $10,073.28 $-384.73
(-3.7%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
12 🟢 BUY Mar 19, 2026 9:30am ET $8.64 1,165 $10,065.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 19, 2026 2:10pm ET $9.07 1,165 $10,572.37 $10,580.05 +$506.77
(+5.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
13 🟢 BUY Mar 24, 2026 10:20am ET $8.56 1,235 $10,571.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 24, 2026 1:05pm ET $8.29 1,235 $10,238.15 $10,246.60 $-333.45
(-3.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
14 🟢 BUY Mar 27, 2026 9:50am ET $8.19 1,250 $10,243.75 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 27, 2026 10:20am ET $7.92 1,250 $9,900.00 $9,902.85 $-343.75
(-3.4%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
15 🟢 BUY Apr 2, 2026 9:30am ET $7.79 1,271 $9,901.09 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 2, 2026 10:45am ET $8.26 1,271 $10,492.11 $10,493.87 +$591.02
(+6.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
16 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2026 9:35am ET $8.59 1,222 $10,490.87 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 10:45am ET $8.32 1,222 $10,173.15 $10,176.15 $-317.72
(-3.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
17 🟢 BUY Apr 28, 2026 9:30am ET $10.77 944 $10,166.88 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 10:05am ET $10.39 944 $9,808.07 $9,817.34 $-358.81
(-3.5%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $9,817.34
Net Profit/Loss: $-182.66
Total Return: -1.83%
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