Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-06-23 04:57:11

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
23
Extreme Fear
VIX
16.8
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.46%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.66
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.2
Unsettled
RSI(14)
15.8 oversold
20d Trend
-34.3%
5d Trend
-19.1%
EMA20 Dist
-19.9%
ATR%
6.9%
Range Pos
0%
Bounce Ratio
0.2×
Green/Red 10d
1/9

Strategy Score Scored Jun 22, 2026

27
Lifetime
Confidence: 81%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
14.5/35
Total Return
11.1/25
Win Rate
1.6/15
Profit Factor
1.6/15
Consistency
5.0/10
Raw Quality 33.7/100
× Confidence 0.81 = 27.5

30-Day Momentum

19
+5.1%
30d Return
50%
Win Rate
4
Trades
1.4×
Profit Factor
Quality: 28.1 Conf: 0.66×
Cooling (-9 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (81%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Year to Date)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
11,927
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-06-22
Trading Days
123 days
Data Gaps
None (6 market holidays)

Market Closed (6 days)

2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Year to Date)

Period Start Capital
$12,304.96
Current Value
$12,067.21
Period P&L
$-237.75
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.01

Trade Statistics (Year to Date)

Trades in Period
13
Winners / Losers
5 / 8
Best Trade
+6.48%
Worst Trade
-5.48%
Avg Trade Return
-0.05%
Avg Hold Time
1.9d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$295,413.28
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-237.75
Net P&L (after fees)
$-237.75
Gross Return
-1.93%
Net Return (after fees)
-1.93%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 ORCL Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 123 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Year to Date - 13 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Marcus Grave Dancer had $12,304.96 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jan 27, 2026 9:30am ET $177.16 69 $12,224.04
🔴 SELL Jan 29, 2026 9:30am ET $167.46 69 $11,554.40 $11,635.32 $-669.64
(-5.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Feb 3, 2026 9:55am ET $155.09 75 $11,631.75
🔴 SELL Feb 4, 2026 9:30am ET $148.88 75 $11,166.00 $11,169.57 $-465.75
(-4.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 10:00am ET $140.97 79 $11,136.63
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 3:20pm ET $136.60 79 $10,791.57 $10,824.51 $-345.06
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Feb 23, 2026 9:35am ET $142.68 75 $10,701.00
🔴 SELL Feb 25, 2026 9:50am ET $149.96 75 $11,247.00 $11,370.51 +$546.00
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Feb 27, 2026 9:30am ET $144.22 78 $11,249.16
🔴 SELL Mar 4, 2026 9:35am ET $151.96 78 $11,852.49 $11,973.84 +$603.33
(+5.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
6 🟢 BUY Mar 6, 2026 3:30pm ET $151.99 78 $11,854.83
🔴 SELL Mar 9, 2026 9:40am ET $147.17 78 $11,479.26 $11,598.27 $-375.57
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2026 9:30am ET $179.80 64 $11,507.20
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 1:50pm ET $174.30 64 $11,155.20 $11,246.27 $-352.00
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
8 🟢 BUY Apr 28, 2026 9:30am ET $162.43 69 $11,207.67
🔴 SELL May 1, 2026 11:20am ET $171.21 69 $11,813.66 $11,852.26 +$605.99
(+5.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
9 🟢 BUY May 15, 2026 9:30am ET $189.82 62 $11,768.84
🔴 SELL May 18, 2026 12:30pm ET $183.81 62 $11,396.22 $11,479.64 $-372.62
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
10 🟢 BUY Jun 3, 2026 9:35am ET $233.92 49 $11,462.08
🔴 SELL Jun 4, 2026 9:30am ET $226.81 49 $11,113.69 $11,131.25 $-348.39
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
11 🟢 BUY Jun 5, 2026 9:30am ET $227.85 48 $10,936.56
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 10:25am ET $220.92 48 $10,604.16 $10,798.85 $-332.40
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
12 🟢 BUY Jun 11, 2026 9:30am ET $178.60 60 $10,716.00
🔴 SELL Jun 15, 2026 9:35am ET $190.17 60 $11,410.20 $11,493.05 +$694.20
(+6.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
13 🟢 BUY Jun 18, 2026 9:35am ET $178.59 64 $11,429.76
🔴 SELL Jun 18, 2026 1:50pm ET $187.56 64 $12,003.92 $12,067.21 +$574.16
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $12,067.21
Net Profit/Loss: +$2,067.21
Total Return: +20.67%
Back to Marcus Grave Dancer