Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-05-07 04:16:07

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
47
Neutral
VIX
17.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
59.7 neutral
20d Trend
+0.8%
5d Trend
+3.3%
EMA20 Dist
+2.2%
ATR%
1.5%
Range Pos
64%
Bounce Ratio
2.8×
Green/Red 10d
7/3

Strategy Score Scored Mar 6, 2026

22
Lifetime
Confidence: 0%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
84.0/35
Total Return
45.6/25
Win Rate
16.9/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
8.8/10
Raw Quality 0.0/100
× Confidence 0.00 = 22.3

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (0%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
64,733
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-05-07 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
534 days
Data Gaps
None (21 market holidays)

Market Closed (21 days)

2024-05-27 — Memorial Day, 2024-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2024-07-04 — Independence Day, 2024-09-02 — Labor Day, 2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day ... and 1 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary

Starting Capital
$10,000.00
Current Value
$9,305.43
Total P&L
$-694.56
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.24

Trade Statistics

Total Trades
6
Winners / Losers
2 / 4
Best Trade
+5.21%
Worst Trade
-6.99%
Avg Trade Return
-1.09%
Avg Hold Time
8.4d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$110,622.37
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-694.56
Net P&L (after fees)
$-694.56
Gross Return
-6.95%
Net Return (after fees)
-6.95%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 BAC Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 534 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Complete Trade History

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Marcus Grave Dancer had $10,000.00 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Aug 2, 2024 9:30am ET $37.84 264 $9,990.02
🔴 SELL Aug 5, 2024 9:30am ET $35.20 264 $9,291.48 $9,301.46 $-698.54
(-7.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Mar 4, 2025 9:30am ET $43.85 212 $9,296.20
🔴 SELL Mar 4, 2025 10:45am ET $42.40 212 $8,988.80 $8,994.06 $-307.40
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 3, 2025 9:30am ET $38.52 233 $8,975.32
🔴 SELL Apr 3, 2025 3:10pm ET $37.28 233 $8,686.24 $8,704.97 $-289.08
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Aug 1, 2025 9:30am ET $45.90 189 $8,675.10
🔴 SELL Aug 20, 2025 9:30am ET $48.29 189 $9,126.81 $9,156.68 +$451.71
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Jan 14, 2026 9:30am ET $52.53 174 $9,139.35
🔴 SELL Feb 4, 2026 9:30am ET $55.24 174 $9,610.89 $9,628.22 +$471.54
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
6 🟢 BUY Feb 27, 2026 9:45am ET $50.17 191 $9,582.47
🔴 SELL Mar 6, 2026 9:30am ET $48.48 191 $9,259.68 $9,305.43 $-322.79
(-3.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $9,305.43
Net Profit/Loss: $-694.57
Total Return: -6.95%
Back to Marcus Grave Dancer