Compendium › Marcus Grave Dancer › OXY
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
OXY
Alpaca Tradeable

Marcus Grave Dancer's Analysis

to 2026-05-05 19:55:00+00 • 13 trades executed

+29.84%
2 Years Return
$12,983.93
Current Value
62%
Win Rate
$10,000.00
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-05-06 08:38:35

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
52.3 neutral
20d Trend
+2.4%
5d Trend
-2.1%
EMA20 Dist
+0.1%
ATR%
2.9%
Range Pos
68%
Bounce Ratio
1.0×
Green/Red 10d
5/5
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

35
Lifetime
Confidence: 67%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
20.9/35
Total Return
12.4/25
Win Rate
8.1/15
Profit Factor
4.6/15
Consistency
5.7/10
Raw Quality 51.7/100
× Confidence 0.67 = 34.8

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (67%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
71,253
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-05-06 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
535 days
Data Gaps
None (21 market holidays)

Market Closed (21 days)

2024-05-27 — Memorial Day, 2024-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2024-07-04 — Independence Day, 2024-09-02 — Labor Day, 2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day ... and 1 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary

Starting Capital
$10,000.00
Current Value
$12,983.93
Total P&L
$2,983.93
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.49

Trade Statistics

Total Trades
13
Winners / Losers
8 / 5
Best Trade
+6.51%
Worst Trade
-3.86%
Avg Trade Return
+2.12%
Avg Hold Time
2.3d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$299,054.12
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$2,983.93
Net P&L (after fees)
$2,983.93
Gross Return
+29.84%
Net Return (after fees)
+29.84%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 OXY Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 535 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Complete Trade History

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Marcus Grave Dancer had $10,000.00 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Aug 5, 2024 9:30am ET $55.22 181 $9,994.82 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 8, 2024 9:30am ET $58.08 181 $10,512.48 $10,517.66 +$517.66
(+5.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Oct 15, 2024 9:30am ET $52.15 201 $10,482.15 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 29, 2024 9:30am ET $50.42 201 $10,134.42 $10,169.93 $-347.73
(-3.3%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 3, 2025 9:30am ET $46.26 219 $10,130.94 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 3, 2025 12:00pm ET $44.86 219 $9,824.34 $9,863.33 $-306.60
(-3.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2025 9:30am ET $38.43 256 $9,838.08 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2025 10:10am ET $40.37 256 $10,333.44 $10,358.69 +$495.36
(+5.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2025 9:30am ET $34.94 296 $10,341.38 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2025 1:15pm ET $36.82 296 $10,898.72 $10,916.03 +$557.34
(+5.4%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 21, 2025 9:30am ET $38.50 283 $10,895.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2025 9:40am ET $40.63 283 $11,498.29 $11,518.82 +$602.79
(+5.5%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
7 🟢 BUY Oct 2, 2025 9:40am ET $45.77 251 $11,487.02 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 2, 2025 12:20pm ET $44.36 251 $11,133.11 $11,164.91 $-353.91
(-3.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
8 🟢 BUY Jan 5, 2026 10:00am ET $40.71 274 $11,154.54 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 8, 2026 1:30pm ET $42.90 274 $11,753.23 $11,763.60 +$598.69
(+5.4%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
9 🟢 BUY Mar 10, 2026 9:30am ET $53.24 220 $11,712.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 12, 2026 9:30am ET $56.71 220 $12,475.10 $12,525.90 +$762.30
(+6.5%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
10 🟢 BUY Mar 23, 2026 9:30am ET $58.47 214 $12,512.58 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 24, 2026 9:35am ET $61.88 214 $13,242.32 $13,255.64 +$729.74
(+5.8%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
11 🟢 BUY Mar 31, 2026 1:10pm ET $64.12 206 $13,208.72 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 1, 2026 10:15am ET $62.11 206 $12,794.60 $12,841.52 $-414.12
(-3.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
12 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $57.00 225 $12,825.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 3:30pm ET $59.94 225 $13,486.50 $13,503.02 +$661.50
(+5.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
13 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2026 9:35am ET $55.58 242 $13,451.57 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2026 9:30am ET $53.44 242 $12,932.48 $12,983.93 $-519.09
(-3.9%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $12,983.93
Net Profit/Loss: +$2,983.93
Total Return: +29.84%
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