Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Signals generated 2026-06-25 00:38:04

Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.

Fear & Greed
17
Extreme Fear
VIX
19.5
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.50%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.30%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.71
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟠 1.5
Active
RSI(14)
36.8 neutral
20d Trend
-3.6%
5d Trend
-5.4%
EMA20 Dist
-4.3%
ATR%
2.6%
Range Pos
26%
Bounce Ratio
0.3×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Active magnetosphere: slight tilt toward volume/macro strategies.

Strategy Score Scored Jun 24, 2026

66
Lifetime
Confidence: 85%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
35.0/35
Total Return
18.0/25
Win Rate
8.0/15
Profit Factor
9.3/15
Consistency
7.6/10
Raw Quality 77.8/100
× Confidence 0.85 = 66.0

30-Day Momentum

0
-0.5%
30d Return
33%
Win Rate
3
Trades
1.0×
Profit Factor
Quality: 0.0 Conf: 0.61×
Declining (-66 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (85%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,914
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-25 → 2026-06-24
Trading Days
63 days
Data Gaps
None (3 market holidays)

Market Closed (3 days)

2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$21,754.68
Current Value
$24,617.02
Period P&L
$2,862.34
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.41

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
7
Winners / Losers
4 / 3
Best Trade
+6.71%
Worst Trade
-3.98%
Avg Trade Return
+1.88%
Avg Hold Time
6.1d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$336,096.59
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$2,862.34
Net P&L (after fees)
$2,862.34
Gross Return
+13.16%
Net Return (after fees)
+13.16%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 BLK Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 63 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 7 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Marcus Monday Gold had $21,754.68 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Mar 30, 2026 12:40pm ET $943.03 23 $21,689.69
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $1,001.99 23 $23,045.77 $23,110.76 +$1,356.08
(+6.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 13, 2026 9:40am ET $994.01 23 $22,862.23
🔴 SELL Apr 14, 2026 9:30am ET $1,045.00 23 $24,035.00 $24,283.53 +$1,172.77
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 20, 2026 9:30am ET $1,045.00 23 $24,035.00
🔴 SELL May 13, 2026 3:00pm ET $1,097.93 23 $25,252.39 $25,500.92 +$1,217.39
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
4 🟢 BUY May 18, 2026 2:20pm ET $1,083.91 23 $24,929.93
🔴 SELL May 19, 2026 11:20am ET $1,051.20 23 $24,177.71 $24,748.70 $-752.22
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Jun 1, 2026 9:30am ET $1,044.37 23 $24,020.51
🔴 SELL Jun 2, 2026 10:10am ET $1,012.85 23 $23,295.55 $24,023.74 $-724.96
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
6 🟢 BUY Jun 8, 2026 3:10pm ET $992.10 24 $23,810.40
🔴 SELL Jun 15, 2026 9:30am ET $1,058.68 24 $25,408.32 $25,621.66 +$1,597.92
(+6.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
7 🟢 BUY Jun 22, 2026 11:15am ET $1,052.89 24 $25,269.36
🔴 SELL Jun 23, 2026 12:55pm ET $1,011.03 24 $24,264.72 $24,617.02 $-1,004.64
(-4.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $24,617.02
Net Profit/Loss: +$14,617.02
Total Return: +146.17%
Back to Marcus Monday Gold