IWM Marcus Monday Gold's Analysis
to 2026-05-07 15:00:00+00 • 39 trades executed
+48.28%
2 Years Return
$16,340.10
Current Value
56%
Win Rate
$11,019.78
Period Start
PHASE 0: RANGING
No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.
Fear & Greed
47
Neutral
VIX
17.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
41.2 neutral
20d Trend
-2.2%
5d Trend
-1.3%
EMA20 Dist
-1.9%
ATR%
1.8%
Range Pos
63%
Bounce Ratio
0.9×
Green/Red 10d
5/5
Strategy Score Scored May 7, 2026
53
Lifetime
Confidence: 78%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
35.0/35
Total Return
15.0/25
Win Rate
6.2/15
Profit Factor
5.0/15
Consistency
6.7/10
Raw Quality
67.8/100
× Confidence 0.78
= 53.0
30-Day Momentum
Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (78%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
86,144
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-05-07 → 2026-05-07
Trading Days
536 days
Data Gaps
None (21 market holidays)
Market Closed (21 days)
2024-05-27 — Memorial Day, 2024-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2024-07-04 — Independence Day, 2024-09-02 — Labor Day, 2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day ... and 1 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary
Starting Capital
$11,019.78
Current Value
$16,340.10
Total P&L
$5,320.32
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.31
Trade Statistics
Total Trades
36
Winners / Losers
20 /
16
Best Trade
+8.22%
Worst Trade
-3.65%
Avg Trade Return
+1.30%
Avg Hold Time
12.5d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,011,825.24
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$5,320.32
Net P&L (after fees)
$5,320.32
Gross Return
+48.28%
Net Return (after fees)
+48.28%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 IWM Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 536 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Complete Trade History
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Marcus Monday Gold had $11,019.78 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 15, 2024 1:00pm ET | $196.83 | 53 | $10,431.73 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 14, 2024 9:30am ET | $206.89 | 53 | $10,965.17 | $11,148.03 |
+$533.45 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | May 20, 2024 2:00pm ET | $208.87 | 53 | $11,070.11 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 23, 2024 2:15pm ET | $202.46 | 53 | $10,730.38 | $10,808.30 |
$-339.73 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 3, 2024 12:15pm ET | $204.03 | 52 | $10,609.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 17, 2024 10:10am ET | $197.84 | 52 | $10,287.68 | $10,486.42 |
$-321.88 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 24, 2024 12:35pm ET | $201.87 | 51 | $10,295.37 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 12, 2024 9:30am ET | $212.94 | 51 | $10,859.94 | $11,050.99 |
+$564.57 (+5.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 15, 2024 1:00pm ET | $216.19 | 51 | $11,025.69 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 31, 2024 2:45pm ET | $227.49 | 51 | $11,601.98 | $11,627.29 |
+$576.29 (+5.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 5, 2024 9:30am ET | $196.96 | 59 | $11,620.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 6, 2024 2:20pm ET | $206.90 | 59 | $12,207.10 | $12,213.75 |
+$586.46 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 12, 2024 11:45am ET | $204.22 | 59 | $12,048.94 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 19, 2024 1:35pm ET | $214.44 | 59 | $12,651.96 | $12,816.77 |
+$603.02 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 9, 2024 11:15am ET | $208.66 | 61 | $12,728.26 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 17, 2024 9:30am ET | $219.16 | 61 | $13,368.76 | $13,457.27 |
+$640.50 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 23, 2024 11:05am ET | $220.11 | 61 | $13,426.71 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 23, 2024 11:05am ET | $219.53 | 61 | $13,391.33 | $13,421.89 |
$-35.38 (-0.3%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
0m held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 4, 2024 2:40pm ET | $220.18 | 60 | $13,210.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 6, 2024 9:30am ET | $235.08 | 60 | $14,104.80 | $14,315.89 |
+$894.00 (+6.8%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 11, 2024 1:20pm ET | $240.67 | 59 | $14,199.53 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 14, 2024 11:40am ET | $233.42 | 59 | $13,771.78 | $13,888.14 |
$-427.75 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 18, 2024 1:35pm ET | $228.96 | 60 | $13,737.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 25, 2024 9:30am ET | $242.86 | 60 | $14,571.60 | $14,722.14 |
+$834.00 (+6.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 9, 2024 10:50am ET | $238.54 | 61 | $14,550.94 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 17, 2024 10:10am ET | $230.96 | 61 | $14,088.56 | $14,259.76 |
$-462.38 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 23, 2024 9:35am ET | $221.01 | 64 | $14,144.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 13, 2025 9:35am ET | $214.21 | 64 | $13,709.41 | $13,824.52 |
$-435.23 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 27, 2025 9:30am ET | $226.92 | 60 | $13,615.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 21, 2025 12:45pm ET | $219.98 | 60 | $13,198.80 | $13,408.12 |
$-416.40 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 24, 2025 3:10pm ET | $217.26 | 61 | $13,252.86 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 3, 2025 2:50pm ET | $210.56 | 61 | $12,844.16 | $12,999.42 |
$-408.70 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 10, 2025 9:30am ET | $203.33 | 63 | $12,809.79 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 13, 2025 1:35pm ET | $197.10 | 63 | $12,417.30 | $12,606.93 |
$-392.49 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 24, 2025 1:10pm ET | $207.67 | 60 | $12,460.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 28, 2025 10:25am ET | $201.18 | 60 | $12,070.92 | $12,217.65 |
$-389.28 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 7, 2025 9:40am ET | $172.47 | 70 | $12,072.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 7, 2025 10:10am ET | $186.65 | 70 | $13,065.50 | $13,210.25 |
+$992.60 (+8.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 14, 2025 11:45am ET | $183.84 | 71 | $13,052.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 23, 2025 9:30am ET | $193.79 | 71 | $13,759.09 | $13,916.70 |
+$706.45 (+5.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 28, 2025 11:20am ET | $193.77 | 71 | $13,757.67 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 12, 2025 9:30am ET | $209.25 | 71 | $14,856.84 | $15,015.87 |
+$1,099.17 (+8.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | May 19, 2025 9:30am ET | $207.21 | 72 | $14,919.12 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 18, 2025 9:30am ET | $208.26 | 72 | $14,994.72 | $15,091.47 |
+$75.60 (+0.5%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
0m held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 23, 2025 12:10pm ET | $208.74 | 72 | $15,029.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 1, 2025 12:05pm ET | $219.35 | 72 | $15,792.84 | $15,855.03 |
+$763.56 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 7, 2025 11:15am ET | $220.67 | 71 | $15,667.57 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 1, 2025 9:45am ET | $213.84 | 71 | $15,182.64 | $15,370.10 |
$-484.93 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 11, 2025 1:30pm ET | $220.18 | 69 | $15,192.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 13, 2025 3:30pm ET | $231.19 | 69 | $15,952.11 | $16,130.13 |
+$760.03 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 25, 2025 3:15pm ET | $232.88 | 69 | $16,068.53 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 18, 2025 12:55pm ET | $244.58 | 69 | $16,875.68 | $16,937.28 |
+$807.14 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 22, 2025 9:35am ET | $241.28 | 70 | $16,889.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 22, 2025 9:35am ET | $246.20 | 70 | $17,234.00 | $17,281.68 |
+$344.40 (+2.0%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
0m held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 27, 2025 10:45am ET | $250.36 | 69 | $17,274.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 3, 2025 10:25am ET | $242.68 | 69 | $16,744.92 | $16,751.76 |
$-529.92 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 10, 2025 10:40am ET | $242.89 | 68 | $16,516.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 14, 2025 9:30am ET | $234.21 | 68 | $15,926.28 | $16,161.52 |
$-590.24 (-3.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 17, 2025 9:30am ET | $236.70 | 68 | $16,095.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 20, 2025 3:40pm ET | $229.42 | 68 | $15,600.56 | $15,666.48 |
$-495.04 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 1, 2025 9:30am ET | $245.88 | 63 | $15,490.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 31, 2025 9:30am ET | $247.76 | 63 | $15,608.88 | $15,784.92 |
+$118.44 (+0.8%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
0m held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 5, 2026 3:40pm ET | $252.81 | 62 | $15,674.22 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 15, 2026 10:25am ET | $265.47 | 62 | $16,459.14 | $16,569.84 |
+$784.92 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 2, 2026 3:35pm ET | $261.90 | 63 | $16,499.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 13, 2026 3:55pm ET | $262.87 | 63 | $16,560.81 | $16,630.95 |
+$61.11 (+0.4%) |
📅 Sim Ended
0m held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 23, 2026 10:00am ET | $260.73 | 63 | $16,425.99 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $251.21 | 63 | $15,826.23 | $16,031.19 |
$-599.76 (-3.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 9, 2026 9:30am ET | $247.24 | 64 | $15,823.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 30, 2026 1:35pm ET | $239.64 | 64 | $15,336.95 | $15,544.78 |
$-486.41 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 13, 2026 9:40am ET | $260.36 | 59 | $15,361.24 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 17, 2026 9:30am ET | $273.84 | 59 | $16,156.56 | $16,340.10 |
+$795.32 (+5.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$16,340.10
Net Profit/Loss:
+$6,340.10
Total Return:
+63.40%