Compendium › Marcus Panic Buyer › AAPL
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
AAPL
Alpaca Tradeable

Marcus Panic Buyer's Analysis

to 2026-05-05 19:55:00+00 • 8 trades executed

+19.20%
2 Years Return
$11,920.11
Current Value
63%
Win Rate
$10,000.00
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-05-06 05:48:28

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
69.1 neutral
20d Trend
+5.2%
5d Trend
+6.0%
EMA20 Dist
+4.1%
ATR%
2.4%
Range Pos
69%
Bounce Ratio
8.0×
Green/Red 10d
7/3
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored Mar 6, 2026

0
Lifetime
Confidence: 0%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
84.0/35
Total Return
45.6/25
Win Rate
54.5/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
97.1/10
Raw Quality 0.0/100
× Confidence 0.00 = 0.0

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (0%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
85,638
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-05-06 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
535 days
Data Gaps
None (21 market holidays)

Market Closed (21 days)

2024-05-27 — Memorial Day, 2024-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2024-07-04 — Independence Day, 2024-09-02 — Labor Day, 2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day ... and 1 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary

Starting Capital
$10,000.00
Current Value
$11,920.11
Total P&L
$1,920.11
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.49

Trade Statistics

Total Trades
8
Winners / Losers
5 / 3
Best Trade
+6.93%
Worst Trade
-4.87%
Avg Trade Return
+2.36%
Avg Hold Time
1.9d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$168,879.33
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,920.11
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,920.11
Gross Return
+19.20%
Net Return (after fees)
+19.20%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 AAPL Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 535 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Complete Trade History

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Marcus Panic Buyer had $10,000.00 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Aug 5, 2024 9:30am ET $205.61 48 $9,869.28 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 9, 2024 1:15pm ET $216.20 48 $10,377.60 $10,508.32 +$508.32
(+5.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 3, 2025 9:30am ET $206.92 50 $10,346.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 4, 2025 9:30am ET $196.85 50 $9,842.25 $10,004.57 $-503.75
(-4.9%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2025 9:30am ET $176.57 56 $9,887.92 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2025 10:10am ET $188.81 56 $10,573.36 $10,690.01 +$685.44
(+6.9%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2025 11:10am ET $185.21 57 $10,557.15 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2025 12:55pm ET $179.17 57 $10,212.60 $10,345.46 $-344.55
(-3.3%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2025 2:55pm ET $184.90 55 $10,169.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2025 3:20pm ET $197.43 55 $10,858.66 $11,034.62 +$689.16
(+6.8%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2025 10:55am ET $205.24 53 $10,877.96 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 16, 2025 9:35am ET $198.79 53 $10,535.87 $10,692.52 $-342.09
(-3.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 21, 2025 9:30am ET $193.49 55 $10,641.95 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2025 9:30am ET $205.64 55 $11,309.95 $11,360.53 +$668.00
(+6.3%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
8 🟢 BUY Mar 31, 2026 10:55am ET $247.33 45 $11,129.85 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 6, 2026 10:10am ET $259.77 45 $11,689.43 $11,920.11 +$559.58
(+5.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $11,920.11
Net Profit/Loss: +$1,920.11
Total Return: +19.20%
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