Compendium › Marcus Panic Buyer › LCID
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
LCID
Alpaca Tradeable

Marcus Panic Buyer's Analysis

to 2026-05-05 19:55:00+00 • 8 trades executed

+28.62%
2 Years Return
$12,861.66
Current Value
75%
Win Rate
$10,000.00
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-06 07:49:36

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
33 neutral
20d Trend
-14.2%
5d Trend
-15.0%
EMA20 Dist
-11.4%
ATR%
6.1%
Range Pos
0%
Bounce Ratio
0.4×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored Mar 6, 2026

0
Lifetime
Confidence: 0%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
84.0/35
Total Return
45.6/25
Win Rate
87.4/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
97.1/10
Raw Quality 0.0/100
× Confidence 0.00 = 0.0

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (0%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
82,996
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-05-06 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
535 days
Data Gaps
None (21 market holidays)

Market Closed (21 days)

2024-05-27 — Memorial Day, 2024-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2024-07-04 — Independence Day, 2024-09-02 — Labor Day, 2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day ... and 1 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary

Starting Capital
$10,000.00
Current Value
$12,861.66
Total P&L
$2,861.66
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.89

Trade Statistics

Total Trades
8
Winners / Losers
6 / 2
Best Trade
+6.03%
Worst Trade
-3.18%
Avg Trade Return
+3.27%
Avg Hold Time
1.3d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$183,492.08
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$2,861.66
Net P&L (after fees)
$2,861.66
Gross Return
+28.62%
Net Return (after fees)
+28.62%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 LCID Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 535 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Complete Trade History

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Marcus Panic Buyer had $10,000.00 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Aug 5, 2024 9:30am ET $28.96 345 $9,991.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 5, 2024 10:00am ET $30.45 345 $10,505.25 $10,514.05 +$514.05
(+5.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 3, 2025 9:30am ET $22.89 459 $10,506.05 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 3, 2025 12:15pm ET $24.05 459 $11,038.95 $11,046.95 +$532.90
(+5.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 4, 2025 1:10pm ET $21.83 505 $11,025.67 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 4, 2025 3:45pm ET $23.15 505 $11,690.75 $11,712.03 +$665.09
(+6.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2025 12:40pm ET $24.30 481 $11,688.30 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2025 1:25pm ET $23.57 481 $11,335.73 $11,359.46 $-352.57
(-3.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2025 12:15pm ET $24.60 461 $11,340.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 11, 2025 10:50am ET $25.95 461 $11,962.95 $11,981.81 +$622.35
(+5.5%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2025 11:40am ET $25.15 476 $11,971.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 15, 2025 1:50pm ET $24.35 476 $11,590.60 $11,601.01 $-380.80
(-3.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 16, 2025 1:50pm ET $23.30 497 $11,581.09 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2025 10:25am ET $24.54 497 $12,198.37 $12,218.29 +$617.27
(+5.3%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
8 🟢 BUY Mar 31, 2026 11:00am ET $9.30 1,313 $12,210.90 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 1, 2026 9:35am ET $9.79 1,313 $12,854.27 $12,861.66 +$643.37
(+5.3%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $12,861.66
Net Profit/Loss: +$2,861.66
Total Return: +28.62%
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