Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-06 12:25:42

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
28.4 oversold
20d Trend
-31.1%
5d Trend
-24.1%
EMA20 Dist
-22.9%
ATR%
11.0%
Range Pos
5%
Bounce Ratio
0.4×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

26
Lifetime
Confidence: 61%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
14.5/35
Total Return
11.1/25
Win Rate
7.5/15
Profit Factor
2.6/15
Consistency
7.5/10
Raw Quality 43.1/100
× Confidence 0.61 = 26.3

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (61%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
83,670
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-05-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
536 days
Data Gaps
None (21 market holidays)

Market Closed (21 days)

2024-05-27 — Memorial Day, 2024-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2024-07-04 — Independence Day, 2024-09-02 — Labor Day, 2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day ... and 1 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary

Starting Capital
$10,000.00
Current Value
$12,063.95
Total P&L
$2,063.95
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.39

Trade Statistics

Total Trades
10
Winners / Losers
6 / 4
Best Trade
+7.39%
Worst Trade
-5.23%
Avg Trade Return
+2.03%
Avg Hold Time
16h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$223,340.76
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$2,063.95
Net P&L (after fees)
$2,063.95
Gross Return
+20.64%
Net Return (after fees)
+20.64%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 RIOT Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 536 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Complete Trade History

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Marcus Panic Buyer had $10,000.00 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Aug 5, 2024 9:30am ET $7.57 1,321 $9,999.05
🔴 SELL Aug 5, 2024 9:45am ET $8.08 1,321 $10,667.08 $10,668.03 +$668.03
(+6.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 3, 2025 9:30am ET $7.42 1,438 $10,662.77
🔴 SELL Apr 4, 2025 9:30am ET $7.03 1,438 $10,105.55 $10,110.80 $-557.23
(-5.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2025 9:40am ET $6.51 1,551 $10,104.61
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2025 9:50am ET $6.91 1,551 $10,709.66 $10,715.85 +$605.05
(+6.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2025 10:40am ET $6.99 1,533 $10,711.99
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2025 12:20pm ET $6.76 1,533 $10,355.42 $10,359.27 $-356.58
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2025 12:20pm ET $6.30 1,645 $10,355.28
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2025 1:20pm ET $6.76 1,645 $11,120.20 $11,124.20 +$764.93
(+7.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 11, 2025 2:55pm ET $6.95 1,599 $11,118.81
🔴 SELL Apr 14, 2025 9:35am ET $7.32 1,599 $11,696.69 $11,702.08 +$577.88
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 15, 2025 10:15am ET $6.70 1,747 $11,696.17
🔴 SELL Apr 16, 2025 9:30am ET $6.48 1,747 $11,311.83 $11,317.74 $-384.34
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
8 🟢 BUY Apr 21, 2025 12:05pm ET $6.45 1,755 $11,317.29
🔴 SELL Apr 22, 2025 9:40am ET $6.82 1,755 $11,960.33 $11,960.77 +$643.03
(+5.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
9 🟢 BUY Mar 31, 2026 10:55am ET $11.57 1,033 $11,951.50
🔴 SELL Mar 31, 2026 1:15pm ET $12.31 1,033 $12,716.23 $12,725.50 +$764.73
(+6.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
10 🟢 BUY Apr 1, 2026 2:10pm ET $12.60 1,010 $12,720.95
🔴 SELL Apr 2, 2026 9:30am ET $11.94 1,010 $12,059.40 $12,063.95 $-661.55
(-5.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $12,063.95
Net Profit/Loss: +$2,063.95
Total Return: +20.64%
Back to Marcus Panic Buyer