Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-06 11:21:01

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
13.1 oversold
20d Trend
-42.6%
5d Trend
-24.4%
EMA20 Dist
-25.8%
ATR%
6.8%
Range Pos
2%
Bounce Ratio
0.1×
Green/Red 10d
2/8
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

5
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
5.2/10
Raw Quality 5.2/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 5.2

30-Day Momentum

9
-11.7%
30d Return
27%
Win Rate
11
Trades
0.7×
Profit Factor
Quality: 10.0 Conf: 0.90×
Steady (+4 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,739
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-04-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
23 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$8,528.42
Current Value
$7,528.16
Period P&L
$-1,000.21
Max Drawdown
-53.5%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.25

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
11
Winners / Losers
3 / 8
Best Trade
+6.93%
Worst Trade
-4.98%
Avg Trade Return
-1.06%
Avg Hold Time
1d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$171,656.83
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-1,000.21
Net P&L (after fees)
$-1,000.21
Gross Return
-11.73%
Net Return (after fees)
-11.73%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 COIN Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 23 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 11 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Marcus Reversal had $8,528.42 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Apr 6, 2026 1:05pm ET $174.71 48 $8,386.32
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 10:00am ET $169.28 48 $8,125.49 $8,267.54 $-260.83
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
20.9h held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 10:40am ET $180.04 45 $8,102.02
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 2:55pm ET $174.50 45 $7,852.50 $8,018.02 $-249.52
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.3h held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2026 2:55pm ET $168.88 47 $7,937.59
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2026 10:10am ET $163.36 47 $7,677.92 $7,758.35 $-259.67
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
19.3h held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 13, 2026 12:05pm ET $171.35 45 $7,710.75
🔴 SELL Apr 14, 2026 9:30am ET $180.26 45 $8,111.70 $8,159.30 +$400.95
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
21.4h held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 16, 2026 10:30am ET $189.72 43 $8,157.96
🔴 SELL Apr 16, 2026 12:20pm ET $199.77 43 $8,590.11 $8,591.45 +$432.15
(+5.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.8h held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 17, 2026 1:15pm ET $211.07 40 $8,443.00
🔴 SELL Apr 20, 2026 9:30am ET $200.56 40 $8,022.44 $8,170.89 $-420.56
(-5.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8d held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 21, 2026 9:40am ET $206.15 39 $8,040.04
🔴 SELL Apr 21, 2026 11:55am ET $199.67 39 $7,787.13 $7,917.97 $-252.92
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.3h held
8 🟢 BUY Apr 22, 2026 1:00pm ET $204.94 38 $7,787.72
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 10:15am ET $198.24 38 $7,532.93 $7,663.18 $-254.79
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
21.3h held
9 🟢 BUY Apr 27, 2026 9:35am ET $199.07 38 $7,564.66
🔴 SELL Apr 28, 2026 9:30am ET $190.43 38 $7,236.34 $7,334.86 $-328.32
(-4.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.9h held
10 🟢 BUY Apr 29, 2026 9:30am ET $187.15 39 $7,298.69
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 9:35am ET $179.84 39 $7,013.76 $7,049.93 $-284.93
(-3.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held
11 🟢 BUY Apr 30, 2026 12:35pm ET $186.48 37 $6,899.76
🔴 SELL May 4, 2026 9:30am ET $199.40 37 $7,377.98 $7,528.16 +$478.23
(+6.9%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.9d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $7,528.16
Net Profit/Loss: $-2,471.84
Total Return: -24.72%
Back to Marcus Reversal