Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-06 11:03:18

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
22.8 oversold
20d Trend
-38.7%
5d Trend
-38.1%
EMA20 Dist
-35.1%
ATR%
12.4%
Range Pos
1%
Bounce Ratio
0.5×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

3
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.1/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
2.5/10
Raw Quality 2.6/100
× Confidence 0.98 = 2.6

30-Day Momentum

27
+5.7%
30d Return
50%
Win Rate
6
Trades
1.1×
Profit Factor
Quality: 36.1 Conf: 0.74×
Accelerating (+24 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
8,821
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-04-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
31 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Crypto: 0.15% maker / 0.25% taker (volume-tiered) • 24/7/365 trading

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$442.02
Current Value
$498.37
Period P&L
$1.43
Max Drawdown
-95.7%
Sharpe Ratio
0.25

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
6
Winners / Losers
3 / 3
Best Trade
+5.13%
Worst Trade
-3.05%
Avg Trade Return
+1.01%
Avg Hold Time
5.1d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
₿ Crypto
Fee Rate
0.25% per trade
Total Volume
$5,938.01
Estimated Fees
$14.85
Gross P&L
$1.43
Net P&L (after fees)
$-13.41
Gross Return
+0.32%
Net Return (after fees)
-3.03%

⚠️ Crypto: Alpaca charges 0.25% taker fee (or 0.15% maker). This simulation uses the conservative 0.25% estimate on all trades.
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 LTCUSD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 31 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 6 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Marcus Reversal had $442.02 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Mar 29, 2026 6:55pm ET $52.79 9 $471.39
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 7:30pm ET $55.48 9 $495.41 $495.41 +$21.60
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
9d held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2026 8:55pm ET $55.10 9 $495.41
🔴 SELL Apr 12, 2026 7:35pm ET $53.42 9 $480.30 $480.30 $-17.54
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.9d held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 12, 2026 7:45pm ET $53.45 9 $480.30
🔴 SELL Apr 16, 2026 2:45pm ET $56.19 9 $504.92 $504.92 +$22.16
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.8d held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 16, 2026 4:40pm ET $55.99 9 $504.92
🔴 SELL Apr 19, 2026 6:20pm ET $54.28 9 $489.50 $489.50 $-17.91
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.1d held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 19, 2026 6:25pm ET $54.16 9 $489.50
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 5:55am ET $56.87 9 $513.99 $513.99 +$21.98
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
9.5d held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 29, 2026 7:10am ET $56.94 9 $513.99
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 11:45am ET $55.21 9 $498.37 $498.37 $-18.15
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.6h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $498.37
Net Profit/Loss: $-9,501.63
Total Return: -95.02%
Back to Marcus Reversal