Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-05-06 11:11:41

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
59.7 neutral
20d Trend
+0.8%
5d Trend
+3.3%
EMA20 Dist
+2.2%
ATR%
1.5%
Range Pos
64%
Bounce Ratio
2.8×
Green/Red 10d
7/3
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

24
Lifetime
Confidence: 85%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
5.9/35
Total Return
13.1/25
Win Rate
2.4/15
Profit Factor
1.6/15
Consistency
5.7/10
Raw Quality 28.8/100
× Confidence 0.85 = 24.4

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (85%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Year)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
29,960
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-05-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
266 days
Data Gaps
None (10 market holidays)

Market Closed (10 days)

2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Year)

Period Start Capital
$11,348.60
Current Value
$13,640.86
Period P&L
$2,292.28
Max Drawdown
-21.4%
Sharpe Ratio
0.23

Trade Statistics (Last Year)

Trades in Period
25
Winners / Losers
13 / 12
Best Trade
+5.74%
Worst Trade
-4.86%
Avg Trade Return
+0.96%
Avg Hold Time
11.4d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$633,510.40
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$2,292.28
Net P&L (after fees)
$2,292.28
Gross Return
+20.20%
Net Return (after fees)
+20.20%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 BAC Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 266 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Year - 25 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Marcus Reversal had $11,348.60 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Apr 28, 2025 11:30am ET $39.64 276 $10,939.26
🔴 SELL May 8, 2025 11:05am ET $41.65 276 $11,494.02 $11,529.38 +$554.76
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
10d held
2 🟢 BUY May 9, 2025 11:15am ET $41.75 276 $11,521.62
🔴 SELL May 13, 2025 9:55am ET $43.85 276 $12,102.60 $12,110.36 +$580.98
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.9d held
3 🟢 BUY May 15, 2025 10:10am ET $44.28 273 $12,087.08
🔴 SELL May 23, 2025 10:15am ET $42.91 273 $11,713.07 $11,736.35 $-374.01
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
8d held
4 🟢 BUY May 28, 2025 10:50am ET $44.04 266 $11,714.64
🔴 SELL Jun 23, 2025 3:55pm ET $46.29 266 $12,313.14 $12,334.85 +$598.50
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
26.2d held
5 🟢 BUY Jun 25, 2025 3:00pm ET $46.83 263 $12,316.29
🔴 SELL Jul 3, 2025 9:45am ET $49.22 263 $12,945.23 $12,963.79 +$628.94
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
7.8d held
6 🟢 BUY Jul 7, 2025 12:40pm ET $48.64 266 $12,938.27
🔴 SELL Jul 8, 2025 10:40am ET $47.14 266 $12,540.06 $12,565.58 $-398.20
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
22h held
7 🟢 BUY Jul 9, 2025 10:40am ET $46.86 268 $12,558.48
🔴 SELL Jul 16, 2025 10:55am ET $45.37 268 $12,159.16 $12,166.26 $-399.32
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
7d held
8 🟢 BUY Jul 21, 2025 1:10pm ET $47.77 254 $12,133.12
🔴 SELL Aug 1, 2025 9:30am ET $45.90 254 $11,658.60 $11,691.74 $-474.52
(-3.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
10.8d held
9 🟢 BUY Aug 4, 2025 10:55am ET $45.84 255 $11,689.20
🔴 SELL Aug 20, 2025 9:30am ET $48.29 255 $12,313.95 $12,316.49 +$624.75
(+5.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
15.9d held
10 🟢 BUY Aug 21, 2025 9:40am ET $47.89 257 $12,307.73
🔴 SELL Aug 27, 2025 9:35am ET $50.31 257 $12,928.39 $12,937.15 +$620.66
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
6d held
11 🟢 BUY Aug 28, 2025 11:25am ET $50.38 256 $12,897.28
🔴 SELL Sep 29, 2025 9:30am ET $52.41 256 $13,416.96 $13,456.83 +$519.68
(+4.0%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
31.9d held
12 🟢 BUY Sep 30, 2025 10:10am ET $51.93 259 $13,448.58
🔴 SELL Oct 2, 2025 10:00am ET $50.33 259 $13,034.18 $13,042.43 $-414.40
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
13 🟢 BUY Oct 6, 2025 10:05am ET $49.94 261 $13,033.04
🔴 SELL Oct 15, 2025 10:15am ET $52.46 261 $13,692.06 $13,701.45 +$659.03
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
9d held
14 🟢 BUY Oct 16, 2025 11:50am ET $51.87 264 $13,693.68
🔴 SELL Oct 16, 2025 3:25pm ET $50.25 264 $13,264.68 $13,272.45 $-429.00
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.6h held
15 🟢 BUY Oct 20, 2025 3:20pm ET $52.05 255 $13,271.48
🔴 SELL Oct 22, 2025 1:50pm ET $50.45 255 $12,863.48 $12,864.45 $-408.00
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9d held
16 🟢 BUY Oct 24, 2025 12:30pm ET $52.58 244 $12,828.30
🔴 SELL Nov 21, 2025 10:00am ET $50.97 244 $12,435.46 $12,471.61 $-392.84
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
27.9d held
17 🟢 BUY Nov 25, 2025 3:40pm ET $52.65 236 $12,424.22
🔴 SELL Dec 15, 2025 9:30am ET $55.67 236 $13,136.94 $13,184.33 +$712.72
(+5.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
19.7d held
18 🟢 BUY Dec 16, 2025 9:30am ET $55.21 238 $13,139.98
🔴 SELL Jan 14, 2026 9:30am ET $52.53 238 $12,500.95 $12,545.30 $-639.03
(-4.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
29d held
19 🟢 BUY Jan 15, 2026 2:50pm ET $52.68 238 $12,536.65
🔴 SELL Feb 4, 2026 9:35am ET $55.44 238 $13,194.72 $13,203.37 +$658.07
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
19.8d held
20 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 10:10am ET $54.69 241 $13,181.49
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 3:55pm ET $56.37 241 $13,583.97 $13,605.84 +$402.47
(+3.0%)
📅 Sim Ended
4.2d held
21 🟢 BUY Feb 17, 2026 12:20pm ET $52.76 257 $13,560.60
🔴 SELL Feb 23, 2026 11:15am ET $51.15 257 $13,146.83 $13,192.07 $-413.77
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6d held
22 🟢 BUY Feb 24, 2026 2:25pm ET $50.40 261 $13,155.70
🔴 SELL Mar 3, 2026 9:30am ET $48.75 261 $12,723.75 $12,760.12 $-431.95
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6.8d held
23 🟢 BUY Mar 4, 2026 9:30am ET $49.61 257 $12,749.77
🔴 SELL Mar 6, 2026 9:35am ET $48.06 257 $12,351.42 $12,361.77 $-398.35
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
24 🟢 BUY Mar 9, 2026 9:35am ET $47.47 260 $12,342.20
🔴 SELL Apr 6, 2026 9:35am ET $49.90 260 $12,972.70 $12,992.27 +$630.50
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
28d held
25 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2026 9:40am ET $49.63 261 $12,953.43
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 9:50am ET $52.12 261 $13,602.02 $13,640.86 +$648.59
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
1d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $13,640.86
Net Profit/Loss: +$3,640.86
Total Return: +36.41%
Back to Marcus Reversal