Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-07 09:14:24

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
47
Neutral
VIX
17.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
36.7 neutral
20d Trend
-7.0%
5d Trend
-5.4%
EMA20 Dist
-4.4%
ATR%
3.0%
Range Pos
59%
Bounce Ratio
0.5×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored May 7, 2026

49
Lifetime
Confidence: 87%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
24.4/35
Total Return
17.0/25
Win Rate
4.7/15
Profit Factor
3.8/15
Consistency
6.4/10
Raw Quality 56.4/100
× Confidence 0.87 = 49.2

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (87%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,758
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-02-09 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
61 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$21,648.08
Current Value
$20,961.89
Period P&L
$-686.18
Max Drawdown
-15.7%
Sharpe Ratio
0.06

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
10
Winners / Losers
4 / 6
Best Trade
+5.65%
Worst Trade
-3.38%
Avg Trade Return
+0.26%
Avg Hold Time
4.8d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$397,642.43
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-686.18
Net P&L (after fees)
$-686.18
Gross Return
-3.17%
Net Return (after fees)
-3.17%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 GS Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 61 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 10 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Marcus Reversal had $21,648.08 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 1:35pm ET $893.69 23 $20,554.87
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 10:05am ET $938.61 23 $21,588.03 $21,659.80 +$1,033.16
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.9d held
2 🟢 BUY Feb 17, 2026 12:45pm ET $912.21 23 $20,980.83
🔴 SELL Feb 23, 2026 12:40pm ET $884.25 23 $20,337.75 $21,016.72 $-643.08
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6d held
3 🟢 BUY Feb 24, 2026 2:55pm ET $906.78 23 $20,855.85
🔴 SELL Feb 27, 2026 11:40am ET $878.85 23 $20,213.55 $20,374.42 $-642.30
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.9d held
4 🟢 BUY Mar 2, 2026 1:25pm ET $865.47 23 $19,905.81
🔴 SELL Mar 3, 2026 9:30am ET $836.25 23 $19,233.75 $19,702.36 $-672.06
(-3.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
20.1h held
5 🟢 BUY Mar 4, 2026 12:50pm ET $871.50 22 $19,172.91
🔴 SELL Mar 5, 2026 11:20am ET $844.97 22 $18,589.45 $19,118.90 $-583.46
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
22.5h held
6 🟢 BUY Mar 6, 2026 2:20pm ET $820.45 23 $18,870.35
🔴 SELL Mar 12, 2026 9:55am ET $794.21 23 $18,266.77 $18,515.32 $-603.58
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5.8d held
7 🟢 BUY Mar 13, 2026 11:35am ET $787.78 23 $18,118.83
🔴 SELL Mar 23, 2026 9:30am ET $832.14 23 $19,139.16 $19,535.66 +$1,020.34
(+5.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
9.9d held
8 🟢 BUY Mar 24, 2026 9:30am ET $823.46 23 $18,939.58
🔴 SELL Apr 1, 2026 10:55am ET $867.26 23 $19,946.98 $20,543.06 +$1,007.40
(+5.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
8.1d held
9 🟢 BUY Apr 2, 2026 12:20pm ET $856.79 23 $19,706.17
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $905.24 23 $20,820.52 $21,657.41 +$1,114.35
(+5.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
5.9d held
10 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2026 10:35am ET $897.85 24 $21,548.40
🔴 SELL Apr 13, 2026 9:55am ET $868.87 24 $20,852.88 $20,961.89 $-695.52
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $20,961.89
Net Profit/Loss: +$10,961.89
Total Return: +109.62%
Back to Marcus Reversal