DOGEUSD Marcus Reversal's Analysis
Era 2: Jan 31, 2026 to 2026-02-15 06:15:00+00 • 19 trades (1 prior era crashed)
Data Transparency
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Crypto: 0.15% maker / 0.25% taker (volume-tiered) • 24/7/365 trading
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Era 2)
Trade Statistics (Era 2)
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Era 2)
⚠️ Crypto: Alpaca charges 0.25% taker fee (or 0.15% maker).
This simulation uses the conservative 0.25% estimate on all trades.
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
💸 Capital Refund History
When capital drops below $100, the simulation automatically refunds to $10,000 and continues. This ensures continuous data collection even for strategies that experience significant losses.
| # | Date | Capital Before | Trades Before | Era Fees Paid | Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jan 31, 2026 | $99.76 | 908 | $14,757.32 | CAPITAL_EXHAUSTED |
⚠️ Note: This simulation has been refunded 1 time. Total capital invested: $20,000. The return percentage accounts for all refunds.
📚 Strategy Crash History — Learning from Failures
Each "era" below represents a period where the strategy ran until it crashed (capital < $100). Study these to understand how this strategy can fail and what market conditions caused the losses.
📖 Learning Tip: Look for patterns in the crash history. Did the strategy fail during high volatility? Extended trends? Specific market conditions? Understanding how strategies die helps you know when NOT to use them in real trading.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time (Era 2)
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
Price Action + Equity Overlay (Era 2)
📈 DOGEUSD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🔄 Era 2 Trade History (Current) (since refund on Jan 31, 2026 - 19 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Marcus Reversal had $10,099.76 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 31, 2026 9:20am ET | $0.1084 | 93,163 | $10,099.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 31, 2026 11:50am ET | $0.1051 | 93,163 | $9,793.25 | $9,743.52 |
$-356.24 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.5h held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 31, 2026 12:05pm ET | $0.1040 | 93,688 | $9,743.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 31, 2026 1:35pm ET | $0.1005 | 93,688 | $9,413.74 | $9,365.84 |
$-377.67 (-3.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.5h held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 31, 2026 3:35pm ET | $0.1008 | 92,897 | $9,365.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 1, 2026 2:40am ET | $0.1061 | 92,897 | $9,855.41 | $9,807.36 |
+$441.51 (+5.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
11.1h held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 1, 2026 5:50am ET | $0.1047 | 93,653 | $9,807.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 1, 2026 10:20pm ET | $0.1008 | 93,653 | $9,440.24 | $9,392.12 |
$-415.24 (-3.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
16.5h held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 1, 2026 10:25pm ET | $0.1003 | 93,612 | $9,392.12 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 2, 2026 6:30am ET | $0.1054 | 93,612 | $9,862.99 | $9,814.85 |
+$422.73 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
8.1h held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 2, 2026 11:45am ET | $0.1087 | 90,310 | $9,814.85 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 3, 2026 12:10pm ET | $0.1054 | 90,310 | $9,515.02 | $9,466.70 |
$-348.15 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 3, 2026 12:15pm ET | $0.1051 | 90,108 | $9,466.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 4, 2026 12:25pm ET | $0.1018 | 90,108 | $9,172.05 | $9,125.45 |
$-341.25 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 4, 2026 4:05pm ET | $0.1038 | 87,905 | $9,125.45 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 5, 2026 5:05am ET | $0.1005 | 87,905 | $8,832.72 | $8,787.83 |
$-337.62 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
13h held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 5, 2026 5:25am ET | $0.1013 | 86,793 | $8,787.83 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 5, 2026 6:20am ET | $0.0975 | 86,793 | $8,465.83 | $8,422.69 |
$-365.14 (-3.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
54m held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 5, 2026 6:25am ET | $0.0975 | 86,431 | $8,422.69 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 5, 2026 10:20am ET | $0.0939 | 86,431 | $8,116.73 | $8,075.38 |
$-347.31 (-3.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.9h held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 5, 2026 10:25am ET | $0.0931 | 86,776 | $8,075.38 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 5, 2026 3:15pm ET | $0.0894 | 86,776 | $7,758.64 | $7,719.06 |
$-356.32 (-3.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4.8h held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 5, 2026 3:20pm ET | $0.0890 | 86,751 | $7,719.06 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 5, 2026 7:10pm ET | $0.0824 | 86,751 | $7,144.77 | $7,107.61 |
$-611.45 (-7.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.8h held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 5, 2026 7:15pm ET | $0.0816 | 87,071 | $7,107.61 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 5, 2026 7:35pm ET | $0.0872 | 87,071 | $7,588.24 | $7,551.50 |
+$443.89 (+6.8%) |
🎯 +5% Target
18m held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 6, 2026 2:00am ET | $0.0910 | 82,984 | $7,551.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 6, 2026 9:35am ET | $0.0957 | 82,984 | $7,938.21 | $7,899.48 |
+$347.98 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
7.6h held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 6, 2026 7:00pm ET | $0.0978 | 80,755 | $7,899.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 7, 2026 5:35am ET | $0.0948 | 80,755 | $7,655.60 | $7,616.71 |
$-282.77 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
10.6h held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 7, 2026 8:25am ET | $0.0963 | 79,077 | $7,616.71 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 9, 2026 5:25am ET | $0.0933 | 79,077 | $7,376.74 | $7,339.26 |
$-277.46 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9d held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 9, 2026 5:30am ET | $0.0930 | 78,924 | $7,339.26 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 10, 2026 12:40am ET | $0.0948 | 78,924 | $7,485.85 | $7,448.79 |
+$109.53 (+2.0%) |
📅 Sim Ended
19.2h held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 10, 2026 1:00am ET | $0.0948 | 78,584 | $7,448.79 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 10, 2026 11:35pm ET | $0.0919 | 78,584 | $7,220.94 | $7,220.94 |
$-264.53 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
22.6h held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 10, 2026 11:50pm ET | $0.0916 | 78,801 | $7,220.94 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 11, 2026 10:05am ET | $0.0882 | 78,801 | $6,954.14 | $6,954.14 |
$-302.24 (-3.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
10.3h held |
+ 1 refund ($10,000)