LINKUSD Marcus Reversal's Analysis
Year to Date: 2026-01-01 to present • 35 trades in period
Data Transparency (Year to Date)
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Crypto: 0.15% maker / 0.25% taker (volume-tiered) • 24/7/365 trading
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Year to Date)
Trade Statistics (Year to Date)
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)
⚠️ Crypto: Alpaca charges 0.25% taker fee (or 0.15% maker).
This simulation uses the conservative 0.25% estimate on all trades.
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
💸 Capital Refund History
When capital drops below $100, the simulation automatically refunds to $10,000 and continues. This ensures continuous data collection even for strategies that experience significant losses.
| # | Date | Capital Before | Trades Before | Era Fees Paid | Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dec 1, 2025 | $97.07 | 801 | $11,190.23 | CAPITAL_EXHAUSTED |
⚠️ Note: This simulation has been refunded 1 time. Total capital invested: $20,000. The return percentage accounts for all refunds.
📚 Strategy Crash History — Learning from Failures
Each "era" below represents a period where the strategy ran until it crashed (capital < $100). Study these to understand how this strategy can fail and what market conditions caused the losses.
📖 Learning Tip: Look for patterns in the crash history. Did the strategy fail during high volatility? Extended trends? Specific market conditions? Understanding how strategies die helps you know when NOT to use them in real trading.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 LINKUSD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
Trade History (Year to Date - 35 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Marcus Reversal had $9,056.61 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 29, 2025 7:10am ET | $12.29 | 743 | $9,132.37 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 1, 2026 11:00pm ET | $12.92 | 743 | $9,596.25 | $9,549.42 |
+$417.06 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3.7d held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 2, 2026 2:35am ET | $12.86 | 743 | $9,549.42 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 4, 2026 7:25am ET | $13.52 | 743 | $10,041.16 | $9,992.18 |
+$442.76 (+5.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.2d held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 4, 2026 8:35am ET | $13.40 | 746 | $9,992.18 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 5, 2026 5:20pm ET | $14.08 | 746 | $10,499.13 | $10,447.91 |
+$455.72 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.4d held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 5, 2026 6:45pm ET | $13.94 | 750 | $10,447.91 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 6, 2026 12:55pm ET | $13.52 | 750 | $10,132.30 | $10,080.85 |
$-367.05 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
18.2h held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 6, 2026 5:40pm ET | $13.88 | 726 | $10,080.85 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 7, 2026 10:00am ET | $13.45 | 726 | $9,766.44 | $9,716.82 |
$-364.03 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
16.3h held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 7, 2026 10:40pm ET | $13.33 | 729 | $9,716.82 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 13, 2026 5:10pm ET | $14.04 | 729 | $10,229.19 | $10,179.32 |
+$462.51 (+5.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5.8d held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 13, 2026 6:50pm ET | $14.04 | 725 | $10,179.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 15, 2026 3:25pm ET | $13.62 | 725 | $9,873.26 | $9,823.13 |
$-356.19 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9d held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 15, 2026 8:50pm ET | $13.77 | 713 | $9,823.13 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 18, 2026 6:50pm ET | $13.33 | 713 | $9,512.38 | $9,464.04 |
$-359.09 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.9d held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 18, 2026 6:55pm ET | $13.31 | 711 | $9,464.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 18, 2026 7:05pm ET | $12.90 | 711 | $9,173.48 | $9,126.89 |
$-337.16 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
12m held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 18, 2026 7:10pm ET | $12.82 | 712 | $9,126.89 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 20, 2026 10:05am ET | $12.35 | 712 | $8,796.45 | $8,751.64 |
$-375.24 (-3.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.6d held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 20, 2026 10:45am ET | $12.37 | 707 | $8,751.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 21, 2026 12:10pm ET | $11.94 | 707 | $8,450.25 | $8,407.25 |
$-344.40 (-3.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 21, 2026 5:50pm ET | $12.52 | 671 | $8,407.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 22, 2026 10:25am ET | $12.14 | 671 | $8,146.11 | $8,104.73 |
$-302.52 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
16.6h held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 22, 2026 10:30am ET | $12.15 | 667 | $8,104.73 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 25, 2026 11:15am ET | $11.73 | 667 | $7,827.88 | $7,788.05 |
$-316.68 (-3.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 25, 2026 11:20am ET | $11.74 | 663 | $7,788.05 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 25, 2026 3:30pm ET | $11.38 | 663 | $7,548.07 | $7,509.73 |
$-278.32 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4.2h held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 25, 2026 10:35pm ET | $11.67 | 643 | $7,509.73 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 29, 2026 9:50am ET | $11.31 | 643 | $7,274.93 | $7,237.97 |
$-271.76 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.5d held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 29, 2026 9:55am ET | $11.21 | 646 | $7,237.97 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 29, 2026 1:50pm ET | $10.83 | 646 | $6,996.42 | $6,960.84 |
$-277.13 (-3.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.9h held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 29, 2026 1:55pm ET | $10.83 | 643 | $6,960.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 31, 2026 3:25am ET | $10.48 | 643 | $6,736.42 | $6,702.17 |
$-258.66 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.6d held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 31, 2026 3:30am ET | $10.46 | 641 | $6,702.17 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 31, 2026 9:25am ET | $10.04 | 641 | $6,432.34 | $6,399.51 |
$-302.67 (-4.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5.9h held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 31, 2026 9:30am ET | $10.02 | 639 | $6,399.51 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 31, 2026 12:10pm ET | $9.59 | 639 | $6,127.35 | $6,096.03 |
$-303.47 (-4.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.7h held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 31, 2026 12:15pm ET | $9.66 | 631 | $6,096.03 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 1, 2026 6:05pm ET | $9.27 | 631 | $5,846.84 | $5,816.99 |
$-279.05 (-4.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.2d held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 1, 2026 9:35pm ET | $9.50 | 612 | $5,816.99 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 1, 2026 10:20pm ET | $9.16 | 612 | $5,608.99 | $5,580.42 |
$-236.56 (-3.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
48m held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 1, 2026 10:25pm ET | $9.08 | 615 | $5,580.42 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 2, 2026 4:35am ET | $9.54 | 615 | $5,863.16 | $5,834.55 |
+$254.13 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
6.2h held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 2, 2026 5:55am ET | $9.54 | 612 | $5,834.55 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 3, 2026 1:10pm ET | $9.24 | 612 | $5,654.65 | $5,625.93 |
$-208.62 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.3d held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 3, 2026 1:15pm ET | $9.23 | 610 | $5,625.93 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 3, 2026 3:30pm ET | $9.73 | 610 | $5,931.44 | $5,902.54 |
+$276.61 (+5.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.3h held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 3, 2026 5:10pm ET | $9.59 | 616 | $5,902.54 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 4, 2026 9:30am ET | $9.30 | 616 | $5,723.98 | $5,694.91 |
$-207.63 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
16.3h held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 4, 2026 11:30am ET | $9.12 | 624 | $5,694.91 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 5, 2026 6:20am ET | $8.81 | 624 | $5,502.02 | $5,474.03 |
$-220.88 (-3.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
18.8h held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 5, 2026 6:25am ET | $8.81 | 621 | $5,474.03 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 5, 2026 10:20am ET | $8.46 | 621 | $5,253.48 | $5,226.66 |
$-247.37 (-4.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.9h held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 5, 2026 10:25am ET | $8.36 | 625 | $5,226.66 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 5, 2026 3:15pm ET | $8.10 | 625 | $5,061.66 | $5,035.94 |
$-190.71 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4.8h held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 5, 2026 3:20pm ET | $8.04 | 626 | $5,035.94 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 5, 2026 7:05pm ET | $7.72 | 626 | $4,834.26 | $4,809.58 |
$-226.36 (-4.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.8h held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 5, 2026 7:10pm ET | $7.41 | 649 | $4,809.58 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 5, 2026 7:35pm ET | $7.90 | 649 | $5,127.79 | $5,102.95 |
+$293.37 (+6.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
24m held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 5, 2026 10:45pm ET | $8.00 | 638 | $5,102.95 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 6, 2026 8:20am ET | $8.43 | 638 | $5,376.63 | $5,350.43 |
+$247.48 (+5.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
9.6h held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 6, 2026 7:00pm ET | $8.85 | 605 | $5,350.43 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 9, 2026 5:15am ET | $8.56 | 605 | $5,175.34 | $5,149.03 |
$-201.41 (-3.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.4d held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 9, 2026 5:20am ET | $8.54 | 603 | $5,149.03 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 9, 2026 2:35pm ET | $8.97 | 603 | $5,407.10 | $5,380.71 |
+$231.69 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
9.3h held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 9, 2026 3:55pm ET | $8.91 | 604 | $5,380.71 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 10, 2026 12:40am ET | $8.66 | 604 | $5,228.12 | $5,201.60 |
$-179.11 (-2.8%) |
📅 Sim Ended
8.8h held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 10, 2026 12:45am ET | $8.63 | 602 | $5,201.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 11, 2026 12:40am ET | $8.37 | 602 | $5,043.18 | $5,043.18 |
$-184.03 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
23.9h held |
+ 1 refund ($10,000)