Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-05-06 09:46:13

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
58.1 neutral
20d Trend
+7.6%
5d Trend
-0.6%
EMA20 Dist
+2.4%
ATR%
2.9%
Range Pos
80%
Bounce Ratio
3.0×
Green/Red 10d
8/2
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

35
Lifetime
Confidence: 74%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
21.7/35
Total Return
12.5/25
Win Rate
4.4/15
Profit Factor
2.7/15
Consistency
5.3/10
Raw Quality 46.6/100
× Confidence 0.74 = 34.5

30-Day Momentum

1
-15.2%
30d Return
0%
Win Rate
4
Trades
0.6×
Profit Factor
Quality: 1.4 Conf: 0.66×
Declining (-34 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (74%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,720
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-04-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
23 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$15,564.66
Current Value
$12,431.28
Period P&L
$-3,133.39
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
-4.47

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
5
Winners / Losers
0 / 5
Best Trade
-3.13%
Worst Trade
-5.51%
Avg Trade Return
-4.27%
Avg Hold Time
5.3d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$138,139.17
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-3,133.39
Net P&L (after fees)
$-3,133.39
Gross Return
-20.13%
Net Return (after fees)
-20.13%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 COP Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 23 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 5 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Marcus Trend Dip had $15,564.66 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Mar 24, 2026 11:20am ET $129.92 118 $15,330.56
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $122.76 118 $14,485.68 $14,598.84 $-844.88
(-5.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2026 11:05am ET $126.85 115 $14,587.75
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2026 9:55am ET $122.68 115 $14,107.63 $14,118.72 $-480.12
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 13, 2026 10:50am ET $123.60 114 $14,090.40
🔴 SELL Apr 14, 2026 10:15am ET $119.73 114 $13,649.22 $13,677.54 $-441.18
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 15, 2026 12:10pm ET $119.00 114 $13,566.00
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2026 9:35am ET $113.93 114 $12,988.59 $13,100.13 $-577.41
(-4.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 28, 2026 12:45pm ET $123.82 105 $13,001.10
🔴 SELL May 6, 2026 9:30am ET $117.45 105 $12,332.25 $12,431.28 $-668.85
(-5.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $12,431.28
Net Profit/Loss: +$2,431.28
Total Return: +24.31%
Back to Marcus Trend Dip