Compendium › Marcus Trend Dip › C
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
C
Alpaca Tradeable

Marcus Trend Dip's Analysis

Last Year: 2025-06-20 to present • 8 trades in period

+20.05%
Last Year Return
$15,219.14
Current Value
75%
Win Rate
$12,677.82
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-06-20 14:23:46

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
23
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟠 1.6
Active
RSI(14)
49.7 neutral
20d Trend
-0.3%
5d Trend
+0.4%
EMA20 Dist
-0.2%
ATR%
2.1%
Range Pos
72%
Bounce Ratio
0.9×
Green/Red 10d
5/5
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Active magnetosphere: slight tilt toward volume/macro strategies.

Strategy Score Scored Jun 20, 2026

55
Lifetime
Confidence: 72%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
35.0/35
Total Return
14.3/25
Win Rate
10.0/15
Profit Factor
7.9/15
Consistency
8.1/10
Raw Quality 75.4/100
× Confidence 0.72 = 54.6

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (72%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Year)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
25,269
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-06-20 → 2026-06-18
Trading Days
262 days
Data Gaps
None (10 market holidays)

Market Closed (10 days)

2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Year)

Period Start Capital
$12,677.82
Current Value
$15,219.14
Period P&L
$2,541.31
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.66

Trade Statistics (Last Year)

Trades in Period
8
Winners / Losers
6 / 2
Best Trade
+5.14%
Worst Trade
-3.39%
Avg Trade Return
+2.38%
Avg Hold Time
11.2d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$220,799.14
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$2,541.31
Net P&L (after fees)
$2,541.31
Gross Return
+20.05%
Net Return (after fees)
+20.05%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 C Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 262 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Year - 8 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Marcus Trend Dip had $12,677.82 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jun 26, 2025 12:10pm ET $84.20 150 $12,629.25 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 3, 2025 10:50am ET $88.44 150 $13,265.99 $13,314.56 +$636.74
(+5.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Sep 18, 2025 1:55pm ET $102.32 130 $13,300.95 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 1, 2025 1:05pm ET $98.85 130 $12,849.85 $12,863.46 $-451.10
(-3.4%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Oct 13, 2025 12:55pm ET $96.67 133 $12,856.45 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 15, 2025 9:35am ET $101.63 133 $13,516.79 $13,523.81 +$660.34
(+5.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Oct 24, 2025 12:50pm ET $98.96 136 $13,458.56 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 24, 2025 9:30am ET $99.19 136 $13,489.84 $13,555.09 +$31.28
(+0.2%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Jan 22, 2026 2:00pm ET $116.06 116 $13,462.96 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 6, 2026 10:40am ET $121.87 116 $14,137.00 $14,229.13 +$674.04
(+5.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 10:40am ET $122.29 116 $14,185.64 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 14, 2026 9:30am ET $128.52 116 $14,908.32 $14,951.81 +$722.68
(+5.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
7 🟢 BUY May 5, 2026 12:15pm ET $127.88 116 $14,833.50 — — —
🔴 SELL May 12, 2026 9:45am ET $123.88 116 $14,370.08 $14,488.39 $-463.42
(-3.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
8 🟢 BUY May 26, 2026 10:45am ET $126.33 114 $14,401.61 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 4, 2026 9:45am ET $132.74 114 $15,132.36 $15,219.14 +$730.75
(+5.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $15,219.14
Net Profit/Loss: +$5,219.14
Total Return: +52.19%
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