Compendium › Marcus Trend Dip › C
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
C
Alpaca Tradeable

Marcus Trend Dip's Analysis

Last Year: 2025-05-06 to present • 8 trades in period

+16.16%
Last Year Return
$14,951.81
Current Value
75%
Win Rate
$12,871.66
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-05-06 10:54:35

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
49.7 neutral
20d Trend
-0.3%
5d Trend
+0.4%
EMA20 Dist
-0.2%
ATR%
2.1%
Range Pos
72%
Bounce Ratio
0.9×
Green/Red 10d
5/5
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

53
Lifetime
Confidence: 70%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
34.7/35
Total Return
14.2/25
Win Rate
10.7/15
Profit Factor
8.5/15
Consistency
8.6/10
Raw Quality 76.5/100
× Confidence 0.70 = 53.3

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (70%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Year)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
26,345
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-05-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
263 days
Data Gaps
None (10 market holidays)

Market Closed (10 days)

2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Year)

Period Start Capital
$12,871.66
Current Value
$14,951.81
Period P&L
$2,080.14
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.64

Trade Statistics (Last Year)

Trades in Period
8
Winners / Losers
6 / 2
Best Trade
+5.37%
Worst Trade
-3.45%
Avg Trade Return
+2.38%
Avg Hold Time
12.4d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$213,292.43
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$2,080.14
Net P&L (after fees)
$2,080.14
Gross Return
+16.16%
Net Return (after fees)
+16.16%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 C Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 263 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Year - 8 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Marcus Trend Dip had $12,871.66 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2025 11:15am ET $67.74 183 $12,396.42 — — —
🔴 SELL May 8, 2025 9:30am ET $71.38 183 $13,062.54 $13,129.70 +$666.12
(+5.4%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
2 🟢 BUY May 12, 2025 11:55am ET $74.93 175 $13,111.88 — — —
🔴 SELL May 23, 2025 9:30am ET $72.34 175 $12,660.01 $12,677.83 $-451.87
(-3.4%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Jun 26, 2025 12:10pm ET $84.20 150 $12,629.25 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 3, 2025 10:50am ET $88.44 150 $13,265.99 $13,314.56 +$636.74
(+5.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Sep 18, 2025 1:55pm ET $102.32 130 $13,300.95 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 1, 2025 1:05pm ET $98.85 130 $12,849.85 $12,863.46 $-451.10
(-3.4%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Oct 13, 2025 12:55pm ET $96.67 133 $12,856.45 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 15, 2025 9:35am ET $101.63 133 $13,516.79 $13,523.81 +$660.34
(+5.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
6 🟢 BUY Oct 24, 2025 12:50pm ET $98.96 136 $13,458.56 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 24, 2025 9:30am ET $99.19 136 $13,489.84 $13,555.09 +$31.28
(+0.2%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
0m held
7 🟢 BUY Jan 22, 2026 2:00pm ET $116.06 116 $13,462.96 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 6, 2026 10:40am ET $121.87 116 $14,137.00 $14,229.13 +$674.04
(+5.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
8 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 10:40am ET $122.29 116 $14,185.64 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 14, 2026 9:30am ET $128.52 116 $14,908.32 $14,951.81 +$722.68
(+5.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $14,951.81
Net Profit/Loss: +$4,951.81
Total Return: +49.52%
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