Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-05-06 08:49:55

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
58.5 neutral
20d Trend
+2.0%
5d Trend
+2.1%
EMA20 Dist
+1.4%
ATR%
2.0%
Range Pos
82%
Bounce Ratio
0.9×
Green/Red 10d
5/5
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

40
Lifetime
Confidence: 71%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
24.4/35
Total Return
12.9/25
Win Rate
7.1/15
Profit Factor
4.7/15
Consistency
7.1/10
Raw Quality 56.2/100
× Confidence 0.71 = 39.8

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (71%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Year)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
23,236
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-05-06 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
263 days
Data Gaps
None (10 market holidays)

Market Closed (10 days)

2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Year)

Period Start Capital
$12,523.25
Current Value
$13,481.40
Period P&L
$958.15
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.25

Trade Statistics (Last Year)

Trades in Period
8
Winners / Losers
4 / 4
Best Trade
+5.17%
Worst Trade
-3.14%
Avg Trade Return
+1.00%
Avg Hold Time
14.6d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$204,285.64
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$958.15
Net P&L (after fees)
$958.15
Gross Return
+7.65%
Net Return (after fees)
+7.65%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 HD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 263 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Year - 8 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Marcus Trend Dip had $12,523.25 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2025 10:55am ET $360.73 34 $12,264.65
🔴 SELL May 15, 2025 2:50pm ET $378.80 34 $12,879.20 $13,162.45 +$614.55
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
2 🟢 BUY May 20, 2025 11:10am ET $381.10 34 $12,957.23
🔴 SELL May 21, 2025 1:20pm ET $369.38 34 $12,558.92 $12,764.14 $-398.31
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Jun 27, 2025 1:35pm ET $368.69 34 $12,535.29
🔴 SELL Jul 16, 2025 10:35am ET $357.35 34 $12,149.90 $12,378.75 $-385.39
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Jul 23, 2025 2:50pm ET $376.07 32 $12,034.08
🔴 SELL Aug 12, 2025 10:05am ET $394.93 32 $12,637.76 $12,982.43 +$603.68
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Aug 15, 2025 3:35pm ET $398.77 32 $12,760.48
🔴 SELL Sep 5, 2025 9:30am ET $419.39 32 $13,420.42 $13,642.37 +$659.94
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
6 🟢 BUY Oct 15, 2025 11:15am ET $391.19 34 $13,300.29
🔴 SELL Oct 29, 2025 2:40pm ET $379.41 34 $12,899.77 $13,241.85 $-400.52
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
7 🟢 BUY Mar 31, 2026 3:15pm ET $327.47 40 $13,098.80
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 11:15am ET $317.19 40 $12,687.60 $12,830.65 $-411.20
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
8 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 11:15am ET $334.88 38 $12,725.25
🔴 SELL Apr 21, 2026 9:30am ET $352.00 38 $13,376.00 $13,481.40 +$650.75
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $13,481.40
Net Profit/Loss: +$3,481.40
Total Return: +34.81%
Back to Marcus Trend Dip