Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-08 23:20:28

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
38
Fear
VIX
17.1
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.41%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.75
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟠 1.4
Active
⛈️ 3 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
14.6 oversold
20d Trend
-30.9%
5d Trend
-17.8%
EMA20 Dist
-19.9%
ATR%
6.6%
Range Pos
2%
Bounce Ratio
0.1×
Green/Red 10d
1/9
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Active magnetosphere: slight tilt toward volume/macro strategies.

Strategy Score Scored May 8, 2026

40
Lifetime
Confidence: 73%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
25.3/35
Total Return
13.0/25
Win Rate
6.2/15
Profit Factor
3.2/15
Consistency
6.7/10
Raw Quality 54.5/100
× Confidence 0.73 = 39.6

30-Day Momentum

0
-1.3%
30d Return
33%
Win Rate
3
Trades
0.9×
Profit Factor
Quality: 0.0 Conf: 0.61×
Declining (-40 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (73%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Year)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
40,444
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-05-08 → 2026-05-08
Trading Days
266 days
Data Gaps
None (10 market holidays)

Market Closed (10 days)

2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Year)

Period Start Capital
$13,841.06
Current Value
$13,195.33
Period P&L
$-645.74
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.00

Trade Statistics (Last Year)

Trades in Period
12
Winners / Losers
5 / 7
Best Trade
+5.52%
Worst Trade
-6.04%
Avg Trade Return
-0.01%
Avg Hold Time
2.7d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$345,364.13
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-645.74
Net P&L (after fees)
$-645.74
Gross Return
-4.67%
Net Return (after fees)
-4.67%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 SOFI Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 266 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Year - 12 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Marcus Trend Dip had $13,841.06 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY May 2, 2025 1:55pm ET $12.79 1,046 $13,373.11
🔴 SELL May 8, 2025 2:35pm ET $13.44 1,046 $14,056.98 $14,059.48 +$683.87
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Jun 6, 2025 10:55am ET $14.11 996 $14,057.44
🔴 SELL Jun 11, 2025 9:35am ET $14.86 996 $14,800.36 $14,802.40 +$742.92
(+5.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Jun 24, 2025 12:50pm ET $15.82 935 $14,788.24
🔴 SELL Jun 26, 2025 1:55pm ET $16.62 935 $15,535.03 $15,549.18 +$746.78
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Jun 30, 2025 11:35am ET $18.58 836 $15,532.88
🔴 SELL Jul 1, 2025 10:35am ET $17.97 836 $15,022.84 $15,039.14 $-510.04
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Jul 2, 2025 12:05pm ET $18.01 835 $15,038.35
🔴 SELL Jul 7, 2025 9:45am ET $19.01 835 $15,869.18 $15,869.96 +$830.82
(+5.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
6 🟢 BUY Jul 17, 2025 11:15am ET $21.72 730 $15,857.13
🔴 SELL Jul 22, 2025 9:30am ET $20.41 730 $14,899.30 $14,912.13 $-957.83
(-6.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
7 🟢 BUY Jul 29, 2025 11:20am ET $23.85 625 $14,903.13
🔴 SELL Jul 29, 2025 2:15pm ET $23.01 625 $14,381.25 $14,390.25 $-521.87
(-3.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
8 🟢 BUY Oct 20, 2025 2:25pm ET $28.55 504 $14,386.68
🔴 SELL Oct 22, 2025 10:25am ET $27.38 504 $13,799.52 $13,803.09 $-587.16
(-4.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
9 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 10:40am ET $16.61 830 $13,790.45
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2026 10:05am ET $16.10 830 $13,367.15 $13,379.79 $-423.30
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
10 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2026 11:05am ET $17.75 753 $13,369.51
🔴 SELL Apr 15, 2026 2:10pm ET $18.69 753 $14,071.39 $14,081.66 +$701.87
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
11 🟢 BUY Apr 17, 2026 12:00pm ET $19.87 708 $14,067.89
🔴 SELL Apr 20, 2026 9:30am ET $19.22 708 $13,606.27 $13,620.04 $-461.62
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
12 🟢 BUY May 6, 2026 10:40am ET $16.18 841 $13,607.38
🔴 SELL May 8, 2026 11:45am ET $15.68 841 $13,182.68 $13,195.33 $-424.71
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $13,195.33
Net Profit/Loss: +$3,195.33
Total Return: +31.95%
Back to Marcus Trend Dip