Compendium › Marcus Trend Dip › C
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
C
Alpaca Tradeable

Marcus Trend Dip's Analysis

Last 3 Months: 2026-03-20 to present • 3 trades in period

+6.96%
Last 3 Months Return
$15,219.14
Current Value
67%
Win Rate
$14,229.12
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-06-20 14:23:37

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
23
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟠 1.6
Active
RSI(14)
49.7 neutral
20d Trend
-0.3%
5d Trend
+0.4%
EMA20 Dist
-0.2%
ATR%
2.1%
Range Pos
72%
Bounce Ratio
0.9×
Green/Red 10d
5/5
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Active magnetosphere: slight tilt toward volume/macro strategies.

Strategy Score Scored Jun 20, 2026

55
Lifetime
Confidence: 72%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
35.0/35
Total Return
14.3/25
Win Rate
10.0/15
Profit Factor
7.9/15
Consistency
8.1/10
Raw Quality 75.4/100
× Confidence 0.72 = 54.6

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (72%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,914
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-20 → 2026-06-18
Trading Days
63 days
Data Gaps
None (3 market holidays)

Market Closed (3 days)

2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$14,229.12
Current Value
$15,219.14
Period P&L
$990.01
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.61

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
3
Winners / Losers
2 / 1
Best Trade
+5.09%
Worst Trade
-3.12%
Avg Trade Return
+2.35%
Avg Hold Time
7.3d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$87,831.51
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$990.01
Net P&L (after fees)
$990.01
Gross Return
+6.96%
Net Return (after fees)
+6.96%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 C Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 63 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 3 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Marcus Trend Dip had $14,229.12 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 10:40am ET $122.29 116 $14,185.64 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 14, 2026 9:30am ET $128.52 116 $14,908.32 $14,951.81 +$722.68
(+5.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
2 🟢 BUY May 5, 2026 12:15pm ET $127.88 116 $14,833.50 — — —
🔴 SELL May 12, 2026 9:45am ET $123.88 116 $14,370.08 $14,488.39 $-463.42
(-3.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
3 🟢 BUY May 26, 2026 10:45am ET $126.33 114 $14,401.61 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 4, 2026 9:45am ET $132.74 114 $15,132.36 $15,219.14 +$730.75
(+5.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $15,219.14
Net Profit/Loss: +$5,219.14
Total Return: +52.19%
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