Compendium › Marcus Trend Dip › C
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
C
Alpaca Tradeable

Marcus Trend Dip's Analysis

to 2026-05-06 14:50:00+00 • 19 trades executed

+52.06%
2 Years Return
$14,951.81
Current Value
72%
Win Rate
$9,832.66
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-05-06 10:54:27

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
49.7 neutral
20d Trend
-0.3%
5d Trend
+0.4%
EMA20 Dist
-0.2%
ATR%
2.1%
Range Pos
72%
Bounce Ratio
0.9×
Green/Red 10d
5/5
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

53
Lifetime
Confidence: 70%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
34.7/35
Total Return
14.2/25
Win Rate
10.7/15
Profit Factor
8.5/15
Consistency
8.6/10
Raw Quality 76.5/100
× Confidence 0.70 = 53.3

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (70%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
56,065
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-05-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
530 days
Data Gaps
None (21 market holidays)

Market Closed (21 days)

2024-05-27 — Memorial Day, 2024-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2024-07-04 — Independence Day, 2024-09-02 — Labor Day, 2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day ... and 1 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary

Starting Capital
$9,832.66
Current Value
$14,951.81
Total P&L
$5,119.14
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.66

Trade Statistics

Total Trades
18
Winners / Losers
13 / 5
Best Trade
+5.43%
Worst Trade
-3.69%
Avg Trade Return
+2.52%
Avg Hold Time
11.8d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$426,294.33
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$5,119.14
Net P&L (after fees)
$5,119.14
Gross Return
+52.06%
Net Return (after fees)
+52.06%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 C Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 530 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Complete Trade History

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Marcus Trend Dip had $9,832.66 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Apr 22, 2024 3:25pm ET $60.76 159 $9,660.84 — — —
🔴 SELL May 10, 2024 9:30am ET $63.90 159 $10,160.10 $10,190.41 +$499.26
(+5.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
2 🟢 BUY May 24, 2024 12:10pm ET $63.69 160 $10,190.40 — — —
🔴 SELL May 29, 2024 9:30am ET $61.34 160 $9,814.40 $9,814.41 $-376.00
(-3.7%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Jun 14, 2024 2:20pm ET $59.45 165 $9,808.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 28, 2024 9:30am ET $62.48 165 $10,309.20 $10,314.81 +$500.40
(+5.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Jul 1, 2024 11:05am ET $63.32 162 $10,257.84 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 9, 2024 11:50am ET $66.50 162 $10,773.00 $10,829.97 +$515.16
(+5.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Jul 16, 2024 1:30pm ET $66.75 162 $10,812.69 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 22, 2024 10:05am ET $64.68 162 $10,478.16 $10,495.44 $-334.53
(-3.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
6 🟢 BUY Aug 23, 2024 12:35pm ET $61.96 169 $10,471.24 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 6, 2024 10:40am ET $60.04 169 $10,146.76 $10,170.96 $-324.48
(-3.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
7 🟢 BUY Sep 27, 2024 12:25pm ET $62.32 163 $10,157.35 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 11, 2024 9:55am ET $65.59 163 $10,691.04 $10,704.65 +$533.69
(+5.3%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
8 🟢 BUY Nov 18, 2024 12:45pm ET $68.87 155 $10,674.85 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 3, 2024 9:30am ET $72.61 155 $11,254.55 $11,284.35 +$579.70
(+5.4%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
9 🟢 BUY Dec 23, 2024 2:50pm ET $69.61 162 $11,276.01 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 6, 2025 10:00am ET $73.13 162 $11,847.06 $11,855.40 +$571.05
(+5.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
10 🟢 BUY Jan 15, 2025 11:15am ET $77.16 153 $11,804.72 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 21, 2025 9:55am ET $81.13 153 $12,412.89 $12,463.58 +$608.17
(+5.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
11 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2025 11:15am ET $67.74 183 $12,396.42 — — —
🔴 SELL May 8, 2025 9:30am ET $71.38 183 $13,062.54 $13,129.70 +$666.12
(+5.4%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
12 🟢 BUY May 12, 2025 11:55am ET $74.93 175 $13,111.88 — — —
🔴 SELL May 23, 2025 9:30am ET $72.34 175 $12,660.01 $12,677.83 $-451.87
(-3.4%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
13 🟢 BUY Jun 26, 2025 12:10pm ET $84.20 150 $12,629.25 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 3, 2025 10:50am ET $88.44 150 $13,265.99 $13,314.56 +$636.74
(+5.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
14 🟢 BUY Sep 18, 2025 1:55pm ET $102.32 130 $13,300.95 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 1, 2025 1:05pm ET $98.85 130 $12,849.85 $12,863.46 $-451.10
(-3.4%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
15 🟢 BUY Oct 13, 2025 12:55pm ET $96.67 133 $12,856.45 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 15, 2025 9:35am ET $101.63 133 $13,516.79 $13,523.81 +$660.34
(+5.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
16 🟢 BUY Oct 24, 2025 12:50pm ET $98.96 136 $13,458.56 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 24, 2025 9:30am ET $99.19 136 $13,489.84 $13,555.09 +$31.28
(+0.2%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
0m held
17 🟢 BUY Jan 22, 2026 2:00pm ET $116.06 116 $13,462.96 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 6, 2026 10:40am ET $121.87 116 $14,137.00 $14,229.13 +$674.04
(+5.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
18 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 10:40am ET $122.29 116 $14,185.64 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 14, 2026 9:30am ET $128.52 116 $14,908.32 $14,951.81 +$722.68
(+5.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $14,951.81
Net Profit/Loss: +$4,951.81
Total Return: +49.52%
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