MU Marcus Trend Dip's Analysis
to 2026-05-05 19:55:00+00 • 44 trades executed
+98.94%
2 Years Return
$22,377.07
Current Value
55%
Win Rate
$11,247.90
Period Start
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.
Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
37.4 neutral
20d Trend
-12.8%
5d Trend
-1.7%
EMA20 Dist
-6.9%
ATR%
5.6%
Range Pos
6%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
3/7
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.
Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026
50
Lifetime
Confidence: 69%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
35.0/35
Total Return
17.4/25
Win Rate
6.3/15
Profit Factor
6.5/15
Consistency
6.8/10
Raw Quality
72.0/100
× Confidence 0.69
= 49.7
30-Day Momentum
Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (69%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
83,040
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-05-06 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
519 days
Data Gaps
2 days with gaps
Data Gap Notice
The following dates had fewer candles than expected. This could be due to early market closes, API rate limits during data collection, or low volume periods. Simulation results may be slightly affected.
2024-11-29 (no data), 2025-11-28 (no data)
Market Closed (21 days)
2024-05-27 — Memorial Day, 2024-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2024-07-04 — Independence Day, 2024-09-02 — Labor Day, 2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day ... and 1 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary
Starting Capital
$11,247.90
Current Value
$22,377.07
Total P&L
$11,129.20
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.33
Trade Statistics
Total Trades
40
Winners / Losers
22 /
18
Best Trade
+20.13%
Worst Trade
-6.31%
Avg Trade Return
+1.90%
Avg Hold Time
3.6d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,275,448.55
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$11,129.20
Net P&L (after fees)
$11,129.20
Gross Return
+98.94%
Net Return (after fees)
+98.94%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 MU Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 519 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Complete Trade History
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Marcus Trend Dip had $11,247.90 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | May 6, 2024 11:05am ET | $119.51 | 94 | $11,233.47 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 15, 2024 9:30am ET | $125.88 | 94 | $11,832.72 | $11,847.15 |
+$599.25 (+5.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 12, 2024 11:15am ET | $139.72 | 84 | $11,736.06 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 17, 2024 12:20pm ET | $146.82 | 84 | $12,332.88 | $12,443.97 |
+$596.82 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 22, 2024 10:40am ET | $107.93 | 115 | $12,411.58 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 22, 2024 3:20pm ET | $104.59 | 115 | $12,027.85 | $12,060.24 |
$-383.73 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 23, 2024 11:30am ET | $93.32 | 129 | $12,038.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 26, 2024 9:30am ET | $112.11 | 129 | $14,461.83 | $14,483.79 |
+$2,423.55 (+20.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 11, 2024 11:35am ET | $106.66 | 135 | $14,399.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 15, 2024 10:35am ET | $103.33 | 135 | $13,949.69 | $14,034.37 |
$-449.41 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 22, 2024 3:10pm ET | $107.71 | 130 | $14,002.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 23, 2024 1:10pm ET | $104.13 | 130 | $13,536.90 | $13,568.97 |
$-465.40 (-3.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 25, 2024 11:30am ET | $109.10 | 124 | $13,528.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 29, 2024 11:25am ET | $105.67 | 124 | $13,103.08 | $13,143.65 |
$-425.32 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 7, 2024 12:10pm ET | $113.15 | 116 | $13,125.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 11, 2024 9:30am ET | $107.37 | 116 | $12,454.92 | $12,473.17 |
$-670.48 (-5.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 21, 2024 10:50am ET | $102.40 | 121 | $12,390.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 27, 2024 9:30am ET | $98.03 | 121 | $11,861.29 | $11,944.06 |
$-529.11 (-4.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 3, 2024 10:40am ET | $99.76 | 119 | $11,871.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 16, 2024 9:30am ET | $108.77 | 119 | $12,943.63 | $13,016.25 |
+$1,072.19 (+9.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 30, 2025 1:00pm ET | $91.73 | 141 | $12,933.23 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 3, 2025 9:30am ET | $88.16 | 141 | $12,429.86 | $12,512.88 |
$-503.37 (-3.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 14, 2025 10:50am ET | $98.42 | 127 | $12,499.33 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 18, 2025 9:30am ET | $104.35 | 127 | $13,252.36 | $13,265.92 |
+$753.03 (+6.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 12, 2025 11:10am ET | $93.83 | 141 | $13,230.03 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 14, 2025 9:30am ET | $101.97 | 141 | $14,377.11 | $14,412.99 |
+$1,147.08 (+8.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 26, 2025 10:40am ET | $94.84 | 151 | $14,320.09 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 26, 2025 12:40pm ET | $91.81 | 151 | $13,863.31 | $13,956.22 |
$-456.77 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 8, 2025 11:00am ET | $71.23 | 195 | $13,888.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 8, 2025 12:35pm ET | $68.64 | 195 | $13,384.80 | $13,452.14 |
$-504.07 (-3.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 24, 2025 11:10am ET | $76.80 | 175 | $13,440.02 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 2, 2025 9:30am ET | $81.19 | 175 | $14,208.25 | $14,220.38 |
+$768.23 (+5.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | May 12, 2025 11:30am ET | $92.38 | 153 | $14,134.14 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 13, 2025 9:45am ET | $97.10 | 153 | $14,856.30 | $14,942.54 |
+$722.16 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | May 19, 2025 10:40am ET | $98.14 | 152 | $14,916.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 22, 2025 11:55am ET | $94.85 | 152 | $14,417.20 | $14,443.22 |
$-499.32 (-3.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | May 27, 2025 11:10am ET | $96.17 | 150 | $14,425.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 3, 2025 9:30am ET | $102.62 | 150 | $15,393.00 | $15,410.70 |
+$967.49 (+6.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 5, 2025 10:40am ET | $107.53 | 143 | $15,376.79 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 10, 2025 9:30am ET | $114.07 | 143 | $16,311.84 | $16,345.75 |
+$935.05 (+6.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 16, 2025 10:40am ET | $119.39 | 136 | $16,237.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 24, 2025 9:30am ET | $127.26 | 136 | $17,307.39 | $17,416.10 |
+$1,070.35 (+6.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 30, 2025 12:55pm ET | $123.80 | 140 | $17,332.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 1, 2025 11:05am ET | $119.64 | 140 | $16,749.60 | $16,833.70 |
$-582.40 (-3.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 7, 2025 11:10am ET | $111.70 | 150 | $16,755.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 8, 2025 11:05am ET | $117.40 | 150 | $17,609.25 | $17,687.95 |
+$854.25 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 11, 2025 10:45am ET | $151.85 | 116 | $17,614.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 15, 2025 9:45am ET | $159.67 | 116 | $18,521.14 | $18,594.49 |
+$906.54 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 23, 2025 11:20am ET | $167.82 | 110 | $18,460.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 24, 2025 9:30am ET | $162.72 | 110 | $17,899.21 | $18,033.50 |
$-560.99 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 29, 2025 11:55am ET | $163.96 | 109 | $17,871.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 1, 2025 10:15am ET | $172.46 | 109 | $18,798.14 | $18,960.00 |
+$926.50 (+5.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 2, 2025 10:40am ET | $182.04 | 104 | $18,932.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 3, 2025 11:20am ET | $191.42 | 104 | $19,907.20 | $19,935.04 |
+$975.04 (+5.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 20, 2025 10:40am ET | $205.74 | 96 | $19,750.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 22, 2025 9:30am ET | $193.94 | 96 | $18,618.24 | $18,802.72 |
$-1,132.32 (-5.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 3, 2025 12:00pm ET | $234.48 | 80 | $18,758.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 4, 2025 9:30am ET | $221.35 | 80 | $17,708.00 | $17,752.22 |
$-1,050.50 (-5.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 14, 2025 10:45am ET | $246.86 | 71 | $17,527.06 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 18, 2025 9:30am ET | $231.28 | 71 | $16,420.53 | $16,645.69 |
$-1,106.54 (-6.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 26, 2025 11:30am ET | $230.84 | 72 | $16,620.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 8, 2025 9:30am ET | $242.85 | 72 | $17,485.26 | $17,510.47 |
+$864.78 (+5.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 9, 2025 12:00pm ET | $252.06 | 69 | $17,392.24 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 12, 2025 10:25am ET | $244.35 | 69 | $16,860.15 | $16,978.38 |
$-532.09 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 15, 2025 10:40am ET | $243.89 | 69 | $16,828.41 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 16, 2025 9:30am ET | $236.40 | 69 | $16,311.60 | $16,461.57 |
$-516.81 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 18, 2025 10:50am ET | $251.44 | 65 | $16,343.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 19, 2025 9:40am ET | $266.25 | 65 | $17,306.25 | $17,424.55 |
+$962.98 (+5.9%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 24, 2025 11:15am ET | $285.88 | 60 | $17,152.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $302.59 | 60 | $18,155.40 | $18,427.45 |
+$1,002.90 (+5.8%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 9, 2026 12:25pm ET | $338.89 | 54 | $18,300.06 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 16, 2026 9:30am ET | $359.80 | 54 | $19,429.23 | $19,556.61 |
+$1,129.17 (+6.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 20, 2026 11:00am ET | $368.71 | 53 | $19,541.63 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 21, 2026 10:30am ET | $389.01 | 53 | $20,617.53 | $20,632.51 |
+$1,075.90 (+5.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 27, 2026 11:05am ET | $407.07 | 50 | $20,353.51 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 28, 2026 9:35am ET | $429.22 | 50 | $21,461.00 | $21,740.01 |
+$1,107.50 (+5.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 10, 2026 2:00pm ET | $376.95 | 57 | $21,486.43 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 11, 2026 9:30am ET | $400.54 | 57 | $22,830.78 | $23,084.35 |
+$1,344.35 (+6.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 10, 2026 12:05pm ET | $410.74 | 56 | $23,001.43 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 12, 2026 11:10am ET | $398.11 | 56 | $22,294.16 | $22,377.07 |
$-707.28 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$22,377.07
Net Profit/Loss:
+$12,377.07
Total Return:
+123.77%