Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-05-06 09:47:15

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
36.2 neutral
20d Trend
-2.9%
5d Trend
-2.1%
EMA20 Dist
-1.9%
ATR%
1.1%
Range Pos
52%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

31
Lifetime
Confidence: 64%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
15.8/35
Total Return
11.4/25
Win Rate
10.0/15
Profit Factor
5.1/15
Consistency
6.7/10
Raw Quality 49.0/100
× Confidence 0.64 = 31.4

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (64%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
49,792
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-05-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
532 days
Data Gaps
None (21 market holidays)

Market Closed (21 days)

2024-05-27 — Memorial Day, 2024-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2024-07-04 — Independence Day, 2024-09-02 — Labor Day, 2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day ... and 1 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary

Starting Capital
$10,343.80
Current Value
$12,258.13
Total P&L
$1,914.32
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.48

Trade Statistics

Total Trades
11
Winners / Losers
7 / 4
Best Trade
+6.51%
Worst Trade
-3.54%
Avg Trade Return
+1.70%
Avg Hold Time
18.2d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$253,298.67
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,914.32
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,914.32
Gross Return
+18.51%
Net Return (after fees)
+18.51%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 VTI Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 532 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Complete Trade History

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Marcus Trend Dip had $10,343.80 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY May 3, 2024 10:55am ET $252.51 40 $10,100.40
🔴 SELL Jun 3, 2024 9:30am ET $261.29 40 $10,451.60 $10,627.40 +$351.20
(+3.5%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Aug 5, 2024 1:35pm ET $256.61 41 $10,521.01
🔴 SELL Aug 15, 2024 9:30am ET $271.15 41 $11,117.15 $11,223.54 +$596.14
(+5.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Oct 22, 2024 3:10pm ET $287.76 39 $11,222.64
🔴 SELL Nov 21, 2024 2:10pm ET $295.29 39 $11,516.31 $11,517.21 +$293.67
(+2.6%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Jan 15, 2025 11:25am ET $292.92 39 $11,423.88
🔴 SELL Feb 14, 2025 11:25am ET $302.00 39 $11,778.00 $11,871.33 +$354.12
(+3.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2025 11:40am ET $253.92 46 $11,680.32
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2025 2:40pm ET $246.01 46 $11,316.46 $11,507.47 $-363.86
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
6 🟢 BUY May 2, 2025 1:45pm ET $278.95 41 $11,437.15
🔴 SELL May 19, 2025 1:05pm ET $293.11 41 $12,017.67 $12,087.98 +$580.51
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
7 🟢 BUY Jun 16, 2025 11:50am ET $296.72 40 $11,868.80
🔴 SELL Jul 16, 2025 11:50am ET $305.39 40 $12,215.60 $12,434.78 +$346.80
(+2.9%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
0m held
8 🟢 BUY Nov 10, 2025 10:45am ET $333.19 37 $12,328.03
🔴 SELL Nov 18, 2025 10:00am ET $322.43 37 $11,929.91 $12,036.67 $-398.12
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
9 🟢 BUY Jan 21, 2026 3:55pm ET $339.03 35 $11,866.05
🔴 SELL Feb 13, 2026 3:55pm ET $336.37 35 $11,772.95 $11,943.57 $-93.10
(-0.8%)
📅 Sim Ended
0m held
10 🟢 BUY Feb 25, 2026 10:55am ET $340.39 35 $11,913.48
🔴 SELL Mar 9, 2026 9:30am ET $328.35 35 $11,492.30 $11,522.39 $-421.18
(-3.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
11 🟢 BUY Mar 30, 2026 10:40am ET $313.80 36 $11,296.62
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $334.23 36 $12,032.36 $12,258.13 +$735.74
(+6.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $12,258.13
Net Profit/Loss: +$2,258.13
Total Return: +22.58%
Back to Marcus Trend Dip