Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Signals generated 2026-06-20 14:23:46

Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.

Fear & Greed
23
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟠 1.6
Active
RSI(14)
37.4 neutral
20d Trend
-12.8%
5d Trend
-1.7%
EMA20 Dist
-6.9%
ATR%
5.6%
Range Pos
6%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
3/7
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Active magnetosphere: slight tilt toward volume/macro strategies.

Strategy Score Scored Jun 20, 2026

58
Lifetime
Confidence: 79%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
35.0/35
Total Return
18.0/25
Win Rate
6.7/15
Profit Factor
7.6/15
Consistency
6.9/10
Raw Quality 74.1/100
× Confidence 0.79 = 58.5

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (79%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Year to Date)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
11,892
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-06-18
Trading Days
123 days
Data Gaps
None (6 market holidays)

Market Closed (6 days)

2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Year to Date)

Period Start Capital
$17,414.06
Current Value
$24,404.57
Period P&L
$6,990.54
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
1.43

Trade Statistics (Year to Date)

Trades in Period
7
Winners / Losers
6 / 1
Best Trade
+9.27%
Worst Trade
-3.07%
Avg Trade Return
+5.06%
Avg Hold Time
3.1d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$290,394.16
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$6,990.54
Net P&L (after fees)
$6,990.54
Gross Return
+40.14%
Net Return (after fees)
+40.14%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 MU Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 123 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Year to Date - 7 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Marcus Trend Dip had $17,414.06 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Dec 24, 2025 11:15am ET $285.88 60 $17,152.50
🔴 SELL Jan 2, 2026 9:30am ET $302.59 60 $18,155.40 $18,427.45 +$1,002.90
(+5.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Jan 9, 2026 12:25pm ET $338.89 54 $18,300.06
🔴 SELL Jan 16, 2026 9:30am ET $359.80 54 $19,429.23 $19,556.61 +$1,129.17
(+6.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Jan 20, 2026 11:00am ET $368.71 53 $19,541.63
🔴 SELL Jan 21, 2026 10:30am ET $389.01 53 $20,617.53 $20,632.51 +$1,075.90
(+5.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Jan 27, 2026 11:05am ET $407.07 50 $20,353.51
🔴 SELL Jan 28, 2026 9:35am ET $429.22 50 $21,461.00 $21,740.01 +$1,107.50
(+5.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Feb 10, 2026 2:00pm ET $376.95 57 $21,486.43
🔴 SELL Feb 11, 2026 9:30am ET $400.54 57 $22,830.78 $23,084.35 +$1,344.35
(+6.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
6 🟢 BUY Mar 10, 2026 12:05pm ET $410.74 56 $23,001.43
🔴 SELL Mar 12, 2026 11:10am ET $398.11 56 $22,294.16 $22,377.07 $-707.28
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
7 🟢 BUY May 26, 2026 11:40am ET $874.86 25 $21,871.50
🔴 SELL May 27, 2026 9:30am ET $955.96 25 $23,899.00 $24,404.57 +$2,027.50
(+9.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $24,404.57
Net Profit/Loss: +$14,404.57
Total Return: +144.05%
Back to Marcus Trend Dip