AMD Marcus Trend Dip's Analysis
to 2026-06-18 19:55:00+00 • 33 trades executed
+136.13%
2 Years Return
$21,857.61
Current Value
71%
Win Rate
$9,256.78
Period Start
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.
Fear & Greed
15
Extreme Fear
VIX
16.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.43%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.29%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.71
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.4
Unsettled
⛈️ 1 storm day in 7d
RSI(14)
30.4 neutral
20d Trend
-15.2%
5d Trend
-20.7%
EMA20 Dist
-16.9%
ATR%
7.4%
Range Pos
1%
Bounce Ratio
0.7×
Green/Red 10d
3/7
Strategy Score Scored Jun 18, 2026
64
Lifetime
Confidence: 78%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
35.0/35
Total Return
17.3/25
Win Rate
8.9/15
Profit Factor
14.3/15
Consistency
6.8/10
Raw Quality
82.2/100
× Confidence 0.78
= 63.9
30-Day Momentum
53
+17.8%
30d Return
100%
Win Rate
3
Trades
10.0×
Profit Factor
Quality: 86.2
Conf: 0.61×
Declining (-11 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (78%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
83,870
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-06-18 → 2026-06-18
Trading Days
536 days
Data Gaps
None (21 market holidays)
Market Closed (21 days)
2024-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2024-07-04 — Independence Day, 2024-09-02 — Labor Day, 2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday ... and 1 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary
Starting Capital
$9,256.78
Current Value
$21,857.61
Total P&L
$12,600.84
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.77
Trade Statistics
Total Trades
28
Winners / Losers
20 /
8
Best Trade
+8.56%
Worst Trade
-4.43%
Avg Trade Return
+3.24%
Avg Hold Time
2.7d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$738,409.76
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$12,600.84
Net P&L (after fees)
$12,600.84
Gross Return
+136.13%
Net Return (after fees)
+136.13%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 AMD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 536 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Complete Trade History
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Marcus Trend Dip had $9,256.78 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 10, 2024 11:20am ET | $182.93 | 50 | $9,146.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 16, 2024 9:45am ET | $177.44 | 50 | $8,872.00 | $8,982.29 |
$-274.50 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 31, 2024 11:00am ET | $146.47 | 61 | $8,934.58 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 1, 2024 10:00am ET | $141.39 | 61 | $8,625.07 | $8,672.77 |
$-309.51 (-3.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 19, 2024 1:00pm ET | $152.41 | 56 | $8,534.96 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 20, 2024 10:00am ET | $160.94 | 56 | $9,012.64 | $9,150.45 |
+$477.68 (+5.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 24, 2024 1:10pm ET | $158.71 | 57 | $9,046.47 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 26, 2024 9:30am ET | $168.45 | 57 | $9,601.54 | $9,705.52 |
+$555.07 (+6.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 28, 2024 11:45am ET | $158.76 | 61 | $9,684.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 29, 2024 3:20pm ET | $166.81 | 61 | $10,175.41 | $10,196.57 |
+$491.05 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 17, 2025 10:50am ET | $120.98 | 84 | $10,162.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 27, 2025 9:30am ET | $117.30 | 84 | $9,852.78 | $9,887.03 |
$-309.54 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 12, 2025 10:45am ET | $98.64 | 100 | $9,863.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 17, 2025 9:30am ET | $105.21 | 100 | $10,521.00 | $10,544.53 |
+$657.50 (+6.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 23, 2025 11:10am ET | $92.21 | 114 | $10,511.94 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 25, 2025 1:20pm ET | $96.88 | 114 | $11,043.98 | $11,076.57 |
+$532.04 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | May 8, 2025 10:50am ET | $102.69 | 107 | $10,987.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 12, 2025 9:30am ET | $109.29 | 107 | $11,694.03 | $11,783.31 |
+$706.74 (+6.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | May 14, 2025 10:40am ET | $118.03 | 99 | $11,684.97 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 15, 2025 3:25pm ET | $114.06 | 99 | $11,291.94 | $11,390.28 |
$-393.03 (-3.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 10, 2025 11:45am ET | $144.31 | 78 | $11,256.18 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 15, 2025 9:30am ET | $156.66 | 78 | $12,219.48 | $12,353.58 |
+$963.30 (+8.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 23, 2025 3:50pm ET | $158.31 | 78 | $12,347.79 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 25, 2025 10:05am ET | $166.94 | 78 | $13,021.32 | $13,027.11 |
+$673.53 (+5.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 28, 2025 11:55am ET | $172.92 | 75 | $12,969.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 29, 2025 10:35am ET | $181.59 | 75 | $13,618.88 | $13,676.68 |
+$649.58 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 13, 2025 11:30am ET | $181.92 | 75 | $13,644.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 15, 2025 10:50am ET | $176.41 | 75 | $13,230.75 | $13,263.43 |
$-413.25 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 12, 2025 1:30pm ET | $159.05 | 83 | $13,200.74 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 18, 2025 9:30am ET | $152.00 | 83 | $12,616.00 | $12,678.70 |
$-584.73 (-4.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 24, 2025 10:40am ET | $161.26 | 78 | $12,578.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 25, 2025 9:35am ET | $156.33 | 78 | $12,193.74 | $12,294.16 |
$-384.54 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 7, 2025 10:40am ET | $213.05 | 57 | $12,143.61 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 8, 2025 11:00am ET | $224.17 | 57 | $12,777.53 | $12,928.08 |
+$633.92 (+5.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 24, 2025 11:50am ET | $249.51 | 51 | $12,725.01 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 28, 2025 10:00am ET | $263.85 | 51 | $13,456.35 | $13,659.42 |
+$731.34 (+5.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 5, 2025 2:45pm ET | $257.72 | 53 | $13,658.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 6, 2025 9:40am ET | $249.21 | 53 | $13,207.87 | $13,208.39 |
$-451.03 (-3.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 11, 2025 3:10pm ET | $240.27 | 54 | $12,974.54 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 12, 2025 9:30am ET | $257.00 | 54 | $13,878.00 | $14,111.85 |
+$903.46 (+7.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 13, 2026 1:15pm ET | $220.90 | 63 | $13,916.39 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 15, 2026 9:30am ET | $233.79 | 63 | $14,728.77 | $14,924.23 |
+$812.38 (+5.8%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 16, 2026 12:40pm ET | $198.60 | 75 | $14,895.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 25, 2026 9:30am ET | $211.51 | 75 | $15,862.88 | $15,892.10 |
+$967.87 (+6.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 6, 2026 10:55am ET | $220.68 | 72 | $15,888.96 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $232.37 | 72 | $16,730.64 | $16,733.78 |
+$841.68 (+5.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 29, 2026 12:05pm ET | $328.06 | 51 | $16,731.06 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 30, 2026 10:10am ET | $345.29 | 51 | $17,609.79 | $17,612.51 |
+$878.73 (+5.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | May 6, 2026 10:50am ET | $410.64 | 42 | $17,246.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 8, 2026 9:50am ET | $433.13 | 42 | $18,191.25 | $18,556.88 |
+$944.37 (+5.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | May 20, 2026 1:00pm ET | $444.54 | 41 | $18,226.14 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 22, 2026 9:30am ET | $469.87 | 41 | $19,264.67 | $19,595.41 |
+$1,038.53 (+5.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | May 26, 2026 11:40am ET | $489.62 | 40 | $19,584.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 28, 2026 11:05am ET | $514.67 | 40 | $20,586.80 | $20,597.41 |
+$1,002.00 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 1, 2026 12:40pm ET | $509.00 | 40 | $20,360.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 3, 2026 9:35am ET | $540.51 | 40 | $21,620.20 | $21,857.61 |
+$1,260.20 (+6.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$21,857.61
Net Profit/Loss:
+$11,857.61
Total Return:
+118.58%