Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-06 07:45:55

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
32.7 neutral
20d Trend
-13.0%
5d Trend
-6.9%
EMA20 Dist
-6.4%
ATR%
4.0%
Range Pos
10%
Bounce Ratio
0.5×
Green/Red 10d
7/3
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

54
Lifetime
Confidence: 75%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
35.0/35
Total Return
16.1/25
Win Rate
7.5/15
Profit Factor
6.5/15
Consistency
6.7/10
Raw Quality 71.8/100
× Confidence 0.75 = 53.7

30-Day Momentum

53
+20.5%
30d Return
100%
Win Rate
3
Trades
10.0×
Profit Factor
Quality: 87.1 Conf: 0.61×
Cooling (-0 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (75%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
79,066
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-05-06 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
535 days
Data Gaps
None (21 market holidays)

Market Closed (21 days)

2024-05-27 — Memorial Day, 2024-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2024-07-04 — Independence Day, 2024-09-02 — Labor Day, 2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day ... and 1 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary

Starting Capital
$11,762.56
Current Value
$18,576.36
Total P&L
$6,813.80
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.33

Trade Statistics

Total Trades
22
Winners / Losers
12 / 10
Best Trade
+19.42%
Worst Trade
-12.02%
Avg Trade Return
+2.36%
Avg Hold Time
5d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$651,862.71
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$6,813.80
Net P&L (after fees)
$6,813.80
Gross Return
+57.93%
Net Return (after fees)
+57.93%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 AVGO Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 535 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Complete Trade History

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Marcus Trend Dip had $11,762.56 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY May 8, 2024 12:00pm ET $132.39 88 $11,649.88
🔴 SELL May 15, 2024 10:40am ET $139.04 88 $12,235.61 $12,348.29 +$585.73
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Sep 24, 2024 10:40am ET $172.65 71 $12,258.33
🔴 SELL Oct 1, 2024 10:10am ET $167.33 71 $11,880.43 $11,970.39 $-377.90
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Oct 8, 2024 12:10pm ET $178.94 66 $11,810.30
🔴 SELL Oct 23, 2024 1:35pm ET $173.56 66 $11,454.96 $11,615.05 $-355.34
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Dec 4, 2024 10:45am ET $170.70 68 $11,607.59
🔴 SELL Dec 6, 2024 1:15pm ET $179.63 68 $12,214.84 $12,222.30 +$607.25
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Dec 11, 2024 12:35pm ET $180.87 67 $12,118.29
🔴 SELL Dec 13, 2024 9:30am ET $216.00 67 $14,472.00 $14,576.01 +$2,353.71
(+19.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
6 🟢 BUY Jan 24, 2025 11:00am ET $245.49 59 $14,483.91
🔴 SELL Jan 27, 2025 9:30am ET $215.99 59 $12,743.41 $12,835.51 $-1,740.50
(-12.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
7 🟢 BUY Mar 7, 2025 11:00am ET $185.14 69 $12,774.32
🔴 SELL Mar 7, 2025 3:25pm ET $194.44 69 $13,416.02 $13,477.21 +$641.70
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
8 🟢 BUY May 1, 2025 12:25pm ET $198.44 67 $13,295.15
🔴 SELL May 8, 2025 12:15pm ET $208.36 67 $13,960.32 $14,142.39 +$665.18
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
9 🟢 BUY Jun 25, 2025 10:50am ET $266.47 53 $14,122.91
🔴 SELL Jul 10, 2025 9:35am ET $279.92 53 $14,835.76 $14,855.24 +$712.85
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
10 🟢 BUY Aug 14, 2025 11:00am ET $311.01 47 $14,617.47
🔴 SELL Aug 15, 2025 1:05pm ET $301.09 47 $14,151.23 $14,389.00 $-466.24
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
11 🟢 BUY Aug 22, 2025 12:20pm ET $297.52 48 $14,280.72
🔴 SELL Sep 5, 2025 9:30am ET $349.16 48 $16,759.65 $16,867.93 +$2,478.93
(+17.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
12 🟢 BUY Sep 8, 2025 11:10am ET $347.56 48 $16,682.88
🔴 SELL Sep 9, 2025 3:05pm ET $336.70 48 $16,161.51 $16,346.56 $-521.37
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
13 🟢 BUY Nov 10, 2025 11:40am ET $355.78 45 $16,009.88
🔴 SELL Nov 13, 2025 9:35am ET $344.21 45 $15,489.64 $15,826.33 $-520.23
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
14 🟢 BUY Nov 24, 2025 12:10pm ET $370.72 42 $15,570.24
🔴 SELL Nov 26, 2025 9:45am ET $389.85 42 $16,373.70 $16,629.79 +$803.46
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
15 🟢 BUY Dec 5, 2025 11:20am ET $387.20 42 $16,262.60
🔴 SELL Dec 10, 2025 1:40pm ET $406.64 42 $17,078.88 $17,446.07 +$816.28
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
16 🟢 BUY Dec 30, 2025 12:30pm ET $350.77 49 $17,187.73
🔴 SELL Jan 5, 2026 9:35am ET $339.20 49 $16,620.80 $16,879.14 $-566.93
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
17 🟢 BUY Jan 9, 2026 12:15pm ET $343.62 49 $16,837.38
🔴 SELL Jan 20, 2026 1:35pm ET $333.29 49 $16,331.21 $16,372.97 $-506.17
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
18 🟢 BUY Feb 25, 2026 11:00am ET $331.30 49 $16,233.70
🔴 SELL Feb 26, 2026 9:35am ET $321.30 49 $15,743.70 $15,882.97 $-490.00
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
19 🟢 BUY Mar 6, 2026 1:10pm ET $339.14 46 $15,600.44
🔴 SELL Mar 6, 2026 3:35pm ET $328.88 46 $15,128.48 $15,411.01 $-471.96
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
20 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2026 10:45am ET $323.75 47 $15,216.18
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $351.63 47 $16,526.61 $16,721.44 +$1,310.43
(+8.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
21 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2026 11:10am ET $353.74 47 $16,625.78
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2026 9:50am ET $373.50 47 $17,554.50 $17,650.16 +$928.72
(+5.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
22 🟢 BUY Apr 15, 2026 11:55am ET $392.70 44 $17,278.80
🔴 SELL Apr 22, 2026 10:50am ET $413.75 44 $18,205.00 $18,576.36 +$926.20
(+5.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $18,576.36
Net Profit/Loss: +$8,576.36
Total Return: +85.76%
Back to Marcus Trend Dip