Compendium › Marcus Trend Dip › COP
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
COP
Alpaca Tradeable

Marcus Trend Dip's Analysis

to 2026-05-05 19:55:00+00 • 27 trades executed

+17.68%
2 Years Return
$13,100.13
Current Value
46%
Win Rate
$11,131.77
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-05-06 08:47:22

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
58.1 neutral
20d Trend
+7.6%
5d Trend
-0.6%
EMA20 Dist
+2.4%
ATR%
2.9%
Range Pos
80%
Bounce Ratio
3.0×
Green/Red 10d
8/2
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

35
Lifetime
Confidence: 74%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
21.7/35
Total Return
12.5/25
Win Rate
4.4/15
Profit Factor
2.7/15
Consistency
5.3/10
Raw Quality 46.6/100
× Confidence 0.74 = 34.5

30-Day Momentum

1
-15.2%
30d Return
0%
Win Rate
4
Trades
0.6×
Profit Factor
Quality: 1.4 Conf: 0.66×
Declining (-34 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (74%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
47,110
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-05-06 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
518 days
Data Gaps
None (21 market holidays)

Market Closed (21 days)

2024-05-27 — Memorial Day, 2024-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2024-07-04 — Independence Day, 2024-09-02 — Labor Day, 2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day ... and 1 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary

Starting Capital
$11,131.77
Current Value
$13,100.13
Total P&L
$1,968.35
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.17

Trade Statistics

Total Trades
24
Winners / Losers
11 / 13
Best Trade
+8.69%
Worst Trade
-5.51%
Avg Trade Return
+0.79%
Avg Hold Time
7.5d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$568,726.06
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,968.35
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,968.35
Gross Return
+17.68%
Net Return (after fees)
+17.68%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 COP Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 518 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Complete Trade History

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Marcus Trend Dip had $11,131.77 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY May 7, 2024 1:15pm ET $124.57 89 $11,086.73 — — —
🔴 SELL May 14, 2024 10:20am ET $120.79 89 $10,750.31 $10,795.35 $-336.42
(-3.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Jun 14, 2024 2:15pm ET $109.66 98 $10,746.68 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 24, 2024 2:45pm ET $115.19 98 $11,288.62 $11,337.29 +$541.94
(+5.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Jul 1, 2024 11:05am ET $114.24 99 $11,309.27 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 10, 2024 9:40am ET $110.60 99 $10,949.34 $10,977.36 $-359.92
(-3.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Jul 31, 2024 10:45am ET $111.47 98 $10,923.57 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 1, 2024 2:30pm ET $108.09 98 $10,592.33 $10,646.12 $-331.24
(-3.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Sep 24, 2024 10:45am ET $110.16 96 $10,575.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 25, 2024 12:40pm ET $106.82 96 $10,254.72 $10,325.85 $-320.28
(-3.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
6 🟢 BUY Oct 1, 2024 2:20pm ET $109.12 94 $10,257.28 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 7, 2024 9:30am ET $115.09 94 $10,817.99 $10,886.56 +$560.71
(+5.5%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
7 🟢 BUY Dec 5, 2024 11:00am ET $104.39 104 $10,856.56 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 12, 2024 2:05pm ET $101.24 104 $10,528.96 $10,558.96 $-327.60
(-3.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
8 🟢 BUY Jan 10, 2025 1:15pm ET $102.09 103 $10,515.27 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 31, 2025 9:55am ET $99.01 103 $10,198.03 $10,241.72 $-317.24
(-3.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
9 🟢 BUY Feb 14, 2025 10:50am ET $97.44 105 $10,231.47 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 3, 2025 1:35pm ET $94.43 105 $9,914.63 $9,924.87 $-316.85
(-3.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
10 🟢 BUY Mar 10, 2025 12:35pm ET $93.08 106 $9,866.48 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 12, 2025 3:55pm ET $97.75 106 $10,361.50 $10,419.89 +$495.02
(+5.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
11 🟢 BUY Mar 14, 2025 1:00pm ET $98.92 105 $10,386.08 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 26, 2025 9:35am ET $104.00 105 $10,920.00 $10,953.81 +$533.92
(+5.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
12 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2025 10:45am ET $86.97 125 $10,871.25 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2025 10:05am ET $91.36 125 $11,420.00 $11,502.56 +$548.75
(+5.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
13 🟢 BUY May 12, 2025 11:10am ET $92.60 124 $11,482.40 — — —
🔴 SELL May 20, 2025 9:35am ET $89.66 124 $11,117.22 $11,137.38 $-365.18
(-3.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
14 🟢 BUY Jun 13, 2025 11:15am ET $96.09 115 $11,050.35 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 23, 2025 12:55pm ET $93.20 115 $10,717.43 $10,804.46 $-332.93
(-3.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
15 🟢 BUY Sep 23, 2025 11:35am ET $94.68 114 $10,793.52 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 26, 2025 11:25am ET $99.47 114 $11,339.65 $11,350.59 +$546.13
(+5.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
16 🟢 BUY Dec 22, 2025 10:40am ET $93.44 121 $11,306.24 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 5, 2026 9:30am ET $101.56 121 $12,288.76 $12,333.11 +$982.52
(+8.7%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
17 🟢 BUY Jan 23, 2026 11:05am ET $98.53 125 $12,316.25 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 29, 2026 9:30am ET $104.70 125 $13,087.50 $13,104.36 +$771.25
(+6.3%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
18 🟢 BUY Feb 6, 2026 11:35am ET $106.96 122 $13,048.51 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 13, 2026 3:55pm ET $111.58 122 $13,613.37 $13,669.22 +$564.86
(+4.3%) 		📅 Sim Ended
0m held
19 🟢 BUY Feb 27, 2026 10:45am ET $111.66 122 $13,622.52 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 2, 2026 9:30am ET $119.26 122 $14,549.72 $14,596.42 +$927.20
(+6.8%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
20 🟢 BUY Mar 12, 2026 1:30pm ET $120.32 121 $14,558.72 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 20, 2026 9:35am ET $127.32 121 $15,406.02 $15,443.72 +$847.30
(+5.8%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
21 🟢 BUY Mar 24, 2026 11:20am ET $129.92 118 $15,330.56 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $122.76 118 $14,485.68 $14,598.84 $-844.88
(-5.5%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
22 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2026 11:05am ET $126.85 115 $14,587.75 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2026 9:55am ET $122.68 115 $14,107.63 $14,118.72 $-480.12
(-3.3%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
23 🟢 BUY Apr 13, 2026 10:50am ET $123.60 114 $14,090.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 14, 2026 10:15am ET $119.73 114 $13,649.22 $13,677.54 $-441.18
(-3.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
24 🟢 BUY Apr 15, 2026 12:10pm ET $119.00 114 $13,566.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2026 9:35am ET $113.93 114 $12,988.59 $13,100.13 $-577.41
(-4.3%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $13,100.13
Net Profit/Loss: +$3,100.13
Total Return: +31.00%
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