Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-05-06 07:45:53

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
54.2 neutral
20d Trend
+3.9%
5d Trend
-3.6%
EMA20 Dist
+2.0%
ATR%
7.2%
Range Pos
63%
Bounce Ratio
1.1×
Green/Red 10d
2/8
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

56
Lifetime
Confidence: 76%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
35.0/35
Total Return
17.2/25
Win Rate
5.2/15
Profit Factor
10.6/15
Consistency
5.9/10
Raw Quality 73.9/100
× Confidence 0.76 = 56.0

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (76%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
87,828
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-05-06 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
535 days
Data Gaps
None (21 market holidays)

Market Closed (21 days)

2024-05-27 — Memorial Day, 2024-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2024-07-04 — Independence Day, 2024-09-02 — Labor Day, 2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day ... and 1 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary

Starting Capital
$10,375.11
Current Value
$21,621.13
Total P&L
$11,246.03
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.44

Trade Statistics

Total Trades
22
Winners / Losers
12 / 10
Best Trade
+28.60%
Worst Trade
-5.82%
Avg Trade Return
+3.73%
Avg Hold Time
3.8d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$579,496.41
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$11,246.03
Net P&L (after fees)
$11,246.03
Gross Return
+108.39%
Net Return (after fees)
+108.39%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 INTC Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 535 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Complete Trade History

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Marcus Trend Dip had $10,375.11 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY May 7, 2024 11:25am ET $31.19 332 $10,355.08
🔴 SELL May 8, 2024 9:30am ET $29.95 332 $9,942.94 $9,962.97 $-412.14
(-4.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
2 🟢 BUY May 9, 2024 11:45am ET $30.18 330 $9,957.75
🔴 SELL May 16, 2024 9:40am ET $31.71 330 $10,464.30 $10,469.52 +$506.55
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Jun 21, 2024 2:30pm ET $31.16 336 $10,468.95
🔴 SELL Jul 8, 2024 9:30am ET $33.24 336 $11,168.64 $11,169.20 +$699.69
(+6.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Jul 9, 2024 10:40am ET $34.09 327 $11,147.43
🔴 SELL Jul 17, 2024 9:30am ET $36.46 327 $11,922.26 $11,944.03 +$774.83
(+7.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Aug 19, 2024 12:20pm ET $21.31 560 $11,930.80
🔴 SELL Aug 22, 2024 10:40am ET $20.67 560 $11,572.40 $11,585.63 $-358.40
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
6 🟢 BUY Sep 19, 2024 2:00pm ET $21.49 539 $11,583.81
🔴 SELL Sep 20, 2024 9:30am ET $20.84 539 $11,230.07 $11,231.88 $-353.75
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
7 🟢 BUY Sep 25, 2024 11:45am ET $23.65 474 $11,210.10
🔴 SELL Oct 1, 2024 10:10am ET $22.93 474 $10,867.35 $10,889.13 $-342.75
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
8 🟢 BUY Nov 6, 2024 11:20am ET $24.42 445 $10,866.90
🔴 SELL Nov 7, 2024 9:50am ET $25.65 445 $11,414.25 $11,436.48 +$547.35
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
9 🟢 BUY Feb 7, 2025 2:40pm ET $19.11 598 $11,424.79
🔴 SELL Feb 11, 2025 9:30am ET $20.36 598 $12,173.13 $12,184.82 +$748.34
(+6.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
10 🟢 BUY Feb 28, 2025 11:40am ET $23.90 509 $12,165.10
🔴 SELL Mar 3, 2025 3:00pm ET $23.18 509 $11,798.62 $11,818.34 $-366.48
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
11 🟢 BUY Mar 13, 2025 10:45am ET $23.78 496 $11,794.88
🔴 SELL Mar 17, 2025 9:30am ET $25.43 496 $12,614.62 $12,638.08 +$819.74
(+7.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
12 🟢 BUY Jul 28, 2025 10:50am ET $20.90 604 $12,620.58
🔴 SELL Jul 30, 2025 11:25am ET $20.26 604 $12,237.16 $12,254.66 $-383.42
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
13 🟢 BUY Aug 19, 2025 11:10am ET $25.45 481 $12,239.05
🔴 SELL Aug 20, 2025 9:30am ET $23.97 481 $11,527.17 $11,542.78 $-711.88
(-5.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
14 🟢 BUY Sep 4, 2025 12:15pm ET $24.24 476 $11,535.86
🔴 SELL Sep 18, 2025 9:30am ET $31.17 476 $14,834.73 $14,841.65 +$3,298.87
(+28.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
15 🟢 BUY Oct 6, 2025 10:55am ET $37.74 393 $14,829.86
🔴 SELL Oct 6, 2025 1:45pm ET $36.53 393 $14,356.29 $14,368.09 $-473.56
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
16 🟢 BUY Dec 30, 2025 12:25pm ET $37.83 379 $14,335.68
🔴 SELL Jan 2, 2026 10:00am ET $39.75 379 $15,063.36 $15,095.77 +$727.68
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
17 🟢 BUY Jan 7, 2026 11:50am ET $43.36 348 $15,089.25
🔴 SELL Jan 8, 2026 9:55am ET $41.79 348 $14,541.18 $14,547.70 $-548.07
(-3.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
18 🟢 BUY Jan 9, 2026 11:25am ET $43.73 332 $14,516.70
🔴 SELL Jan 13, 2026 9:40am ET $46.28 332 $15,366.49 $15,397.49 +$849.79
(+5.9%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
19 🟢 BUY Jan 27, 2026 12:20pm ET $43.90 350 $15,365.00
🔴 SELL Jan 28, 2026 9:30am ET $47.92 350 $16,772.00 $16,804.49 +$1,407.00
(+9.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
20 🟢 BUY Mar 16, 2026 10:45am ET $47.68 352 $16,783.36
🔴 SELL Mar 16, 2026 3:40pm ET $46.24 352 $16,275.07 $16,296.20 $-508.29
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
21 🟢 BUY Apr 6, 2026 10:40am ET $50.91 320 $16,291.20
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $55.14 320 $17,644.80 $17,649.80 +$1,353.60
(+8.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
22 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2026 10:45am ET $66.97 263 $17,613.08
🔴 SELL Apr 24, 2026 9:30am ET $82.07 263 $21,584.41 $21,621.13 +$3,971.33
(+22.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $21,621.13
Net Profit/Loss: +$11,621.13
Total Return: +116.21%
Back to Marcus Trend Dip